Will Hillary reach 55% in the upcoming general election against Trump?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 08:36:03 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Will Hillary reach 55% in the upcoming general election against Trump?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4
Poll
Question: you know the drill
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 146

Author Topic: Will Hillary reach 55% in the upcoming general election against Trump?  (Read 7752 times)
I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,349
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 28, 2016, 04:49:08 PM »
I think so, Republicans are at their lowest approval ratings since 1992.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2016, 04:49:45 PM »
lolno
Logged
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,027
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2016, 04:51:07 PM »
She will get maybe 54%
Logged
Higgs
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2016, 04:52:01 PM »
Logged
standwrand
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 592
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.55, S: -2.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2016, 04:53:14 PM »
3rd party would take away too many votes for Clinton to be able to reach 55%. The country is too polarized for a flat out landslide.
Logged
Fargobison
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,692


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2016, 04:54:20 PM »
Maybe if Trump does something crazy which he is certainly capable of doing.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2016, 04:56:21 PM »
Probably not, but I think she has a better chance of getting 55% than Trump does of getting 50%.
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,446
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2016, 04:56:48 PM »
Maybe.
But she will at least get 50%.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,747
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2016, 04:58:17 PM »
She could. It might be something like 54-43 with 3% third party, mostly from Republican protest votes.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2016, 05:05:32 PM »
She should, but she will not.

I will not feel safe for a moment between now and November. Shyte has the propensity to happen, and Trump, unfortunately, cannot be dismissed.
Logged
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,831


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 28, 2016, 05:09:25 PM »
Yes. People are overestimateing Trump. Like do you seriously think he's gonna win? He's not gonna win. In fact you are all free to bookmark this post for November.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 28, 2016, 05:11:07 PM »
Quote from: Spooky Mike on April 28, 2016, 05:09:25 PM
Yes. People are overestimateing Trump.

People on this forum think he will lose MS, UT, TX, AZ, GA, IN and MO and you think he's being overestimated? lol
Logged
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 28, 2016, 05:20:23 PM »
She'll be very lucky to reach 50% at this point.  If only Hillary could find a way to stop him... We would be saved.  I'm concerned that she'll not fare well in the debates and Trump will endear himself to the American people with that brash, egotistical style.  Ugh... 
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 28, 2016, 05:23:26 PM »
I predict a close race and whoever wins, it's going to be at very best slightly above 50%
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 28, 2016, 05:24:48 PM »
Quote from: WeAreDoomed on April 28, 2016, 04:49:08 PM
I think so, Republicans are at their lowest approval ratings since 1992.

So?

To use a historical example, Republicans had rather low approvals as a party in 1950s, yet Eisenhower was able to score two consecutive landslides.

The election is about candidates, not party per se.
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 28, 2016, 05:25:28 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on April 28, 2016, 05:11:07 PM
Quote from: Spooky Mike on April 28, 2016, 05:09:25 PM
Yes. People are overestimateing Trump.

People on this forum think he will lose MS, UT, TX, AZ, GA, IN and MO and you think he's being overestimated? lol

You are a person on this forum.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,519
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 28, 2016, 05:28:01 PM »
It's possible, but not likely.  If she wins by 10 points, it's more likely that it's 53-43, with third party candidates obtaining 4%.
Logged
Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,561
Bermuda


Political Matrix
E: 0.32, S: 4.78

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 28, 2016, 05:30:52 PM »
At this rate, she'll be lucky to hit 45%.
Logged
tinman64
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 443


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.57

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 28, 2016, 05:30:58 PM »
54% is her ceiling. Too much polarization and 3rd parties siphoning votes for her to get any higher.
Perhaps 52-45-3 as the total popular vote.
Logged
Frodo
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,540
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 28, 2016, 05:35:55 PM »
Easily, and the more people get spooked about Trump's chances of winning the election (he won't get close, but whatevs) the more likely she'll reach it.  The worst thing would be for everyone to think she has it in the bag, and not bother to vote. 
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 28, 2016, 05:37:01 PM »
Unlikely just due to third parties and polarization.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 28, 2016, 05:37:07 PM »
Probably not, but she could have a good chance of reaching 54% if Hispanic numbers surge in turnout and rise in favoring of Democrats (80%), while Asians also slightly rise, Blacks stay constant, College-Educated Whites shift a few points more Democratic, and Non-College-Educated Whites only shift a couple points more Republican.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,310
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 28, 2016, 08:43:22 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on April 28, 2016, 05:37:01 PM
Unlikely just due to third parties and polarization.

most likely, but like others here i predict about a 10 point margin over Trump.

55% is still realistically possible, but that's also about her ceiling.
Logged
tallguy23
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,288
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 28, 2016, 08:55:14 PM »
53-54% seems likelier. She'll have a huge lead in the electoral college though.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,637
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 28, 2016, 09:09:06 PM »
It kinda seems like nobody from either party can go much above 53-54% nowadays.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.048 seconds with 16 queries.