2004: Evan Bayh vs. George W. Bush
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  2004: Evan Bayh vs. George W. Bush 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: 2004: Evan Bayh vs. George W. Bush  (Read 883 times)
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bronz4141
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« on: April 22, 2016, 05:33:36 PM »
Indiana Senator Evan Bayh decides to run for president in 2004 against President Bush, the Republican. How would Bayh fare with his Iraq War vote? Who wins? Discuss with maps. 

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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2016, 06:01:40 PM »

338: Bayh/Matheson: 42.1%
200: Bush/Cheney: 36.9%
Pat Choate/Donald Trump(Reform): 20.2%
Others: 0.7%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2016, 11:10:30 PM »


Bush - 273
Bayh - 265

Bayh is a poor fit for NH, and without Kerry's neighbor state bonus, Bush narrowly keeps it. His Midwestern roots and moderate reputation helps him win OH and IA. IN swings heavy D, but still votes Bush by mid to high single digits. However, Bayh's DINO reputation causes liberal turnout in WI to drop just enough (either by them staying home or voting Nader) that it goes to Bush, and delivers him the win.
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