UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Trump-Clinton Tied

[Zioneer]

Again, Mormons dislike Trump for various reasons. As others have mentioned, the perceived immorality in his personal life and his casinos and alcohol shilling is a factor, but also his anti-immigrant (there are a lot of Mormons who are Mexican, and even more who know a Mormon Mexican) and anti-refugee rhetoric. Mormons also don't trust his inconsistent views (Republican-Democrat-Reform; what political party will he belong to next?) and flip-flopping.

And his obnoxious, arrogant, and anti-humble attitude makes it even worse. Mormons prefer politicians who at least pretend to be humble. And Trump has attacked Romney, which is like someone attacking JFK at the height of Kennedy nostalgia among Catholics.

[Zioneer]

Trump will win UT

Sure, but it'll be closer than it should be. I imagine Trump will win Utah by about 10-15%, rather than nearly 50% like Romney did.

[Zioneer]

38% statewide would probably mean that UT-4 would turn blue and boot Mia Love down ballot. If Democrats could gain some good footing in Salt Lake County that they could possibly make stick in the future, that would great

That's the plan. We want to make sure Mia Love loses, and to take back several legislative seats we lost in 2014. After that, there's a few more seats that are winnable. Our long-therm plan is to break the super-majority and turn it into a regular majority.

EDIT: As for my alcohol shilling remark, whether or not he personally drinks, as I understand it, he's done commercials and such in support of some alcohol beverages. Mormons might not like that, was my point.