Serbian parliamentary elections - April 24 2016

[PetrSokol]

Tommorow Serbia votes

[PetrSokol]

Serbian Progressive Party (coalition named Serbia is winning) - national-conservative, party of PM Vučić - last poll 54 %
Serbian Socialist Party - postcommunistic, socialist, party of FM Dačić - 11 %
Serbian Radical Party - far-right, ulta-nationalsitic - led by V. Šešelj - 7 %
Social Democratic Party (center left, new party of ex-president Tadić)+Liberal Democratic Party (social liberals) - 6%
It´s enogh (populistic, anti-establishment) - 6 %
Democratic Party of Serbia (right, eurosceptic, led in the past by V. Koštunica) + party "Dveri" (far-right) - 5 %
Democratic Party (center left) - 5 %

[PetrSokol]

Polls were today opened at 07:00 CET and will be closed at 20:00 CET (18:00 GMT).
The parliamentary elections are combined with local elections and with the elections of the Assembly of Vojvodina (autonomous part of Serbia with significanr Hungarian and smaller Croatian miniroty).

There are 8378 polling stations (90 in Kosovo (former part of Serbia, not recognised by Serbia as an independent state), 38 abroad and 29 in prisons).

[PetrSokol]

In the parliamentary elections are 20 lists competing for 250 sests:

ALEKSANDAR VUCIC – SERBIA IS WINNING 250 candidates

FOR A JUST SERBIA – DEMOCRATIC PARTY (NOVA, DSHV, ZZS) 246 candidates

IVICA DACIC – “Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS), United Serbia (JS) – Dragan Markovic Palma” 250 candidates

Dr VOJISLAV SESELJ - SERBIAN RADICAL PARTY 250 candidates

DVERI – DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF SERBIA – SANDA RASKOVIC IVIC - BOSKO OBRADOVIC 240 candidates

Vajdásagi Magyar Szövetség - Pásztor István - Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians - István Pásztor 250 candidates

BORIS TADIC, CEDOMIR JOVANOVIC – ALLIANCE FOR A BETTER SERBIA – Liberal Democratic Party, League of Social Democrats of Vojvodina, Social Democratic Party 250 candidates

MUAMER ZUKORLIC – BOSNIAK DEMOCRATIC COMMUNITY OF SANDZAK 99 candidates

SDA Sandzak - Dr Sulejman Ugljanin 29 candidates

For Free Serbia – ZAVETNICI – Milica Djurdjevic 66 candidates

Civic Group FOR THE REVIVAL OF SERBIA – PROF. DR SLOBODAN KOMAZEC 186 candidates

RUSSIAN PARTY – SLOBODAN NIKOLIC 55 candidates

Republican Party - Republicánus párt – Nikola Sandulovic 131 candidates

SERBO-RUSSIAN MOVEMENT – SLOBODAN DIMITRIJEVIC 200 candidates

Borko Stefanovic – Serbia for All of Us 190 candidates

DIALOGUE – YOUTH WITH A STANCE – STANKO DEBELJAKOVIC 50 candidates

ENOUGH IS ENOUGH – SASA RADULOVIC 250 candidates

PARTY OF DEMOCRATIC ACTION – ARDITA SINANI PARTIA PER VEPRIM DEMOKRATIK - ARDITA SINANI 8 candidates

GREEN PARTY 106 candidates

IN DEFIANCE – UNITED FOR SERBIA – PEOPLE’S ALLIANCE 164 candidates

[PetrSokol]

Polling stations in Kosovo will be closed already at 19:00 CET. The reason is that votes from these stations will be collected and transfered to the serbian towns Raska and Vranje where the serbian election committee wil count them.

[PetrSokol]

The hottes elections will be the fight for Vojvodina. This autonomous unit is the forttreess of oposition. The regional president is the leader of the Democratic Party in wholwe country in these elections.  Today could the SNP of Serbian PM Vučić win also here.

[RodPresident]

President Nikolic who started as a standy-by for Seselj is now leading catch-all Serbian Progressive Party. Old pro-european parties are now in a very bad state.

[PetrSokol]

18 % counted:
SNS 52 %
SPS 14,4 %
SRS 7 %
DS 5,4 %
-----------
SDS-LDP-LSV 4,3 %
DSS-Dveri 4,2 %
It´s enough 2,5 %

[PetrSokol]

18 % counted:
seats projection
SNS 162
SPS 44
SRS 21
DS 16
SVM 7 (minority party of Hungarians from Vojvodina; no 5 % threshold for this party)

[Beagle]

President Nikolic who started as a standy-by for Seselj is now leading catch-all Serbian Progressive Party. Old pro-european parties are now in a very bad state.

AFAIK Nikolić has long since been marginalized within the SPS. To some extent the conflict between him and Vučić was precipitated by our refugee (the Bulgarian bankster, who is currently fighting extradition from Serbia).

Anywho, sources differ - a "major parliamentary party" at 17% of their parallel count has the following results:
SNS 50,0

SPS-JS 10,2

SRS 7,7

DS 6,3

Dveri-DSS 5,5

Tadić-Čeda-Čanak [SDS-LDP-LSV] 5,0

Saša Radulović [Dosta je bilo] 4,9


The Center for Free Elections and Democracy has:

SNS - 52

SPS - 14,4

SRS - 7

DS - 5,4

SDS-LDP-LSV - 4,3

DVERI/DSS - 4,2

Looks like the SNS will get their majority in Vojvodina

[PetrSokol]

Regional elections in Vojvodina - partly counted (20:55 CET)
Hungarian minority SVM - 32,6 %
SNS - 19,5 %
DS 12,4 %
DZVM - 12,10
LZV 5 %
--------
SDS 4,1 %
SPS 3 %

[PetrSokol]

New results from the Vojvodina regional elections:

SNS 33,9 %
SVM 25,4 %
DS 8,8 %
DZVM 6,7 %
SPS 6,63 %
SRS 4,46 %
LSV 4,3 %

[BundouYMB]

Could you post a link to the results? Thanks.

[Beagle]

Not really, results aren't available online. Vučić just read off the results the current stand according to the electoral commission . According to those, only SNS, SPS-JS, SRS and DS are in.

[PetrSokol]

CESID - based on counted 60 %

SNS 50,3 % - 153 sets
SPS 11,8 % - 35
SRS 7,6 % - 23
DS 5,9 % - 18
DSS- Dveri 5 % - 15
SDS-LDP-LSV 4,9 % - 0
Its enough (DJB) - 4,7 % - 0
SVM - 2.0 % - 6
 

[Beagle]

Yay, finally one of the websites - in this case B92 - has all the various sources in one place. Use the "Izvor" (source) drop down menu about halfway down the page - just under Preliminarni rezultati parlamentarnih izbora 2016.

The official results are the "RIK" ones.

[BundouYMB]

Yay, finally one of the websites - in this case B92 - has all the various sources in one place. Use the "Izvor" (source) drop down menu about halfway down the page - just under Preliminarni rezultati parlamentarnih izbora 2016.

The official results are the "RIK" ones.

Thanks!

[PetrSokol]

RIK (The Republic Election Commission) - results with 94,4 % counted

SNS - "Aleksandar Vučić - Srbija pobeđuje" 48,26 %
SPS-JS 11,02 %
SRS 8,03 %
DS 6,06 %
It´s enough (Pokret Dosta je bilo) 5,93%
DSS-Dveri 5 %
SDS-LDP-LSV 5,02 %

Source: danas.rs

[PetrSokol]

It seams: 7 parties in Skupština (Serbian Parliament)

RIK - 97,45 % counted

SNS - 48,25 % - 131 seats (out of 250)

SPS-JS 11,01 % - 30

SRS 8,05 % - 22

DS 6,05 % - 16

It ´s enough (pokret Dosta je bilo) 5,99 % - 16

SDS-LDP-LSV 5,03 % - 13

DSS-Dveri 5,00 % - 13

SVM - 1,52% - 4 (Hungarian minority party Union of Hungarian in Vojvodina, no thershold)

Muamer Zukorlić - BDZ Sandžaka - 0,85% - 2 (Bosnian Democratic Union of Sanžak - regional party in partly Muslim region Sandzak, no threshold)

SDA Sandžaka – Dr. Sulejman Ugljanin - 0,72% - 2 (Muslim minority party in region Sandzak - Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak, no thershold)

Partija za demokratsko delovanje – Ardita Sinani - 0,43 % - 1 (Albanian minority Party for Democratic Action, no threshold)

[Beagle]

Seems like this election is one of those things ain't nobody got time for, but it has been pretty interesting for me. While the nasties are back in parliament, at least there'll be 8 more representatives of "palatable" parties in the new Skupstina and both the SNS and the SPS have lost big. Of course, if just a hundred voters less had voted DSS/Dveri it would have been even better, but I expected much worse tbh.

Also, it's been amusing to see that the Serbs are copying vintage voting fraud techniques from us - the "Bulgarian train" was widespread in the mid-aughts. Seems like we've got a lot to teach them yet.

Anyway, Peter has already given the results, except the 30th SPS seat has gone to the Green party, who ran as a minority list and are now entering Parliament for the first time with 1 MP.

Vojvodina, as expected, has been gained by the SNS with 44.5% of the vote (and 63 seats in the 110 seat regional parliament).

[Famous Mortimer]

I agree, these elections were really interesting but it's hard to write about them simply because there's no real opposition.

Will the Progressives continue the coalition with the Socialists now that they have a majority on their own?

[Zuza]

Anyway, Peter has already given the results, except the 30th SPS seat has gone to the Green party, who ran as a minority list and are now entering Parliament for the first time with 1 MP.

There are also 2 nominally Russian parties (which obtained many times more votes than there are Russians in Serbia and I doubt there are any Russians among their prominent members at all) as well as Republican Party led by ethnic Serbs but registered as a party of Hungarian minority. It looks like this "no threshold for minority lists" rule is regularly abused in Serbia.

[Zuza]

Will the Progressives continue the coalition with the Socialists now that they have a majority on their own?

They already had a majority after the 2014 elections. If they included SPS in the ruling coalition then, they'll probably prefer to keep this coalition now, when SNS majority is much less solid.

[Beagle]

Hahaha, this is great! After the initial reviews and recounts, the 5% hurdle is set at 188 535 votes. DSS-Dveri has... 188 534. One vote can make a difference, etc.

It's too early for me to gloat that the clerical fascists are out, though, because recounts are still pending for a few precincts and, more importantly, the electoral commission has already ordered a revote for 15 (+ possibly further 2) polling stations where the voting irregularities were just too blatant to overlook. So nothing will be really known until May 4th when some 18 000 people will decide how many parties will be in the next Serbian Parliament.

SDS-LDP-LSV are 788 votes above the hurdle, so they can potentially lose representation if the revotes go badly against them. It'll be interesting to see how much tactical voting there will be.

[Ex-Assemblyman Steelers]

Sorry i was busy. We still counting... ))))))