Has Trump essentially won the Republican nomination? (user search)
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  Has Trump essentially won the Republican nomination? (search mode)
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Question: Has Trump won the nomination
#1
Yes.		  
#2
No.		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 137

Author Topic: Has Trump essentially won the Republican nomination?  (Read 5850 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« on: April 25, 2016, 01:28:09 PM »
Quote from: Castro on April 25, 2016, 01:23:19 PM
He's better positioned now, but we still won't know until after Indiana and California.

Certainly Trump's path to 1237 seems to pbe a function of how many CDs he wins in IN and CA. I don't think it is a given he will pass 1237.  However, he has a very good chance of getting close enough to win, assuming the bulk of the PA unbound vote with the winner of PA.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2016, 11:06:59 AM »
It is still a function of how many CDs he wins in IN and CA, but now his target seems very reachable.  The stop Trump and Cruz/Kasich forces need to win IN and really need to nail it in their targetting of districts in CA.  Right now I think the most likely scenario is Trump winning first ballot but needing unpledged to do it
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