Which NY counties will produce the best results for each of the 5 candidates?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

As the title says, which county will be the best for each candidate. I'm not even going to attempt it

[ElectionsGuy]

Bronx - Clinton
Tompkins (Ithaca) - Sanders

Richmond (Staten Island) - Trump
Tompkins - Kasich
IDFK - Cruz

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hillary - Bronx
Sanders - Tompkins
Trump - Richmond
Kasich - Westchester
Cruz - Monroe

[dax00]

Trump - Richmond
Kasich - New York
Cruz - New York
Clinton - Bronx
Sanders - Tompkins

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Cruz - New York

Cruz may literally get 0% in Manhattan.

There's gotta be some self hating New Yorkers who vote for Cruz there, or they may be blind and tick CRUZ by accident

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Bernie: Tompkins
Hillary: Bronx
Trump: Richmond
Kasich: Westchester
Cruz: Hamilton

[IceSpear]

Bernie: Tompkins
Hillary: Bronx
Trump: Richmond
Kasich: Westchester
Cruz: Hamilton

This. Cruz is a crapshoot really. It will be some random upstate county.

[DrScholl]

Clinton: New York
Sanders: Wyoming
Trump: New York

The others will post their best result somewhere random upstate.

[politicallefty]

I think the Democratic side is so much easier than the Republican side. There's no way it won't be Tompkins for Bernie. I also agree with the Bronx for Hillary, but it's conceivable it could be another borough, such as Brooklyn or even Manhattan.

As for Trump, my first instinct was Nassau, but I'm not sure anymore. Trump will sweep most, if not possibly all, of the NYC and Long Island districts (and probably above 50% in all counties therein). The Republican vote is so small in most of NYC that it's hard to say. His best boroughs will almost certainly be New York and Richmond (in no particular order). Kasich will probably run best in a district and county where Trump gets above 50%, New York or maybe even the Bronx. I think Cruz will do best in some random Western New York county.

Just curious, but does anyone know what the ultra-Orthodox Jewish population in Borough Park and the like are thinking this election? I know that they voted for Gore and I think Kerry as well, but went en masse for McCain and Romney. What is the general thinking this year?

[The Other Castro]

Don't know about Republicans, but there's basically no chance that it's not Tompkins and Bronx for Sanders and Clinton.

Bronx: Clinton 74%, Sanders 26%
Tompkins: Sanders 65%, Clinton 35%

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Bernie: Tompkins
Hillary: Bronx
Trump: Richmond
Kasich: Westchester
Cruz: Hamilton

This. Cruz is a crapshoot really. It will be some random upstate county.

Hamilton isn't some random upstate county. It's the least densely populated county in the entire eastern half of the country, and is the most Republican county in the state.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Remember that urban/suburban fundie are Cruz's most reliable voters.

[IceSpear]

Results:

Clinton: Bronx (70-30)
Sanders: Clinton (74-26)

Trump: Richmond (82-10)
Kasich: New York (45-42)
Cruz: Tompkins (38-35-27, he got the 27)

So nearly everyone was correct on Hillary and Trump. Bernie actually did better in several counties that bordered Vermont than he did in Tompkins, with Clinton County ironically being his best. Cruz inexplicably did best in Tompkins.

[Oak Hills]

Sanders: Clinton (74-26)

lmao

[Lief 🗽]

Results:

Clinton: Bronx (70-30)
Sanders: Clinton (74-26)

Trump: Richmond (82-10)
Kasich: New York (45-42)
Cruz: Tompkins (38-35-27, he got the 27)

So nearly everyone was correct on Hillary and Trump. Bernie actually did better in several counties that bordered Vermont than he did in Tompkins, with Clinton County ironically being his best. Cruz inexplicably did best in Tompkins.

College Republicans love Ted.

[IceSpear]

Results:

Clinton: Bronx (70-30)
Sanders: Clinton (74-26)

Trump: Richmond (82-10)
Kasich: New York (45-42)
Cruz: Tompkins (38-35-27, he got the 27)

So nearly everyone was correct on Hillary and Trump. Bernie actually did better in several counties that bordered Vermont than he did in Tompkins, with Clinton County ironically being his best. Cruz inexplicably did best in Tompkins.

College Republicans love Ted.

Why is that? Cruz doesn't really seem like the college type...lol.

[ElectionsGuy]

Results:

Clinton: Bronx (70-30)
Sanders: Clinton (74-26)

Trump: Richmond (82-10)
Kasich: New York (45-42)
Cruz: Tompkins (38-35-27, he got the 27)

So nearly everyone was correct on Hillary and Trump. Bernie actually did better in several counties that bordered Vermont than he did in Tompkins, with Clinton County ironically being his best. Cruz inexplicably did best in Tompkins.

College Republicans love Ted.

Why is that? Cruz doesn't really seem like the college type...lol.

Cruz and Kasich do better among younger voters, who are more anti-Trump than older Republicans. Trump's best age group is baby boomers and middle-aged (45-70). Gives me hope for the future, at least...

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Results:

Clinton: Bronx (70-30)
Sanders: Clinton (74-26)

Trump: Richmond (82-10)
Kasich: New York (45-42)
Cruz: Tompkins (38-35-27, he got the 27)

So nearly everyone was correct on Hillary and Trump. Bernie actually did better in several counties that bordered Vermont than he did in Tompkins, with Clinton County ironically being his best. Cruz inexplicably did best in Tompkins.

College Republicans love Ted.

Why is that? Cruz doesn't really seem like the college type...lol.

Cruz and Kasich do better among younger voters, who are more anti-Trump than older Republicans. Trump's best age group is baby boomers and middle-aged (45-70). Gives me hope for the future, at least...

Rubio was dominant among young Republicans when he was running, and they seem to have split between Cruz and Kasich since then.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

If anything it suggests on both sides the increasing polarization of millennials.

[Gass3268]

If anything it suggests on both sides the increasing polarization of millennials.

I'd be happy if the future was socialist-lite progressives vs. libertarian leaning Republicans (Paul types more than Cruz types, less fundie).

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

If anything it suggests on both sides the increasing polarization of millennials.

I'd be happy if the future was socialist-lite progressives vs. libertarian leaning Republicans (Paul types more than Cruz types, less fundie).

This doesn't make sense...

[Gass3268]

If anything it suggests on both sides the increasing polarization of millennials.

I'd be happy if the future was socialist-lite progressives vs. libertarian leaning Republicans (Paul types more than Cruz types, less fundie).

This doesn't make sense...

Less fundamentalist/evangelical libertarian leaning Republicans, like the Pauls rather than the Cruz's of the world.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

Cruz and Kasich do better among younger voters, who are more anti-Trump than older Republicans. Trump's best age group is baby boomers and middle-aged (45-70). Gives me hope for the future, at least...

Rubio was dominant among young Republicans when he was running, and they seem to have split between Cruz and Kasich since then.

Agreed.  I know hundreds of younger Republicans.  I can count on one hand the number that supported Trump in the primary.  I don't know more than six or seven who have said they'll vote for Trump if he's the nominee.  That number will go up once he's actually the nominee, but it ain't going to be pretty.

Meanwhile, Rubio had North Korea levels of support among these folks.

[Lief 🗽]

College Republicans are ideological hardliners and/or religious fundies. Neither likely to vote for Trump.

[Mr. Morden]

Interestingly, I think back in August/September or so, the polls almost all had Trump doing better among younger Republican voters than older Republican voters.  But that seems to have completely flipped.  I wonder if it's partially a function of who his competition is.  If Bush was one of the final three candidates and polling ~20% or more, would he be doing well with olds, meaning that Trump would be stronger with youngs?