Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[YPestis25]

MSNBC made that note that the first round of exit polls were almost exclusively from New York City.

Is that just the city proper, or the city plus the suburbs? If it's both, we could be in for a decently close result. Not saying Bernie will win, but at least it won't be embarrassing.

[Zache]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/722541691333451777

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Hmm, that's a first.

[YPestis25]

Chris Matthews is being his usual charming self tonight.

[Fusionmunster]

MSNBC made that note that the first round of exit polls were almost exclusively from New York City.

Is that just the city proper, or the city plus the suburbs? If it's both, we could be in for a decently close result. Not saying Bernie will win, but at least it won't be embarrassing.

You say that but I thought the Wisconsin exit polls were pretty good for Hillary too. I mean, Bernie might do well but if the racial makeup and party id numbers hold, I think it could be a double digit win for Hillary.

[YPestis25]

MSNBC made that note that the first round of exit polls were almost exclusively from New York City.

Is that just the city proper, or the city plus the suburbs? If it's both, we could be in for a decently close result. Not saying Bernie will win, but at least it won't be embarrassing.

You say that but I thought the Wisconsin exit polls were pretty good for Hillary too. I mean, Bernie might do well but if the racial makeup and party id numbers hold, I think it could be a double digit win for Hillary.

Oh yeah, I still think a double digit win is more likely than a single digit one for sure. Oh well, guess we'll just have to wait for the top lines to come in.

[Lief 🗽]

MSNBC made that note that the first round of exit polls were almost exclusively from New York City.

lol there's no way whites are 60% of the vote in NYC... MSNBC is wrong

[Young Conservative]

This isn't looking like a Clinton landslide. It is looking like a tight race based on demographics and ideology, as I suspected.

[The Other Castro]

MSNBC made that note that the first round of exit polls were almost exclusively from New York City.

lol there's no way whites are 60% of the vote in NYC... MSNBC is wrong

Buffalo and partial upstate numbers are probably factoring in as well, meaning the white vote statewide will probably be in the mid or high 60s.

[dspNY]

Most telling numbers:

21% African American, 13% Latino

18% would not vote for Sanders in a general election, only 13% would not vote for Clinton
21% have doubts about voting for Sanders in a general, 20% would have doubts about Clinton

[Oakvale]

This isn't looking like a Clinton landslide. It is looking like a tight race based on demographics and ideology, as I suspected.

[Mr. Morden]

[Eraserhead]

Most telling numbers:

21% African American, 13% Latino

18% would not vote for Sanders in a general election, only 13% would not vote for Clinton
21% have doubts about voting for Sanders in a general, 20% would have doubts about Clinton

They're not necessarily all that telling because I don't see them holding.

[Mr. Morden]

[Mr. Morden]

[Gass3268]

Sanders usually wins this by a lot more, right?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I think we need to keep remembering very closed primary. I'm not sure this data is telling us much at all.

[IceSpear]

Bernie won that question 59-38 in Wisconsin, where he won 57-43. I'd assume that question would function as something of a floor for Hillary.

[Averroës Nix]

14% of Democrats are most concerned about "terrorism"? New York values at work!

[Mehmentum]

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)

[Gass3268]

This is an odd number.

[The Other Castro]

This is an odd number.

Well, that's weird.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)

We know it's NYC?

[Gass3268]

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)

We know it's NYC?

That's what Chuck Todd and Steve Kornacki said about the first round, but that was at 5pm.

[MaxQue]

Looks like a Clinton victory, but not a landslide.

[Mehmentum]

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)

We know it's NYC?

Apparently.

From ABC:

Caution: Exit poll results this evening may change significantly after 9 p.m.

This is because polling places in 50 of the state’s counties – outside the New York City area and Buffalo – opened at noon. People in those counties with day jobs can’t vote until after work, so they won’t be included in early exit poll results.

We don’t know if this will change the post-9 p.m. exit poll data, but it could. So consider the data that are available from 5-9 p.m. as especially preliminary, and check back for updates.