Presidential elections 2016-2024

[Spark]

2016:

After a tumultuous primary season, Ted Cruz was nominated at a contentious Republican convention on the second ballot and selected Gov, Scott Walker of Wisconsin as his running mate. Although Walker was from Wisconsin they were not able to win his home state. Cruz fared poorly with minorities and lost NV & NM due to his positions on immigration. He won the Romney states + IA & CO. Hillary wins the election fairly easily. 

Fmr Sec. Hillary Clinton/Sec. Julian Castro (D)- 51.8% PV, 317 EVS
Sen. Ted Cruz/Gov. Scott Walker (R)- 48.2% PV, 221 EVS

2020:

In 2020, President Hillary Clinton was elected to a second term after defeating Tom Cotton of Arkansas in the general election. It was one of the closest re-elections in modern history for an incumbent president. Due to Hillary's advanced age, there were concerns that she would not live through her second term. Nonetheless, she barely edged the Senator and won re-election.

Pres. Hillary Clinton/Vice Pres. Julian Castro (D)- 50.8% PV, 275 EVS
Sen. Tom Cotton/Fmr Gov. Brian Sandoval (R)- 49.2% PV, 263 EVS


2024:

The GOP doesn't win again until 2024, and after 4 consecutive Democratic terms, Sen. Scott Brown defeats VP Julian Castro in an apparent landslide. A Republican wave hits the country in a significant realigning election. The Mid-West now has favorable demographics and it is swept by the Republicans for the first time since 1988. Since Brown was a Northeastern candidate, he was able to make gains in New England. VP Castro's unpopularity, party fatigue, changing platforms, and a shift in demographics were not favorable to the Dems. Sen. Scott Brown was a dark horse candidate who won the primary and later went on to clinch the nomination. This election will precede future GOP wins which will result in landslides until about 2036 when a male Democrat is elected and changes to the electoral system take effect.

Sen. Scott Brown/Sen. Jeff Flake (R)- 54.8% PV, 358 EVS
Vice Pres. Julian Castro/Fmr Gov. Andew Cuomo (D)- 42.2% PV, 180 EVS

[Camaro33]

Very likely analysis in my opinion. Not sure about Scott Brown, but the maps and general trend seems likely. If 2016 is a loss like the map used, GOP will actually act to make inroads on nonwhites.

[msnmllr]

This is definitely logical, except I really don't foresee Massachusetts going Republican any time soon, even with Scott Brown as the candidate. However, Rhode Island could possibly go Republican instead. The problem is that these are all hypotheticals. Furthermore, wouldn't Brown end up losing traction in the Deep South as a result?

[Heisenberg]

This is definitely logical, except I really don't foresee Massachusetts going Republican any time soon, even with Scott Brown as the candidate. However, Rhode Island could possibly go Republican instead. The problem is that these are all hypotheticals. Furthermore, wouldn't Brown end up losing traction in the Deep South as a result?

My guess is that his margin of victory in the Deep South is smaller, but still strong enough to win.  It's possible that after that landslide, the GOP shifts to a strategy to defend Midwest and Mid-Atlantic states like PA, VA, MI, WI, MN, OH, etc.

[Figueira]

Plausible except for the last map. The nominee isn't going to be Scott Brown, and no Republican is winning Massachusetts any time soon.