Will Trump win at least one of these states?
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  Will Trump win at least one of these states?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Nebraska, Oregon, Washington, Montana, New Mexico, or South Dakota
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Will Trump win at least one of these states?  (Read 745 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: April 28, 2016, 06:32:32 AM »
Even if he loses Indiana, Trump probably has the nomination with just one of these, especially one of the WTA (NE, MT, SD).
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2016, 06:35:05 AM »
He'll most likely win New Mexico (especially now that Cruz has thrown it away).

I'd call OR and WA tossups.
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dax00
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« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2016, 06:41:20 AM »
Yes, but not one of the WTA states.
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Penelope
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« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2016, 07:21:06 AM »
Honestly, if he wins Indiana, he probably wins all of these states.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2016, 07:55:10 AM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on April 28, 2016, 06:35:05 AM
He'll most likely win New Mexico (especially now that Cruz has thrown it away).

I'd call OR and WA tossups.

Between whom? Trump and Kasich?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2016, 07:56:48 AM »
Trump probably wins Montana, New Mexico, Oregon, and Washington now.
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Figueira
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« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2016, 08:26:53 AM »
I suspect he'll win New Mexico. I'm not sure what's going on in the Pacific Northwest.
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Erc
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« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2016, 08:47:09 AM »
He'll presumably win NM and OR, but it doesn't really matter since they are proportional.  (Cruz did probably piss away a couple delegates to Trump by abandoning the states, but it was worth it).

Trump is presumably favored in WA as well, but, again, proportional.  What matters here is whether Kasich clears 20%.

The other three are WTA in which Cruz is favored in a competitive race, presumably; if he should lose any of those three, it's game over.  Montana is of course the one to watch, though South Dakota has caused us headaches in the past.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2016, 09:16:24 AM »
If he wins Indiana by 10+ points, I'd say he'll win everything else. (Montana's GOP is so weird and idiosyncratic that they might still vote for Cruz or vote uncommitted, though.)

Most people just want this to be over. The non-Trump supporters are getting demoralized and the disinterested "casual" voters just see Trump winning, figure he's going to win anyway and vote for him.
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2016, 09:18:13 AM »
Yes.

Trump will win Oregon, Washington, and New Mexico.  Cruz will get Nebraska, South Dakota, and Montana and get decent numbers in New Mexico.
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i4indyguy
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« Reply #10 on: April 28, 2016, 11:37:34 AM »
Quote from: Penelope on April 28, 2016, 07:21:06 AM
Honestly, if he wins Indiana, he probably wins all of these states.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #11 on: April 28, 2016, 01:18:35 PM »
His momentum has picked-up, so yes, he has a chance at winning one or more of those states in the R primary.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #12 on: April 28, 2016, 03:18:44 PM »
A Trump victory in NM wouldn't surprise me.
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RR1997
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« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2016, 05:53:09 AM »
Donald Trump could potentially win almost all of them.
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