And tomorrow night we will likely have some certainty of who wins the conventions. I would now guess that both Clinton and Trump have reduced their chances of losing the nominations of their Parties to actuarial risk -- basically, beware of stray lightning bolts.
Nah.
trump can win every bound delegate up for grabs tomorrow and still be under 50% of the total. His chances for victory in Indiana are diminishing rapidly, and after that the media will be back to saying his campaign is collapsing instead of Cruz's -- the May states are all pretty favorable for us except WV.
