MD PPP: Hogan with high approvals, leads all challengers

[Maxwell]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_MD_41916.pdf

Larry Hogan Approval Rating:
55% Approve
23% Disapprove

Match-Ups
50% Hogan
36% O'Malley

48% Hogan
29% Delaney

48% Hogan
24% Perez

Former Governor Martin O'Malley holds high unfavorable ratings as well (36/49)

[MT Treasurer]

Not surprising, but the black vote and the DC suburbs in MD are way too inelastic for Hogan to win by more than 10 points. Not happening. And I assume Hogan is one of the few Republicans hoping for a Clinton win in November, because he would be in real trouble if Cruz or Trump won the general.

LOL@O'Malley losing Baltimore City to Hogan, though.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Why are they already polling this?

[This account no longer in use.]

Why are they already polling this?

What else do they have to do?

[Skye]

Not surprising, but the black vote and the DC suburbs in MD are way too inelastic for Hogan to win by more than 10 points. Not happening. And I assume Hogan is one of the few Republicans hoping for a Clinton win in November, because he would be in real trouble if Cruz or Trump won the general.

LOL@O'Malley losing Baltimore City to Hogan, though.

Hogan winning 28% of blacks against O'Malley seems a bit high.

[RRusso1982]

Not surprising, but the black vote and the DC suburbs in MD are way too inelastic for Hogan to win by more than 10 points. Not happening. And I assume Hogan is one of the few Republicans hoping for a Clinton win in November, because he would be in real trouble if Cruz or Trump won the general.

LOL@O'Malley losing Baltimore City to Hogan, though.

Hogan winning 28% of blacks against O'Malley seems a bit high.

Not really.  I believe Bob Ehrlich got almost 25% of the black vote in 2002. 

[RRusso1982]

Hogan may end up like Bill Weld in Massachusetts in 1994.  All the top tier potential challengers (Franchot, Ruppersberger, Gansler, Leggett)  may look at his approval ratings and decide it just isn't worth the risk in running against him and take a pass, leaving Hogan with a second or third tier challenger. I think O'Malley is more likely to hope for Cardin to retire in this scenario so he can run for Senate instead. 

[Kevin]

Not surprising, but the black vote and the DC suburbs in MD are way too inelastic for Hogan to win by more than 10 points. Not happening. And I assume Hogan is one of the few Republicans hoping for a Clinton win in November, because he would be in real trouble if Cruz or Trump won the general.

LOL@O'Malley losing Baltimore City to Hogan, though.

Hogan winning 28% of blacks against O'Malley seems a bit high.

The number might be a bit high but I wouldn't discount it off hand.

So far as Governor Hogan has spent alot of time working on issues impacting Prince Georges County and Baltimore City. Maybe his efforts there are paying off in ways that it wouldn't for a generic R or his last Republican predecessor.

[Frodo]

Yep, he's here to stay.  Maybe after he completes his second (and final) term as governor (which he looks well-placed to win at this point in time), he can look forward to perhaps winning a Senate seat.  Or at least giving the leading Democrat a hard-fought run for his (or her) money.   

[Gass3268]

Yep, he's here to stay.

Isn't this what people were saying about Bob Ehrlich in 2006?

[Kingpoleon]

Why are they already polling this?

What else do they have to do?

Who are they?

[sg0508]

I still cannot see any Republican winning in MD with more than say, 54% of the vote.  The Democratic vote there is so inelastic.

[warandwar]

Not surprising, but the black vote and the DC suburbs in MD are way too inelastic for Hogan to win by more than 10 points. Not happening. And I assume Hogan is one of the few Republicans hoping for a Clinton win in November, because he would be in real trouble if Cruz or Trump won the general.

LOL@O'Malley losing Baltimore City to Hogan, though.

Hogan winning 28% of blacks against O'Malley seems a bit high.

The number might be a bit high but I wouldn't discount it off hand.

So far as Governor Hogan has spent alot of time working on issues impacting Prince Georges County and Baltimore City. Maybe his efforts there are paying off in ways that it wouldn't for a generic R or his last Republican predecessor.

No, he hasn't! He's done absolutely nothing for Baltimore, and is getting sued by the state NAACP for racial discrimination because of it!

[RINO Tom]

I don't care if Hogan currently has unanimous approvals.  He's toast in MD if Trump is president.  He's pretty safe to win again under Clinton, though. 

We'll see.  Hogan has been a good governor (I don't think our socialist avatar judging his Republican governor should be the barometer, LOL), and I hope he sails to re-election.  The country could use more Republicans like him.

[Figueira]

I don't care if Hogan currently has unanimous approvals.  He's toast in MD if Trump is president.  He's pretty safe to win again under Clinton, though. 

On both counts, declaring the results of gubernatorial elections two and a half years from now as "safe" anything is pretty ridiculous.

[BuckeyeNut]

Hogan just signed the "Contraceptives Equity Act," which will surely give him a bump with women.