New polls/analysis show weakened GOP brand going into the GE and beyond (user search)
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  New polls/analysis show weakened GOP brand going into the GE and beyond (search mode)
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Author Topic: New polls/analysis show weakened GOP brand going into the GE and beyond  (Read 1805 times)
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,958
United States


« on: April 08, 2016, 04:14:55 PM »

Probably going to take another recession for the GOP to get back into power.  We'll see when that happens.
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RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,958
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2016, 01:15:40 AM »

Probably going to take another recession for the GOP to get back into power.  We'll see when that happens.

You can rest easy then, because the longer a party controls the White House, the more likely it is that a recession happens on their watch and they catch the blame for it. If Hillary wins 2 terms, then it's very likely (imo) that she will have to deal with some sort of recession, even if only a tiny one.

However, this doesn't change the ideological/demographic trajectory of the country. If Republicans do not adapt to that, then a recession would only be a temporary boost, if that. Simply put, they will need to move back to the center and begin making inroads into the youth vote/non-white electorate to have a chance at the national level. If they wait long enough, demographic changes will also begin to inhibit their success in downballot races as well.

True, but while those demographic changes will be very damaging to conservatism, I don't think it will be that tough for the GOP to adapt to.  Eventually, the GOP primary electorate will moderate as the country gets more liberal, and the Dems will also shift to the left (as seen with strong youth support for Sanders).   The question is, what does the GOP moderate on. I think the GOP will always be tough on borders and law enforcement, but it's going to have to elucidate that message in a more moderate tone and hold a softer line on government investment (especially on healthcare, infrastructure, and research/development).
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