Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET)

[The Other Castro]

Benchmark Politics final benchmarks:

[The Other Castro]

Turnout is very high in Pittsburgh.

[The Other Castro]

Turnout is very high in Pittsburgh.

Good for Clinton

More good news for her, extremely high turnout in Hanover.

[The Other Castro]

Well, we at least know there is high turnout in these areas regardless of who they favor. Benchmark Politics and Nate Cohn seem to disagree on which counties favor which candidate.

[The Other Castro]

Side note: CT for Bernie is going all out it seems. I've gotten about 5 texts and 2 phone calls in the past few days reminding me to vote.

[The Other Castro]

Yeah PA is feeling like a big Clinton win to me (maybe in the +15 range).

[The Other Castro]

Benchmark posted a link with some info on Connecticut turnout if anyone's interested.

http://trumbull.dailyvoice.com/news/midday-voter-turnout-for-primary-already-tops-2012-in-connecticut/655592/

Apparently Fairfield County turnout is very high which is good news for Hillary.

Fairfield County represent!

[The Other Castro]

RI not looking good for Sanders. Huge turnout, but in Providence, and very low in the college area.

[The Other Castro]

Full early turnout statistics released by Connecticut's BOE

https://www.scribd.com/doc/310537969/Report-Connecticut-Primary-Morning-Turnout-4-26-16

They don't have my town

[The Other Castro]

Maryland Dem electorate:
43% white
46% black
6% Latino/Hispanic
2% Asian

CT Dem electorate:
76% white
14% black
7% Latino/Hispanic
1% Asian

PA Dem electorate:
White 71%
Black 17%
Latino/Hispanic 9%
Asian 1%

[The Other Castro]

PA exit: Has this primary energized/divided your party?

Dems
Energized 71%
Divided 24%

[The Other Castro]

Only 10% 18-29 in PA Primary. RIP Sanders.

[The Other Castro]

% of Dems under 30:

PA: 10%
CT: 14%
MD: 12%

[The Other Castro]

65% 45 or over in Maryland.
67% 45 or over in Connecticut.

[The Other Castro]

For Pennsylvania:
The Democratic Campaign..
71% energized the party
24% divided the party

Broken down by candidate:
Clinton:
82% energized the party
12% divided the party

Sanders:
58% energized the party
37% divided the party

Implying 54% Clinton, 46% Sanders

Actually not as big as I would have expected.

[The Other Castro]

For Pennsylvania:
The Democratic Campaign..
71% energized the party
24% divided the party

Broken down by candidate:
Clinton:
82% energized the party
12% divided the party

Sanders:
58% energized the party
37% divided the party

Implying 54% Clinton, 46% Sanders

Morden and myself did some similar math to that and got 55-45 in NY, then it somehow came out as 52-48. So I'm not sure if this works.

Benchmark Politics thinks it implies a 20+ win in PA for Clinton.

Also: 61% "Continue obama's policies" in MD

[The Other Castro]

PA Dem Exit poll: 60% of voters think Hillary Clinton is "honest and trustworthy"

[The Other Castro]

We're shifting from candidate campaign to issue campaign it seems.

[The Other Castro]

I think it's a pretty good sign for the general that on the day Democrats are starting to unify, the runner up (that was just mathematically eliminated from winning the 1st ballot) for the Republican nomination names his VP pick.