Philippine General (Presidential, Congress and Local) Elections - May 9, 2016

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

I am thinking if this is the Florida 2000 of the Philippines. But looking at the map of their strongholds. There is still a substantial amount of votes to be counted on both sides.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Marcos leads by 150,000 votes with around 36 millions votes cast.

Hmmm .. I get my result from http://election2016.ppcrv.org/wall/vicepresident.php which has
86.47% of the precincts and

1   FERDINAND JR. MARCOS    12,593,119   35.08%
2   MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO  12,476,529   34.76%
 
with a gap of only 117K. Your source might be more up-to-date.  If so then Marcos has it in the bag because so far the trend seems to be moving against him. 

I am getting it from the results shown at the election night coverage of GMA News. It was from the GMA-Comelec tally.

[jaichind]

 With  88.45% of the precincts counted it is

1   FERDINAND JR. MARCOS   12,798,960      34.9%   
2   MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO 12,777,952      34.84%   

Which means it is now neck-to-neck.  Going by trends it seems Marcos might have lost.  But I guess a lot will depend on which  precincts are outstanding.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

With  88.45% of the precincts counted it is

1   FERDINAND JR. MARCOS   12,798,960      34.9%   
2   MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO 12,777,952      34.84%   

Which means it is now neck-to-neck.  Going by trends it seems Marcos might have lost.  But I guess a lot will depend on which  precincts are outstanding.

6,000 vote lead by Marcos as of now. Wow. Florida 2000 in the making.

[jaichind]

Map of Vice President race so far

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Map of Vice President race so far

If you will check the turnout per province in which Marcos or Robredo is leading, you can see that there is still some provinces on both sides that have a substantial amount of votes to be counted

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Robredo now leads by 600 votes

[jaichind]

Robredo now leads by 600 votes

Yep .  With 89%

1      MARIA LEONOR ROBREDO  12,860,722     34.86%   
2      FERDINAND JR. MARCOS    12,860,147     34.86%   

Will be a long night/day to get to the final results, especially from where I guess might be remote areas.

[jaichind]

Did crime get a lot worse in the Philippines last few years or did income distribution get a lot worse?  The economic situation seems fairly positive under Aquino.  Why would Duterte surge like this?

[jaichind]

This official picture of Leni Robredo (now the leading candidate for VP)  from her campaign website



Makes it hard for me to believe she is 52 years old.  Either it is an old picture or she aged very well.

[jaichind]

 Robredo now ahead by 9000 votes or so 34.9% to 34.8%

[jaichind]

Maria Leonor Robredo
12,939,773
34.9%

Ferdinand Marcos Jr
12,925,873
34.8%

Gap now around 14K in favor of Robredo

 

[jaichind]

Maria Leonor Robredo
13,050,115
34.9%

Ferdinand Marcos Jr
13,000,419
34.8%

Robredo ahead by 50K or so now.  Still plenty of votes out there

[Hash]

Looks like the Trump of the Philippines Duterte wins...

Are we going to call every single candidate who makes controversial comments and is an asshole a 'Trump' now? That's really dumb.

[jaichind]

Looks like the Trump of the Philippines Duterte wins...

Are we going to call every single candidate who makes controversial comments and is an asshole a 'Trump' now? That's really dumb.

Its is really not me.  Multiple media sources like CNN, Foreign Policy Magazine, Daily Beast, NBC etc etc have all referred him to the the Trump of the Philippines

[Hash]

Looks like the Trump of the Philippines Duterte wins...

Are we going to call every single candidate who makes controversial comments and is an asshole a 'Trump' now? That's really dumb.

Its is really not me.  Multiple media sources like CNN, Foreign Policy Magazine, Daily Beast, NBC etc etc have all referred him to the the Trump of the Philippines

You mean journalists covering foreign elections make dumb comparisons? Shocking.

[jaichind]

Maria Leonor Robredo
13,128,844
34.9%

Ferdinand Marcos Jr
13,047,864
34.7%

Gap up to 81K in favor of Robredo.  Looking at the areas where there are the largest outstanding votes this will get worse for Marcos.  Looks like Robredo has this one.

[Simfan34]

This really is awful. There may be a silver lining in Marcos losing, but that's not certain. It's hard to imagine a worse result.

Duterte isn't really in the Trump mould, though-- there are other leaders in SE Asia that fit the label much better (i.e., Thaksin). In fact, Duterte reminds me of Estrada more than anyone else-- a rough, tough talking "man of the people" who has no problem saying what he really thinks. Likewise I think the chances of Duterte's presidency ending in the same way as Estrada's are probably above 90 percent, more if Bongbong loses. They are already saying he's fudged his asset declarations. The real question is whether it'll end in another ESDA or a proper coup-- for all their turmoil the Philippines have never actually had a successful one.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Good news though: a trans candidate has won a seat in the House (she's a dynasty politician, but eh)

[jaichind]

Maria Leonor Robredo
13,212,058
35.0%

Ferdinand Marcos Jr
13,096,831
34.7%

Lead is 115K

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Looks like the Trump of the Philippines Duterte wins...

Are we going to call every single candidate who makes controversial comments and is an asshole a 'Trump' now? That's really dumb.

Its is really not me.  Multiple media sources like CNN, Foreign Policy Magazine, Daily Beast, NBC etc etc have all referred him to the the Trump of the Philippines

You mean journalists covering foreign elections make dumb comparisons? Shocking.

Well, he is saying that he has different qualities from Trump

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

On the other hand, Rep. Manny Pacquiao wins a senate seat

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Did crime get a lot worse in the Philippines last few years or did income distribution get a lot worse?  The economic situation seems fairly positive under Aquino.  Why would Duterte surge like this?

I think it's both. Crime's always been at the forefront but I would imagine the idea that Duterte somehow stopped Cebu's reputation of being a huge danger zone for the past few decades is probably seen as progress by a lot of people. Combine that with the fact that that his region has been growing economically at a relatively faster pace probably gave a lot of people a belief that Duterte would allow for economic opportunities for all social classes as a lot of the economic growth has benefited wealthier parts of Philippine society. Lastly, there's always been some in Philippine society who believe that the country requires "discipline" and was left behind by other East Asian countries due to a lack of said discipline (as you can imagine many of these people were rather equivocal toward Marcos's legacy as well).

On the other hand, Rep. Manny Pacquiao wins a senate seat

And I continue to weep.

[jaichind]

92.77% precincts reporting

Maria Leonor Robredo
13,605,015
35.1%

Ferdinand Marcos Jr
13,394,086
34.5%

211K lead

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

I really don't get Filipino nicknames. "Bongbong"? What is that supposed to mean?