The shifts are toward the Democrats.
This is not just presidential but also the congressional levels.
Since the 17th Amendment of the 1910s, every presidential election in which one or both houses of congress had flipped party control went to the party which also won the presidency. This was the case in 1932, 1948, 1952, and 1980.
There is strong indication the Republicans will lose the U.S. Senate. The U.S. House is in question.
For a Democratic pickup of either house of Congress…that means the Republican nominee, likely Donald Trump, will not win a Republican pickup to be elected the next president of the United States.
And if Trump is having trouble with white women…yeah I can picture Hillary Clinton (and, if it wasn’t her winning the nomination, Bernie Sanders) elected in a landslide. In 2012, Barack Obama was re-elected by D+3.86. Let us call it +04. It would not be a stretch, if these polls trends sticks, to see the 2016 Democratic nominee elected with a margin closer to +14. And if that happens, we will get the first landslide since 1988 in which the winner will have reached an electoral-vote score of 400.
Things are shifting towards the Democrats, huh? Perhaps Republicans should simply spend time reminding folks why they voted the way they did during the midterm elections. Just remind us about that beautiful thing called Obamacare, remind us how great our economy is running, remind us how wonderful our job creation has been of late, remind us again how the fight against the unnamable Islamic terrorist groups is going. Yeah, who could predict anything but a Democratic landslide?
We should be reminded of our really low unemployment, wages finally going in the right direction, how people are getting healthcare, and how Hillary is going to continue to marked level of success under the Obama administration despite facing the most vicious level of opposition ever.
Poll
