Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET)  (Read 13620 times)
IceAgeComing
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Posts: 1,569
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« on: April 27, 2016, 06:35:50 AM »

the idea that trump underperformed in Rhode Island because he didn't get the 67% he needed in both districts to get a sweep is silly; especially since making a landslide prediction like that based on absolutely no evidence for it (no polls had him that high, he were in the high 50s sure but he'd have needed literally every undecided voter to get to the 2/3rds mark and that almost happened, surprisingly).  Its almost as if you didn't actually look to see what the delegate rules where in every state before you began randomly giving numbers to people...
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IceAgeComing
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Posts: 1,569
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2016, 06:50:20 AM »

It's actually even sillier.  In RI you get delegates for hitting 10% both statewide and congressionally.  Cruz is currently winning 3 delegates because he didn't fall under 10% in RI-1 or statewide.  Ben's Rhode Island baseline (Trump's "on-track" number there) would have required Trump to keep both Cruz and Kasich under 10% statewide and in both congressional districts.  Obviously, a world where Trump manages that is very likely a world where he's on-track to win 1,237 pledged delegates.

When I was watching MSNBC last night they mentioned something about getting all the delegates automatically if you got over two-thirds of the votes; perhaps they got that wrong, I dunno.  Either way its ridiculous, the "Trump has to limit the other candidates below 10% of the vote everywhere!!" thing is just more so.
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