Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET)

[Mr. Morden]

Overview of all results: http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president

Polls in all five states close at 8pm.

Connecticut, Maryland, and Pennsylvania will all have exit polls.  Delaware and Rhode Island will not.

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until all the polls have closed in the state.

Connecticut
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ct/Rep
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/connecticut

Delaware
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/de/Rep
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/delaware

Maryland
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/md/Rep
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/maryland

Pennsylvania
Official state returns for delegates: link
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/pa/Rep
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/pennsylvania

Rhode Island
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ri/Rep
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/rhode-island



Above: The “Cruzich” alliance is born, as Trump looks on.

[Mr. Morden]

National weather map:



Baltimore:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Philadelphia:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Pittsburgh:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Providence:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Mr. Morden]

Since I guess it’s safe to assume that Trump will win all five states, the main thing I’ll actually be watching is who wins the delegate races in Pennsylvania.  PA will represent the largest catch of unbound delegates in the country, given the state’s loophole primary.  Note that I linked to the state’s official election returns site in the OP.  I assume they’ll tell us who is winning each individual delegate race, but I don’t know.  If you find another site with that info, post it here, and I’ll add a link in the OP.

In the “Delegate fight” thread, Classic Conservative found this useful Google doc, which allegedly provides the loyalties of all the delegate candidates:

I found this online about the PA Unbound Delegates
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NfzyoWfwqjrYbc5Xqb9lyerxztNxLuZDzwPBarYZJFA/htmlview?pli=1

But we also have other lists.  E.g.:

http://www.pennlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/04/breakdown_of_gop_delegates_sup.html

And then the Cruz and Trump campaigns have their own list of delegate candidates that they want people to vote for:

[Wells]

CD's 1 and 14 don't have Trump or Cruz delegates?
CD 2 has a Cruz delegate but no Trump delegates?
CD 7 has Trump delegates but no Cruz delegates?
Or do some delegates have no preference in those districts?

[Mr. Morden]

CD's 1 and 14 don't have Trump or Cruz delegates?
CD 2 has a Cruz delegate but no Trump delegates?
CD 7 has Trump delegates but no Cruz delegates?
Or do some delegates have no preference in those districts?

The spreadsheet I linked to answers most of these questions.  3 delegates elected per district, but some of them only have 3 delegate candidates, so it doesn't actually matter who you vote for.  All 3 are getting in.  And some districts have delegate candidates with no preference, or else they say that they'll vote for whichever presidential candidate wins the district.

[°Leprechaun]

Isn't this all a little confusing?

[jimrtex]

CD's 1 and 14 don't have Trump or Cruz delegates?
CD 2 has a Cruz delegate but no Trump delegates?
CD 7 has Trump delegates but no Cruz delegates?
Or do some delegates have no preference in those districts?

PA-1, PA-2, and PA-14 had about half their candidates whacked by objections. PA-1 and PA-14 have only 3 candidates. All 3 to be elected. PA-2 has only 4 candidates. These are very Democratic districts in  Philadephia and Pittsburgh.

PA-7 has only 5 candidates. Delegates have to petition individually, and only residents of the district can sign. There are a lack of Republicans in PA-1, PA-2, and PA-14.

It may be difficult to figure out who lives in PA-7, which looks like a a dog with floppy ears and baggy pants falling down, with a dog that its jaws open wide to bite a beach ball, as a boy is tying something to the dog's tail.

[Mr. Morden]

This may have already been answered in the delegate fight thread, but do we know if the Republican delegate candidates have their names listed on the ballot in alphabetical order?  I'd imagine that in a situation like this, where their presidential preferences aren't listed on the ballot and many names will be unfamiliar, whoever is listed first is going to have an advantage.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

They are not alphabetical as I showed on AAD. Trump's delegate Wike III is listed 2nd on the ballot across district 7 (4th alphabetically)

Though on my machine, it might appear 3rd if you read left to right instead of top to bottom and then the second column. Likely inconsistent across the counties.

[Mr. Morden]

Business Insider talks to the PA delegate candidates:

http://www.businessinsider.com.au/donald-trump-pennsylvania-unbound-delegates-2016-4?r=US&IR=T

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Who in God's name decided that the Pennsylvania system was a good idea, and why? Everybody voting knows who's running. Everybody voting knows who they want to get the delegates.

[Classic Conservative]

Pat Toomey voted for Cruz
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pat-toomey-votes-for-ted-cruz-20160426-story.html

[Seriously?]

Since I guess it’s safe to assume that Trump will win all five states, the main thing I’ll actually be watching is who wins the delegate races in Pennsylvania.  PA will represent the largest catch of unbound delegates in the country, given the state’s loophole primary.  Note that I linked to the state’s official election returns site in the OP.  I assume they’ll tell us who is winning each individual delegate race, but I don’t know.  If you find another site with that info, post it here, and I’ll add a link in the OP.

In the “Delegate fight” thread, Classic Conservative found this useful Google doc, which allegedly provides the loyalties of all the delegate candidates:

I found this online about the PA Unbound Delegates
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NfzyoWfwqjrYbc5Xqb9lyerxztNxLuZDzwPBarYZJFA/htmlview?pli=1

But we also have other lists.  E.g.:

http://www.pennlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/04/breakdown_of_gop_delegates_sup.html

And then the Cruz and Trump campaigns have their own list of delegate candidates that they want people to vote for:

Extremely helpful on PA. Awesome find.

For me, the three biggest questions are: 1) Whether Trump gets to 10 of 19 in Rhode Island, ironically the state he is doing best in; 2) How many MD CDs go Cruz or Kasich inside the Beltway; and 3) Whether Trump ends up above 50% in CT and takes all the delegates (he likely will).

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Pat Toomey voted for Cruz
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pat-toomey-votes-for-ted-cruz-20160426-story.html

Good heavens, now I really have to hope Sestak wins. What a loser.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

My big questions for tonight:

1) How the uncommitted PA delegates go
2) Whether Cruz and/or Kaisch can steal a congressional district or two in Maryland
3) Whether Trump gets to 50% in Connecticut
4) Whether Kasich can steal the NYC suburbs CD in CT
5) How many of the 5 states Trump gets to 50%, even though that's irrelevant in most of them

[Comrade Funk]

Pat Toomey voted for Cruz
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pat-toomey-votes-for-ted-cruz-20160426-story.html

Good heavens, now I really have to hope Sestak wins. What a loser.

[smoltchanov]

Pat Toomey voted for Cruz
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pat-toomey-votes-for-ted-cruz-20160426-story.html

Expected. And (as i hate Cruz) will root for ANY Democrat to defeat Toomey.

[The Other Castro]

There is also a #NeverTrump preferred slate:

https://voices.nevertrump.com/vote-for-these-delegates-in-the-pennsylvania-primary-on-april-26th-d49b83cd970b#.9qfc0ze6u

7 of the people on this list had also previously said they would vote for the district winner according to Nate Cohn, so it looks like we have some liars here.

[The Other Castro]

If the above list is indeed anti-Trump, Trump's ceiling has already been lowered by 3. All 3 delegates from the 14th district have already been picked, and are all on the #NeverTrump list.

[Holmes]

If the above list is indeed anti-Trump, Trump's ceiling has already been lowered by 3. All 3 delegates from the 14th district have already been picked, and are all on the #NeverTrump list.

They might be on the #NeverTrump list because there's no one else to vote for in the 14th?

[Wells]

There is also a #NeverTrump preferred slate:

https://voices.nevertrump.com/vote-for-these-delegates-in-the-pennsylvania-primary-on-april-26th-d49b83cd970b#.9qfc0ze6u

7 of the people on this list had also previously said they would vote for the district winner according to Nate Cohn, so it looks like we have some liars here.

Low energy, lying losers!! Just like Ted Cruz. Sad!

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

If the above list is indeed anti-Trump, Trump's ceiling has already been lowered by 3. All 3 delegates from the 14th district have already been picked, and are all on the #NeverTrump list.

They might be on the #NeverTrump list because there's no one else to vote for in the 14th?

No, those are actually Never Trump, but in all likelihood, that will be Trump's worst district, so it's OK.

[dax00]

If the above list is indeed anti-Trump, Trump's ceiling has already been lowered by 3. All 3 delegates from the 14th district have already been picked, and are all on the #NeverTrump list.

They might be on the #NeverTrump list because there's no one else to vote for in the 14th?

No, those are actually Never Trump, but in all likelihood, that will be Trump's worst district, so it's OK.

The spreadsheet appears to have got 3 write-in Trump delegates on it for PA-14. Anyone attest to legitimacy of said write-ins?

[libertpaulian]

Pat Toomey voted for Cruz
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pat-toomey-votes-for-ted-cruz-20160426-story.html

Good heavens, now I really have to hope Sestak wins. What a loser.

They actually say McGinty has a good shot at winning the Dem primary.

[Gass3268]

There is also a #NeverTrump preferred slate:

https://voices.nevertrump.com/vote-for-these-delegates-in-the-pennsylvania-primary-on-april-26th-d49b83cd970b#.9qfc0ze6u

7 of the people on this list had also previously said they would vote for the district winner according to Nate Cohn, so it looks like we have some liars here.

To be fair, Nancy Schrader (PA-10) has stated she will support the district winner, unless the winner is Trump.

Yet, here are the 6 Lyin' Delegates:

Michelle Harris Kichline (PA-06)
Joan Miller (PA-07)
Michael Puppio (PA-07)
Robert Willert (PA-07)
Shannon Oscar (PA-13)
David Dumeyer (PA-16)

Luckily for Trump, none of these folks are on his published list of delegates.