The Republicans Have More Excitement

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Virtually every swing state has had far greater Republican turnout than Democratic turnout.  Trump helps because he makes everyone else look really normal to the average voter.  We're heading for a Republican landslide this November, but you liberals can't see it.

[Virginiá]

Primary turnout has little to do with general election success. If it did, Democrats would have won in 1988, Republicans wouldn't have lost the popular vote in 2000 and Republicans would have won 2012 with their historic primary turnout figures.

For more information:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/

But thanks for the smug, incorrect post.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Virtually every swing state has had far greater Republican turnout than Democratic turnout.  Trump helps because he makes everyone else look really normal to the average voter.  We're heading for a Republican landslide this November, but you liberals can't see it.

A landslide is impossible in our polarized political climate.

[Mehmentum]

Yes.  The Republican primary process has a lot of energy.  So does a train wreck.

People fleeing from a burning building are certainly doing so with enthusiasm, but I'd much rather live in a house that's not on fire.

[Xing]

I'll also mention that in 2008, the Democrats had higher turnout in many states that McCain eventually won, like Arkansas, South Carolina, Georgia, and even Oklahoma.

[The Other Castro]

Fivethirtyeight isn't usually the best source, but they do provide very handy data from time to time:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I'll also mention that in 2008, the Democrats had higher turnout in many states that McCain eventually won, like Arkansas, South Carolina, Georgia, and even Oklahoma.

But higher Democratic turnout led to a Democratic landslide.

[Virginiá]

But higher Democratic turnout led to a Democratic landslide.

Correlation does not necessarily equal causation.

If 10,000 Republicans and 15,000 Democrats will vote in November, and in the primaries, 6,000 Republicans and 3,000 Democrats vote, does it matter? Come November, Republicans are still outvoted.  These low turnout primaries make it pretty easy to have "high turnout", because compared to a GE, it's such a small amount of voters to begin with.

Are you one of those people who latches on to their own idea and even when proven wrong, they refuse to let go?

[The Other Castro]

I'll also mention that in 2008, the Democrats had higher turnout in many states that McCain eventually won, like Arkansas, South Carolina, Georgia, and even Oklahoma.

But higher Democratic turnout led to a Democratic landslide.

No, 8 years of George W. Bush, Sarah Palin being a John McCain heartbeat away from the Presidency, disapproval over the Iraq War, and an economic collapse led to a Democratic landslide.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Most of the states that voted had already assumed Clinton was inevitable like in MI and die hard Sander voters are turning out more. If there was that much more excitement Rubio would have been nominated who is far more electable. Clinton is beating Trump

[This account no longer in use.]

Not only did Sanders get more votes in Oklahoma than Cruz, but Clinton got more votes than Trump. Where's your god now?

[ElectionsGuy]

The massive amount of Republican division will automatically cancel out the turnout factor so far and then some.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

This is obviously ExtremeRepublican's first election cycle he's ever paid any attention to. Let him off easy, guys.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Aside from 1988, and 2012, he's completely correct? That speaks volumes.

[RaphaelDLG]

I'm sorry, I read this thread title as "The Republicans Have More Excrement"

[DINGO Joe]

Is the excitement more finding your hair is on fire excitement or more finding you're hanging from the ceiling by your genitalia excitement?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

This is obviously ExtremeRepublican's first election cycle he's ever paid any attention to. Let him off easy, guys.

I have actually been paying close attention since I was 12.  I am actually quite politically involved and have personally met about half of this cycle's GOP candidates.

[Virginiá]

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Aside from 1988, and 2012, he's completely correct? That speaks volumes.

No, that's the thing, it really doesn't. The article I posted even has a chart, and explains why primary turnout isn't relevant here better than I could hope to.

[Xing]

This is obviously ExtremeRepublican's first election cycle he's ever paid any attention to. Let him off easy, guys.

I have actually been paying close attention since I was 12.  I am actually quite politically involved and have met about half of this cycle's GOP candidates. I am even having dinner with one tomorrow night!

Well, you're clearly paying a lot of attention to, and very invested in the GOP side of the race. However, when predicting a GE, you need to look at the big picture. The Democratic race hasn't gotten as much coverage and isn't as competitive as the GOP race, which doesn't mean that Democrats aren't going to turn out in November, especially if Republicans pick someone as conservative as Cruz or as outlandish as Trump. Trump and Cruz clearly have their appeal within the GOP, but that doesn't mean that they can expand their coalition enough to win a GE.

[The Other Castro]

One of the first things covered in most classes is that correlation does not imply causation. In this case, there isn't even much correlation. If Republicans win in November, it won't be due to higher primary turnout.