Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET)

[NHI]

Wouldn't surprise me if Trump gets a clear majority in Indiana at this point.

Could happen

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Wouldn't surprise me if Trump gets a clear majority in Indiana at this point.

Going to a new part of the country often acts as a sort of reset on the race.  This will be a week-long local battle.  But, the winner will be near a majority, because Kasich will probably be in single digits in Indiana.

[Ronnie]

Cruz dips below 10% in RI.

[NHI]

Cruz dips below 10% in RI.

LOL

[Badger]

I know that momentum is overrated this season, but does what happens today changes what will happen in Indiana?

Trump wins IN, narrowly, but essentially puts the race away.

Still have Cruz winning Indiana.

And you also "have" the Earth being only 6000 years old. kindly assert evidence in support of your posts. it'll be tough to adapt from sweeping baseless assertions i know, but give it a shot.

[pppolitics]

Wouldn't surprise me if Trump gets a clear majority in Indiana at this point.

Going to a new part of the country often acts as a sort of reset on the race.  This will be a week-long local battle.  But, the winner will be near a majority, because Kasich will probably be in single digits in Indiana.

The argument was that Trump was winning because the opposition is divided.

After this week, it would be hard to keep making that case.

Additionally, people like to vote for winners, not losers.

[NHI]

Wouldn't surprise me if Trump gets a clear majority in Indiana at this point.

Going to a new part of the country often acts as a sort of reset on the race.  This will be a week-long local battle.  But, the winner will be near a majority, because Kasich will probably be in single digits in Indiana.

The argument was that Trump was winning because the opposition is divided.

After this week, it would be hard to keep making that case.

Additionally, people like to vote for winners, not losers.

[Badger]

Seriously though, any delegate math estimates out there?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Cruz might not reach the threshold in RI

[NHI]

Seriously though, any delegate math estimates out there?

CNN has it at:

Trump: 914
Cruz:   563
Kasich: 147

[NHI]

Cruz might not reach the threshold in RI

He's teetering on single digits.

[MK]

This is officially a trumping.

[NHI]

Combined Avg: 65% want the person with the most delegates to be the nominee.

[Vosem]

I know that momentum is overrated this season, but does what happens today changes what will happen in Indiana?

Trump wins IN, narrowly, but essentially puts the race away.

Still have Cruz winning Indiana.

And you also "have" the Earth being only 6000 years old. kindly assert evidence in support of your posts. it'll be tough to adapt from sweeping baseless assertions i know, but give it a shot.

Well, patterns in the Northeast have been different to patterns elsewhere in the country the entire election, especially with regards to age. Undecideds in pretty much every Midwestern state to vote so far have broken very hard against _trump, and in places where it was clear who the main opponent was a large chunk of support for any tertiary candidate in the race went to that person too. _trump received 35% in WI, 36% in OH and MI, and 38% in IL, suggesting that if you think the change is limited to the Northeast _trump "should" be in the high 30s in Indiana (which is where polls conducted over the last week have shown him), and undecideds should mostly break Cruz. If you think the Cruz/Kasich drove undecided voters to _trump and is the reason they're doing so poorly tonight (and, furthermore, you think that will be reflected everywhere and isn't a Northeastern phenomenon), no polls have been conducted since then, so _trump may be stronger in Indiana now than he was a few days ago.

Tonight, undecideds broke for _trump. Very strongly. If you think that's because of momentum/the narrative shifting countrywide, and not limited to the Northeast, _trump will win Indiana. If you think it's because of location and not chronology, then Cruz wins Indiana. It's pretty simple.

[dax00]

Looks like Cruz is staying over 10% in RI-1. Just under in RI-2.

[NHI]

Looks like Cruz is staying over 10% in RI-1. Just under in RI-2.

Well, that's disappointing.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

TRUMP!

[MaxQue]

Seriously though, any delegate math estimates out there?

CT: Trump 28/28
DE: Trump 16/16
PA: Trump 17, Unpledged 54
MD: Probably of the 38 for Trump, but Kasick may win a CD in the suburbs (3 delegates then).
RI: Trump 13, Kasick 5, Cruz 1 or Trump 13, Kasick 6.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Cruz is winning Baltimore by 9 votes lol.

[Classic Conservative]

Looks like Cruz is staying over 10% in RI-1. Just under in RI-2.

Say he gets 9.9% in RI-2 would that be brought up to 10% or would it say at 9%

[Alcon]

Looks like Cruz is staying over 10% in RI-1. Just under in RI-2.

Say he gets 9.9% in RI-2 would that be brought up to 10% or would it say at 9%

It's a threshold, so I really doubt they round up.

[Comrade Funk]

So #NeverTrump - it's either get on board with the people or rig the convention through undemocratic means.

[Badger]

Seriously though, any delegate math estimates out there?

CNN has it at:

Trump: 914
Cruz:   563
Kasich: 147

Is that including tonight though? that's what i meant

[The Free North]

Kasich won Kent as well...should have thrown that into my original picks. Kent is basically like an extension of Vermont. I've been up there a few times and they have more antique stores than I can count. Pretty hostile Trump country and it showed.

Kasich may also win Mansfield where Uconn is.

[swf541]

Shuster is currently losing in PA-09, would be an upset if he goes down