Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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  Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 22587 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: April 19, 2016, 04:55:14 AM »
« edited: April 19, 2016, 04:46:50 PM by Mr. Morden »

Polls in New York will be open from 6am to 9pm ET.

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until all the polls have closed in the state.

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ny/Rep
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/new-york
New York Board of Elections (includes CD results): http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/home.aspx

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Joe Republic
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« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 05:05:39 AM »


This map tells me that Drumpf will sweep Mohawk Valley and Western NY.
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jaichind
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 05:55:41 AM »

For some reason Carson's name is still on the ballot.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 06:49:40 AM »

Peter King voted for Kasich.
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PeteB
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 07:53:19 AM »


Yes - and Giuliani just voted for Trump (and informally endorsed him).  No surprise on either.
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The Free North
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 09:07:25 AM »

For some reason Carson's name is still on the ballot.

He is still on my CT ballot as well.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2016, 10:02:31 AM »

Of course, if you're an anti-Trump voter in NY, voting Carson is just as good as voting Cruz or Kasich, provided you don't live in a district that Trump could conceivably lose to Cruz or Kasich.  If it helps get Trump under 50% in your district, a Carson vote is as good as a Cruz or Kasich vote.  The only issue would be if you lived in a district where the Cruz-Kasich margin was close, and you had a strong preference as to which of them should get a delegate.
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bandg
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2016, 10:20:03 AM »

It looks like all of Carson's votes will be void (I can't post the actual link, but just google 'Carson New York Primary' and it should be easy enough to find). This is actually a pretty savvy move (or devious depending on your perspective) by the Trump campaign, leaving Carson's name on the ballot to drain some of the anti-Trump vote, but then having all of those votes not count.
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jman123
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2016, 10:22:55 AM »

Realistically, howe will this play out tonight?
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2016, 11:08:35 AM »

Realistically, howe will this play out tonight?

Polls close, media calls it for Trump instantaneously, we watch to see how many CDs he gets over 50% in (because it's very likely he wins them all).
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jaichind
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« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2016, 11:24:19 AM »

Of course, if you're an anti-Trump voter in NY, voting Carson is just as good as voting Cruz or Kasich, provided you don't live in a district that Trump could conceivably lose to Cruz or Kasich.  If it helps get Trump under 50% in your district, a Carson vote is as good as a Cruz or Kasich vote.  The only issue would be if you lived in a district where the Cruz-Kasich margin was close, and you had a strong preference as to which of them should get a delegate.


Correct.  Which is why I am confused why Carson is on the ballot.  Carson endorsed Trump yet he does not take his name off the ballot which could only hurt Trump and not help him all things equal.
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« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2016, 11:28:05 AM »

Of course, if you're an anti-Trump voter in NY, voting Carson is just as good as voting Cruz or Kasich, provided you don't live in a district that Trump could conceivably lose to Cruz or Kasich.  If it helps get Trump under 50% in your district, a Carson vote is as good as a Cruz or Kasich vote.  The only issue would be if you lived in a district where the Cruz-Kasich margin was close, and you had a strong preference as to which of them should get a delegate.


Correct.  Which is why I am confused why Carson is on the ballot.  Carson endorsed Trump yet he does not take his name off the ballot which could only hurt Trump and not help him all things equal.

Carson's votes are being voided and won't even be reported.

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jaichind
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« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2016, 11:46:51 AM »

Thinking about the Carson situation if we make the assumption that Trump will every CD then maybe what Cruz and Kasich should have asked Rubio, Bush, and even Pataki to get themselves back on the ballot last week as to maximize the chance that Trump will not cross 50%.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2016, 01:49:14 PM »


New York Rep. Peter King: "I'll take cyanide" if Ted Cruz is the GOP nominee

Lol!
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #14 on: April 19, 2016, 02:37:46 PM »

It's not like Carson would really pull in more than 1% anyway, so what difference does it ultimately make?
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #15 on: April 19, 2016, 02:39:41 PM »

My bold prediction is that Trump loses 2 or 3 congressional districts outright and only gets ~75 delegates.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #16 on: April 19, 2016, 02:43:52 PM »


Here's a good reason to back Cruz.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #17 on: April 19, 2016, 02:51:19 PM »

I expect Trump to win all CD except for 2 CD's and get around 85 delegates.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #18 on: April 19, 2016, 02:58:31 PM »

I believe this link will have results by CD:
http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/home.aspx
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Erc
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« Reply #19 on: April 19, 2016, 03:00:26 PM »


Oh great!  I was worried we wouldn't know the numbers here for weeks.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: April 19, 2016, 03:11:06 PM »

I wonder if the New York Times will have live precinct maps for the city like they've had for the mayoral race. 
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swf541
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« Reply #21 on: April 19, 2016, 03:14:35 PM »

I expect Trump to win all CD except for 2 CD's and get around 85 delegates.
Which 2?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #22 on: April 19, 2016, 03:14:52 PM »

My bold prediction is that Trump loses 2 or 3 congressional districts outright and only gets ~75 delegates.

I expect Trump to win all CD except for 2 CD's and get around 85 delegates.

My hope is that Little-Hands-Drumpf is kept under 50% with the overall state count.
This will keep him from winning the statewide delegates outright, and deny him the honor of saying that he won N.Y. (his home state) with a majority.
(Though I doubt Cruz/Kasich will be able to pull this off.)
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #23 on: April 19, 2016, 03:16:10 PM »


Oh great!  I was worried we wouldn't know the numbers here for weeks.

Excellent find Castro !
Thanks for posting the link.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #24 on: April 19, 2016, 03:58:25 PM »

Any final predictions on the delegate number and percent of the vote?
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