What percentage of the African American vote will Hillary Clinton get in GE?

[Suburbia]

With the former President Bill Clinton and Black Lives Matter protesters incident in Philadelphia, Pa. yesterday, if Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, what percentage of the black vote will she get in November?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

With the former President Bill Clinton and Black Lives Matter protesters incident in Philadelphia, Pa. yesterday, if Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, what percentage of the black vote will she get in November?

It won't matter, it was an unnecessary interaction which Bill over-egged, but the media overplayed. She'll still get 90-92%.

[Kingpoleon]

89-91%.

[Shadows]

Any Dem candidate will get around 90% with maybe a few % here n there.

AA Votes aren't swing votes & will have little impact in the general

[Oak Hills]

90%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It'll be back to 2004 without Obama on the ballot. Kerry got 89%, so should Hillary.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It'll be back to 2004 without Obama on the ballot. Kerry got 89%, so should Hillary.

At the very least.

[Landslide Lyndon]

If TRUMP is the nominee she might do as good as Obama did in 2012.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If TRUMP is the nominee she might do as good as Obama did in 2012.

TRUMP isn't really racist against blacks, though. If Sanders somehow ends up as the nominee I could see TRUMP getting 15%.

[Landslide Lyndon]

If TRUMP is the nominee she might do as good as Obama did in 2012.

TRUMP isn't really racist against blacks, though.

Yeah, he just needed some time to check who these KKK guys are.

[The Other Castro]

Current events won't impact her percentage in the general, though the variable to worry about is not the percentage she gets but the turnout rate without Obama on the ballot.

[ElectionsGuy]

Over 90%

[Nyvin]

If TRUMP is the nominee she might do as good as Obama did in 2012.

TRUMP isn't really racist against blacks, though. If Sanders somehow ends up as the nominee I could see TRUMP getting 15%.

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Umm, yeah, pretty sure they won't like all the white supremacist support he gets either.   Trump will do horrifically with Blacks, along with pretty much every minority group out there.  His unfavorables are terrible.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

84%.

[EliteLX]

With John, he'd make &/or break 10%.

With Ted, she'll probably get something like 94%, and with Donald maybe 93-92% at absolute max.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

84%.

This is delusional

[Virginiá]

It'll be back to 2004 without Obama on the ballot. Kerry got 89%, so should Hillary.

Gore got 90% in 2000, so I don't see why Hillary wouldn't either (by that logic). Exit polls from 2010 midterms showed Democrat candidates getting (overall) 91% of the black vote, and 90% in 2014. So it is a bit silly to think Hillary, beloved by the African American community, couldn't reach 91%. After all, Republicans have done nothing for African Americans, have not reached out to them and have largely spent the last 7.5 years indirectly insulting them via numerous proxies (viciously attacking and obstructing Obama, AllLivesMatter, Trump rally beatings, voter suppression, and so on). In light of this, I think it's a bit foolish to say that Obama's departure will reset everything, because it won't.

Also, why does everyone assume that the black vote is going to reset to 2004-levels just because Obama isn't on the ballot? Black turnout, for instance, had not only been trending upwards for decades prior to Obama, but also remained high even in the past 2 midterms ("high" relative to what it used to be in prior midterms), so there is currently more evidence than not that changes to black voting patterns are not temporary but rather here to stay.

In regards to the topic, I'll say between 90% - 92%, depending on who the GOP nominee is. I would not be surprised if it went higher against Trump.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

93%, I do not see any reason Cruz or Trump will improve the GOP standing with AA voters

[Senator-elect Spark]

89-90% - Vs Kasich
91-92% - Vs Cruz
93-95%- Vs Trump

[Wisconsin+17]

0.

[Adam Griffin]

The black vote is disproportionately female when compared to other groups. In several Southern states, females make up 60% of the black electorate. The chance to vote for the first female President will elevate black support for Clinton above the standard 89-90% that we've grown to expect in modern history.

I expect Clinton will get 92% in the end; she'd match Obama 2012 if not for a slight swing away from Dems among black male voters.

[Xing]

92%.

[Ebowed]

floor of 88%, ceiling of 94%

Depending on the tone of the campaign and the way Trump handles himself, he could potentially do worse than Romney.  Also, for those banking on a decreased African-American turnout... well, don't.

[dax00]

0.

This. Bernie Sanders would be nominee after she gets indicted.

[Landslide Lyndon]

0.

This. Bernie Sanders would be nominee after she gets indicted.

Why is this sock still posting?