When does Hillary clinch the nomination?

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

I have a feeling she could have this wrapped up by the 26th if she wins NY.

[Lyin' Steve]

March 15

[°Leprechaun]

When (if?) she gets to 2026. Unlikely before June 7.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

When (if?) she gets to 2026. Unlikely before June 7.

That's blasphemy! She should get it on June 7th 2116!

[beaver2.0]

Still think Sanders will get the nomination.

[Holmes]

It'll be wrapped up on the 26 but she won't reach 2383 until June 7.

[°Leprechaun]

Still think Sanders will get the nomination.

[Boston Bread]

At the convention, she won't get a majority of delegates officially until the supers are counted.

[°Leprechaun]

It'll be wrapped up on the 26 but she won't reach 2383 until June 7.

To get to 2027 pledged delegates she needs to win all the delegates on April 19 and April 26. So, it's possible that she can get to the needed 2026 by April 26. Good luck with that.

[Liberalrocks]

March 15

[Erc]

I think we ran the math on this a while back.  Including supers, clinching on June 5 (Puerto Rico) seemed possible, but is tougher considering her performance in recent weeks; she'd need to win around 62% of the pledged delegates (assuming no further super endorsements) in order to do so.

This seems like a pretty tall order, but she'll clinch anyway on June 7.  It seems likely that she and the media will declare victory that day (sorry, DC), although Sanders may continue a quixotic campaign until the convention.

[RJEvans]

With Supes, June 7. But Sanders will say she doesn't have the necessary delegates and try to fight it.

[IceSpear]

Depends how you define "clinch." By the most restrictive definition, she won't clinch the nomination until the convention.

But if you mean realistically, March 15th or March 1st. IA/SC were canaries in the coal mine, but I wouldn't say she really clinched it until Super Tuesday, and then the last thin sliver of hope was wiped out on March 15th.

[Xing]

She won't reach the magic number until June 7th, but it was all but certain by March 15th.

[Figueira]

June 7th.

[°Leprechaun]

Just for the record, Clinton supporters here have always thought that she was inevitable, even before the Iowa caucus, so to say that she is inevitable before getting to the majority of pledgeds, is open to debate at the very least. I had previously stated that I thought she was fairly certain to win on the day of the Michigan primary, because I thought she would win Michigan. When she lost, I realized I was falling for Clintonthink.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

She clinches after Cali is counted as Sanders name and votes will be counted still in caucus states.

[°Leprechaun]

By the way, look what people thought on Jan 1, 2016:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=225634.msg4845978#msg4845978

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

At the convention, she won't get a majority of delegates officially until the supers are counted.

This.

[Figueira]

At the convention, she won't get a majority of delegates officially until the supers are counted.

This.

Well that's true in any primary, even if she does get enough pledged delegates to make the superdelegates irrelevant.

[Senator-elect Spark]

She won't

[Likely Voter]

While technically she cannot until the convention, she 'clinches' when Sanders concedes. Certainly if the ~500 supers she currently has stay with her, then it is essentially impossible for her not to have 2383 on June 7th. The only question is, will Sanders accept it (like how Clinton conceded to Obama a couple days after the last primary in 2008 when he announced enough supers to put him over the top).

If Sanders does catch up to Clinton in pledged delegates and/or passes her PV margin, then there will be a big question about the supers. Otherwise there is going to be enormous pressure on Sanders to concede after CA and certainly after DC. If he refuses to do so, it will put the party in an awkward position. Do they build a convention schedule around a Clinton victory or go through the charade of how the supers supporting Clinton could change their mind and vote Sanders? I suspect that even if Sanders doesn't concede, the party will declare Clinton the 'presumptive nominee' based on survey of the supers and just ignore his refusal to endorse/concede.

[IceSpear]

She won't

Can you do math? Or are you one of the people who think she'll be indicted? lol

[Figueira]

She won't

Can you do math? Or are you one of the people who think she'll be indicted? lol

It's not mathematically impossible for her to lose, but it's very unlikely for this reason.

[IceSpear]

She won't

Can you do math? Or are you one of the people who think she'll be indicted? lol

It's not mathematically impossible for her to lose, but it's very unlikely for this reason.

Well yeah, it's not impossible. In the same sense that it wasn't impossible for McCain to win in 08 after losing Ohio. It requires ludicrous unimaginable scenarios basically.