Who wins the remaining states? (D)

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

[IceSpear]

Sanders takes WV/OR/MT/ND/SD, Hillary takes the rest. I'm flipping KY over to Hillary due to the Western PA results and the fact that his campaign seems to think it would be difficult to win there, at least if Politico is to be believed.

[Gass3268]

Sanders wins IN/OR/MT/ND/SD

Switched KY and WV to Clinton based on Western PA.

Indiana will close.

[Holmes]

Clinton:
Indiana, Guam, Kentucky, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, California, New Jersey, New Mexico, DC

Sanders:
West Virginia, Oregon, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota

[Earthling]

Clinton:
Indiana, Guam, West Virginia, Kentucky, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, California, New Jersey, New Mexico, DC

Sanders:
Oregon, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota

[Figueira]

I gave Clinton South Dakota, which is kind of a bold move, but I think it might be the odd one out in the region.

Otherwise I went with the obvious ones. I'm not very confident about Kentucky, Indiana, or California (which I have going for Clinton) though.

[Holmes]

I feel like I don't know enough of why South Dakota went to Clinton at all in 2008 to feel comfortable giving her the state again this year.

Anyway, seems the forum right now is in agreement except for some slight disagreement in Kentucky and South Dakota.

[Zache]

Clinton:
Guam, Kentucky, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, New Jersey, New Mexico, California, DC

Sanders:
Indiana, West Virginia, Oregon, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota

I'd be very shocked if Indiana goes for Clinton.

[Xing]

Clinton: GU, PR, VI, KY, CA, NJ, NM

Sanders: WV, OR, MT, ND, SD

I think Indiana will be very close. I'm guessing a narrow Clinton win for now.

[pho]

Clinton:
Indiana, Guam, West Virginia, Kentucky, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, California, New Jersey, New Mexico, DC

Sanders:
Oregon, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota

Agreed.

[KingSweden]

Clinton:
Indiana, Guam, West Virginia, Kentucky, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, California, New Jersey, New Mexico, DC

Sanders:
Oregon, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota

This. I'd lean WV towards Sanders personally but it'll be close.

[dspNY]

Indiana looks to be very close but they have an early voting window and states with early voting consistently favor Clinton because she has the better organization. 48,000 early votes have been cast in Indiana on the Dem side as of Monday. Additionally Democrats are seeing a decent turnout in Marion County (Indy). She'll win it narrowly and gain 1 to 3 net delegates

Guam might be a Clinton sweep because of Tim Robbins. Clinton gains 5 or 7 delegates.

WV most likely goes to Sanders but by less than previously thought and a Clinton win is possible due to her success in Southwest PA. Lean Sanders, he wins 3 to 5 net delegates.

KY is lean Clinton until we see more polling. We had an admission in Politico that Sanders' people thought their chances in KY were dim due to a closed primary. I'll say Clinton +3 to +5 delegates.

OR is safe Sanders. It'll be his last big net delegate haul (something from +17 to +21). He'll win with 60 to 65% of the vote.

The Virgin Islands is safe Clinton; she'll net 3-5 delegates there.

Puerto Rico will go at least 2-1, possibly even 3-1 for Clinton and she'll net 20 to 24 delegates.

Montana will go 2-1 for Sanders and he'll net 7.

Jersey goes to Clinton by 10 so she will net 12-14 delegates.

New Mexico will vote similarly to Arizona and Clinton will net either 4 or 6 delegates.

Sanders will net 8 delegates out of each of the Dakotas.

Which leaves California...nobody is winning it by more than 5 points. It is simply too large a state to swing in that short a time period, especially when almost everyone is locked in with their choice. I think Clinton will win if she focuses on it, but if she is simply focused on the general by that point, Sanders will squeak by with a win there

Forgot DC...Clinton by a 3-1 margin and +10 delegates

Little change to the overall delegate math or popular vote percentage and Clinton still wins the primary in a landslide

[Lief 🗽]

Can someone link to the Politici article about Sanders in Kentucky?

[dspNY]

Can someone link to the Politici article about Sanders in Kentucky?

"Sanders Caught In Political Trap"

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/sanders-caught-in-political-trap-222380

In the middle of the article

"Seeing dim prospects in Kentucky’s closed primary, the campaign is now hoping for a stretch of May wins in Indiana, West Virginia, and Oregon, followed by others like Montana in June."

[Spark]

I'll be bold

Clinton:

Kentucky, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, New Jersey, New Mexico

Sanders:

Guam, Indiana, West Virginia, Oregon, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, California, D.C.

[sportydude]

Sanders will win West Virginia.
Garrett and Allegany Counties are the ultimate proof.

[Zache]

I'll be bold

Clinton:

Kentucky, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, New Jersey, New Mexico

Sanders:

Guam, Indiana, West Virginia, Oregon, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, California, D.C.

I know you said you're being bold, but I'm still interested in why you think DC may go for Sanders. His strength in caucuses?