Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Why]

The only real doubt for me is who wins 12 and does Trump get to 50% in 13 and 20.
At he moment I think Trump wins 12 and fails to get to 50% in 20. 13 I have no idea.

So that is 90 or 91 most likely with an outside chance of 89 or 92.

[Matty]

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin

[PeteB]

According to current results:

Trump - 90 delegates
Kasich - 5 delegates
Cruz - 0 delegates

But that is still fluid. Kasich could yet fall to 3 or 4 or rise to 9-10. Trump is virtually guaranteed 85 delegates right now.

[wolfsblood07]

The unthinkable has come to be.  Donald Trump is the presumptive nominee.  The establishment of a major party has been defeated.  How they deal with this is going to be fascinating to watch!

[Dr. Arch]

yeah looks like Trump will come out with about 91 delegates.

More than enough to help him towards that 1,237... unfortunately.

[dax00]

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin

No it wouldn't. An Indiana victory isn't vital for Trump's first ballot hopes. As long as Trump wins a few CDs there, it's all right. California will really decide.

[ElectionAtlas]

Kasich Leads by 70 votes in CD 12 with 99% reporting.
https://enrweb.boenyc.us/CND19721.html

NYS BOE not caught up with NYC BOE...

Enjoy,
Dave

[Fargobison]

One CD for Kasich!

[Ronnie]

Kasich Leads by 70 votes in CD 12 with 99% reporting.
https://enrweb.boenyc.us/CND19721.html

NYS BOE not caught up with NYC BOE...

Enjoy,
Dave

Well, that's huge news.  Looks like Trump is down to 89.

[Vosem]

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin

No it wouldn't. An Indiana victory isn't vital for Trump's first ballot hopes. As long as Trump wins a few CDs there, it's all right. California will really decide.

But an Indiana victory would make it likelier-than-not, whereas an Indiana defeat would break-up momentum and make him rely on an overwhelming victory in California, which is unlikely to come.

[danny]

So cruz's best neighbourhoods in NYC are in descending order: Bourough Park, Far Rockaway, South Williamsburg, Crown Heights South. Or in other words, All the Hasidic areas.

[wolfsblood07]

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin

That would be more likely if Jeb Bush or Rick Perry were in 2nd place, about 50 to 100 delegates behind.  But the way it is, I think they either accept Trump as the nominee or they take it from him using backroom dealings and I doubt they will have enough fight in them to do that.  The Laura Ingraham/Ann Coulter wing might leave the party for good.

[Why]

So 89 or 90 unless Trump gets to 50% in 20 which seems unlikely to me.
At the moment Trump on exactly 50% in 13.

[PeteB]

Yes, it's official - Kasich wins Manhattan:

CD 12
Kasich - 44.38%
Trump - 43.95%

[Classic Conservative]

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin

That would be more likely if Jeb Bush or Rick Perry were in 2nd place, about 50 to 100 delegates behind.  But the way it is, I think they either accept Trump as the nominee or they take it from him using backroom dealings and I doubt they will have enough fight in them to do that.  The Laura Ingraham/Ann Coulter wing might leave the party for good.

Good if Ann Coulter leaves.

[Fargobison]

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin

 But the way it is, I think they either accept Trump as the nominee or they take it from him using backroom dealings and I doubt they will have enough fight in them to do that.  The Laura Ingraham/Ann Coulter wing might leave the party for good.

Good riddance

[Vosem]

The unthinkable has come to be.  Donald Trump is the presumptive nominee.  The establishment of a major party has been defeated.  How they deal with this is going to be fascinating to watch!

As I've made clear elsewhere, _trump is running behind where he needs to me right now even if he wins every delegate (which he hasn't).

[DemPGH]

This is just awesome. New York, baby! The people (as opposed to little backroom committees) have had their say.

I thought Trump would be around 53-55, but possibly cracking 60 is sweet.

[ElectionsGuy]

There's only two counties where Ted Cruz beat John Kasich: Wyoming County in the western part of the state, and Brooklyn.

[yankeesfan]

Yes, it's official - Kasich wins Manhattan:

CD 12
Kasich - 44.38%
Trump - 43.95%

This makes me very happy

[Vosem]

This is just awesome. New York, baby! The people (as opposed to little backroom committees) have had their say.

Fewer people voted here than in Wisconsin, tho

_trump wins when the bureaucracy keeps the people from voting!

[PeteB]

So, assuming Trump does not reach 50% in CD 13 (he is literally a net 50 votes away, but with over 96% of the vote counted), here are your delegate results for NY state:

Trump - 89 delegates
Kasich -   6 delegates
Cruz    -   0 delegates

[dax00]

Trump at 50% +3 with 13 precincts remaining in NY-13.

What do y'all predict in terms of absentee voting?

[cinyc]

Trump at 50% +3 with 13 precincts remaining in NY-13.

What do y'all predict in terms of absentee voting?

New York has for-cause absentee voting only, meaning you either have to be out of the county/NYC on election day or incapable of getting to the polls because of illness or misdemeanor incarceration.  Who knows what that means in NY-13?  It could be that one or two nursing homes decide who wins the CD's third delegate.

[wolfsblood07]

Trump can win every delegate in the northeast from here on out and an indiana loss would still be nail in coffin

But the way it is, I think they either accept Trump as the nominee or they take it from him using backroom dealings and I doubt they will have enough fight in them to do that.  The Laura Ingraham/Ann Coulter wing might leave the party for good.

Good riddance

What would be left?  The die-hard Republicans of the dwindling religious right and the Wall Street establishment and donor class.  Hopeless.  We need the blue collar Reagan voters, suburban soccer moms, the Ingraham people!  That's how Nixon and Reagan won huge victories!