Predict how many seats the Democrats will pick up in 2016 (April 2016)

[Orser67]

How many seats do you think that Democrats will pick up (or lose) in both houses of Congress this November? The poll will run for thirty days.

[Xing]

As of right now, I'm guessing four senate seats and about 14 House seats, give or take a few.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

2 Senate seats and 7 House seats.

[BuckeyeNut]

At least 3, maybe more. Though I'm not sure we'll keep Nevada. So at least 2 net, I guess, but still, maybe more. (Illinois, Wisconsin and at least one of the following: FL, NH, OH, PA.)

Not gonna make a bet on the House.

[Nyvin]

Probably around 6 Senate seats, and around 12 or 15 House seats.

[Orser67]

Personally, I think between 10-20 House seats and between 3-8 Senate seats. That's predicated on a Democrat winning the White House, which I also think is likely.

[MT Treasurer]

Senate: 0-2
House: 7-10

[Sir Mohamed]

Not more than 15 house seats. Probably around ten. I’m unsure about the senate, anything between two and five is possible. Johnson (R-WI) and Kirk (R-IL) are the most vulnerable. On the other hand, the GOP may pick up NV.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Not going to make any predictions until we know just how bad a sh[inks]show the GOP convention is going to be.

[Illiniwek]

Personally, I think between 10-20 House seats and between 3-8 Senate seats. That's predicated on a Democrat winning the White House, which I also think is likely.

[NewYorkExpress]

Five Senate seats (Gaining Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois Wisconsin and New Hampshire) and 26 House Seats.

[Kingpoleon]

House: 0 to 5
Senate: 2 to 3(probably WI>FL>PA>IL in order of likeliness)

[Virginiá]

I'd really like to see how the polls trend over the next 4 or 5 months, but I feel safe saying that if Cruz is nominated, 15 - 20 House seats and 5-7 Senate seats (I personally believe Cruz is the 2nd most toxic candidate they could put up, next to Trump)

If Trump is nominated, then 20 House seats or more and anywhere from 5 - 8 Senate seats. It's really difficult to say what state he would leave downballot races in at this point, but I think the possibility of a nice, hearty wave is very good with him at the top of the ticket. Very good.

Assuming split ticket voting remains somewhat the same as 2012, then it's hard to see Cruz or Trump losing by 2008 margins or worse and not costing Republicans a lot of seats across the board.

[Mr. Smith]

Probably 5-6 for the House, 4-5 for the Senate.

But then again, I think I predicted the GOP would just barely take the Senate in 2014 and that the Dems would take the gubernatorials....so yeah...

[Virginiá]

Probably 5-6 for the House, 4-5 for the Senate.

But then again, I think I predicted the GOP would just barely take the Senate in 2014 and that the Dems would take the gubernatorials....so yeah...

Well you have to think, if Democrats can pick up 8 seats in 2012 with rigged maps and a 1~ HPV point majority, then at the very least they should be able to match that given the current circumstances of this election. Right now, nothing suggests Republicans will win the House PV come November. RCP generic ballot polling shows less favorable figures for Republicans than in 2012 - Though RCP's list has less polls at this time. If Democrats maintain the same trend the polls on RCP show since last summer, then I think a dozen seats could be very reasonably expected even in a more neutral environment. After all, Republicans hold a number of seats that they really have no business holding.

[Spark]

6 Senate Seats (FL, OH, PA, IL, WI, NH), GOP gets Reid's open seat in NV. 15 House seats

[Mr.Phips]

I'm thinking around 13 House seats and five Senate seats (IL, WI, FL, NH, OH).

[This account no longer in use.]

Doesnt matter, Dems get new senators Duckworth, Feingild, CCM , MCGINTY, mUrphy, HASSEN, and TEd Strickland. 6 pickups; also get CCM, Kamalla Harris, Edwards.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

15 House Seats and will net majority of Senate. Between 4-6

[Xing]

Doesnt matter, Dems get new senators Duckworth, Feingild, CCM , MCGINTY, mUrphy, HASSEN, and TEd Strickland. 6 pickups; also get CCM, Kamalla Harris, Edwards.

Who is Kamalla Harris? I assume you mean Kamels Harris, right?

Kamels Harris will solidify CA 52/48 for the 272 freiwal. CCM wins 51/49, HRC takes NV 51/48, Feingold beats Jhonson 52/49, Clinton wins WI 53/48.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kirkpatrick can win as well but that will be the surprise of th e night. But Chuck Todd of Hotline does give dems a 50/50 chance of reaching 5-7 seats

[Orser67]

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/house-2016-how-a-democratic-wave-could-happen/

Sabato's ratings moved about a dozen House races towards the Democrats