Suffolk county in the NY Democratic primary
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 05:06:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Suffolk county in the NY Democratic primary
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Suffolk county in the NY Democratic primary  (Read 424 times)
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 21, 2016, 12:58:52 AM »

Does anyone have an idea as to why it was so close? Clinton won it by about a 9.5% margin, but I would think that based on the demographics, it should've been more similar to her 2008 result (where she got 62% of the vote) than what she got last night. It's rich as hell, and I thought Clinton's showing there would've been similar to what she got in Nassau. Could it be because it's more white and less Jewish than Nassau? Are most rich people there just registered Republicans?
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,068


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2016, 01:01:12 AM »

Suffolk really isn't really that wealthy or professional.  It has more working class whites - and is much less Jewish - than Nassau and Westchester.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,754
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2016, 01:05:07 AM »

Suffolk really isn't really that wealthy or professional.  It has more working class whites - and is much less Jewish - than Nassau and Westchester.

So... Clinton's 62% in '08 was more anti-Obama than pro-Clinton.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,731


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2016, 01:12:44 AM »

Suffolk really isn't really that wealthy or professional.  It has more working class whites - and is much less Jewish - than Nassau and Westchester.

It's not really poor either, except for Stony Brook, which I'm sure Bernie landslided due to poor college kids.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2016, 01:13:10 AM »

Suffolk and Nassau voted similarly in the 08 primary, but they voted very differently in the 14 Gov primary, which is a much better proxy race. Cuomo won Suffolk by 13 and Nassau by 31, which is very similar to this year's primary, where Clinton won Suffolk by 10 and Nassau by 27. As for why, I'll leave that one to the New Yorkers.

In any event, I hope we get 08/16 and 14/16 swing maps. It'll be cool to see.
Logged
King of Kensington
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,068


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2016, 12:25:05 PM »

It's not really poor either, except for Stony Brook, which I'm sure Bernie landslided due to poor college kids.

No it looks like your typical outer suburb: a high median household income, few poor, but not really that many very rich people either.
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,074


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 21, 2016, 12:35:22 PM »

Hillary's supporters are different than who they were in 2008. I'm not surprised the voting totals were a little different
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 12 queries.