Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 22952 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #225 on: April 19, 2016, 09:21:34 PM »

Of all places for Trump to lose, Manhattan is just too perfect.
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jaichind
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« Reply #226 on: April 19, 2016, 09:28:01 PM »

In terms of raw votes the NY GOP turnout was really not that high.
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Skye
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« Reply #227 on: April 19, 2016, 09:29:15 PM »

Does somebody know why Nassau county is completely missing?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #228 on: April 19, 2016, 09:30:22 PM »

Trump finally under 60%
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RI
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« Reply #229 on: April 19, 2016, 09:31:02 PM »

Does somebody know why Nassau county is completely missing?

Dunno. Their county elections page has results.
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bigedlb
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« Reply #230 on: April 19, 2016, 09:32:24 PM »

Does somebody know why Nassau county is completely missing?
Space aliens? Smiley
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
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« Reply #231 on: April 19, 2016, 09:32:57 PM »

How can the Manhattan congressional districts be so screwy that Kasich isnt winning them? Ugh.
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PaperKooper
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« Reply #232 on: April 19, 2016, 09:34:47 PM »

How can the Manhattan congressional districts be so screwy that Kasich isnt winning them? Ugh.
Democratic gerrymandering magic!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #233 on: April 19, 2016, 09:35:10 PM »

My guess of the final result:

Trump - 57
Kasich - 27
Cruz - 16
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #234 on: April 19, 2016, 09:36:25 PM »

How can the Manhattan congressional districts be so screwy that Kasich isnt winning them? Ugh.

NY-10 is the true beauty, combining the elite Kasich friendly Manhattan portions with Cruz friendly orthodox Jewish neightborhoods. lol
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bigedlb
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« Reply #235 on: April 19, 2016, 09:36:31 PM »

Does somebody know why Nassau county is completely missing?
CD 4 now coming in  Trump 70% Kasich 21% Cruz 9%. 3 delegates for Trump
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #236 on: April 19, 2016, 09:36:35 PM »

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Isn't that what we're on about?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #237 on: April 19, 2016, 09:39:16 PM »

Does somebody know why Nassau county is completely missing?

It's just starting to trickle in, but usually Nassau and Westchester straggle in late for whatever reason.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #238 on: April 19, 2016, 09:39:38 PM »
« Edited: April 19, 2016, 09:41:20 PM by ElectionsGuy »

Right now, with everything staying the same, Trump wins 91/95 delegates, and that assumes he wins NY-12, no sure bet. We're looking at - at least a net 85 overall. Cruz will get nothing, so he nets whatever amount he wins over Cruz, erasing his victories Wisconsin, Colorado and Wyoming combined.
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« Reply #239 on: April 19, 2016, 09:40:03 PM »

How can the Manhattan congressional districts be so screwy that Kasich isnt winning them? Ugh.
Democratic gerrymandering magic!
A court actually drew the NY maps.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #240 on: April 19, 2016, 09:42:42 PM »

My guess of the final result:

Trump - 57
Kasich - 27
Cruz - 16

Feels more like Trump finishes around 58.5-59% given how much of LI is still out.  Tonight should make Cruz and Kasich quite nervous about Trump sweeping the Coastal CA majority-minority seats.  Kasich's result in Manhattan probably bodes well for him in downtown SF and the wealthiest L.A. CD, though.

Yeah, looking at it again it looks like it might stay the same as it is now. I overestimated upstate.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #241 on: April 19, 2016, 09:42:44 PM »

Trump back above 60
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Why
Unbiased
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« Reply #242 on: April 19, 2016, 09:44:12 PM »

Trump is looking at the possibility of losing a delegate in 10,12,13,20,24. Maybe 2 in 12.
So looks like a minimum of 89 delegates and probably a couple more than that. 91 or 92 most likely.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #243 on: April 19, 2016, 09:44:21 PM »

Well, someone asked not too long ago if Trump would surpass his (previously) top performance in a county (which was in Virginia) of 68% or so...looks like he topped that in three separate instances in NY tonight. LOL Staten Island.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #244 on: April 19, 2016, 09:48:10 PM »

Giuliani now saying Trump could take NY in the general, do people lose their mind the second they endorse Trump?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #245 on: April 19, 2016, 09:48:24 PM »

Trump is looking at the possibility of losing a delegate in 10,12,13,20,24. Maybe 2 in 12.
So looks like a minimum of 89 delegates and probably a couple more than that. 91 or 92 most likely.
Manafort said over 90 with the possibility of a few more. The way it's looking, 10 and 12 are Kasich delegates, a handful could go either way. 90+ sounds about right.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #246 on: April 19, 2016, 09:48:40 PM »

Republicans averaging 5 votes per precinct in the Bronx.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #247 on: April 19, 2016, 09:48:50 PM »

#CruzUnder15
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #248 on: April 19, 2016, 09:50:18 PM »

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Trumps 'landslide' has all of 395k voters.

Bernie has 625k.
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PeteB
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« Reply #249 on: April 19, 2016, 09:50:51 PM »

You've got to give credit where credit is due. And Trump killed it tonight. I still think he loses CD 12 (Manhattan - where they know him Smiley), but otherwise he hit a home run!
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