Sanders blames the poor's turnout for his losses; facts say otherwise (user search)
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  Sanders blames the poor's turnout for his losses; facts say otherwise (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sanders blames the poor's turnout for his losses; facts say otherwise  (Read 2378 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: April 24, 2016, 08:31:44 PM »

I crunched the numbers! Exit polling sucks when it comes to measuring actual poor people on the GOP side; only 6 of the 20 states where exit polling was available had a big enough of a sample to crunch the numbers. For the other 14, I just used the statewide totals - because of that and due to the fact that there tends to be a slight lean toward Trump among poorer votes, take it with a grain of salt.

I did two: one with Trump vs Sanders where I just put their vote totals head-to-head in a two-way model, and one with Trump vs Sanders vs Clinton vs Cruz. The precise data is available below:



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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2016, 12:17:17 AM »

And here's a third match-up - Clinton vs Trump - in case anyone is interested:



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