parochial boy
parochial_boy
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,117
Political Matrix
E: -8.38, S: -6.78
|
 |
« on: August 06, 2016, 07:12:12 PM » |
|
Are boundary changes likely to be as pro-Conservative as the ones that were ultimately rejected five years ago?
One of the major arguments behind the reform was the fact that, at the time, the boundaries generally benefitted Labour, as the urban seats tended to have fewer voters, and lower turnout, meaning it was relatively easier for Labour to win a majority.
However, post the wholesale loss of Scotland to the SNP, Labour no longer have this advantage, as it has lost 40+ seats that it would have once expected to win.
On the flip side, the "cleaning up" of registrations with the new registration system will have proportionately hit the number of voters in Labour areas harder. Meaning that the Tories could claim that Labour seats still have fewer voters that Tory ones on average.
|
