Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Spring 2016
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 07:52:56 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Spring 2016		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Put a rating on control of the US Senate
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 58

Author Topic: Put a Rating on the US Senate for 2016 - Spring 2016  (Read 1058 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 30, 2016, 11:58:22 AM »
« edited: April 30, 2016, 12:01:41 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Previous threads:

Winter 2016
Fall 2015
Summer 2015



Still a toss-up. The next one of these will run July 30th or July 31st, perfect timing right after the conventions.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,535
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2016, 12:07:15 PM »
Lean Democratic.

2 Seats are now safe pickups.
2 are lean pickups.
3 are tossups
5 are leaning Republican

Really starting to see how they don't win a majority.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2016, 12:39:00 PM »
Pure Tossup.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 30, 2016, 12:50:07 PM »
Lean D.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 30, 2016, 12:50:31 PM »
leans D NH, FL, IL and WI get to 50 threshold while Pa and OH are important as well.
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,823
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 30, 2016, 01:30:29 PM »
Pure Tossup... But if Tilt/D were an option I'd pick that.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,660
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 30, 2016, 02:14:03 PM »
I'd say Lean D is fair.
Logged
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 30, 2016, 02:15:34 PM »
If Tilt R was an option, I would pick that.  For individual races:
CO: Likely D
NV: Tossup/ Tilt R
AZ: Likely R
FL: Pure tossup (I will change this rating in after the primaries)
WI: Tilt D
MO: Likely R
IL: Lean D
IN: Likely R
OH: Lean R
PA: Lean R
NH: Lean D

All other states should be safe for the incumbent party.  If my predictions hold, Democrats would net 2 or 3 seats, and stay in the minority.  But there's still plenty of time for things to change.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 30, 2016, 02:18:43 PM »
« Edited: April 30, 2016, 02:20:18 PM by Da-Jon »
Lean D
FL, NH, CO, WI and IL

Pure tossup
AZ, OH and Pa

Likely R
MO & NC

50 is number to look at because Brown, Heinrich or Kaine are unlikely VP's Castro is.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 30, 2016, 02:30:20 PM »
Toss-up.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,725


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 30, 2016, 05:11:54 PM »
Lean R.

PA- Likely R
NC- Likely R
OH- Leans R
NH- Tilts R
NV- Tilts R
FL- Pure tossup
WI- Tilts D
IL- Leans D
CO- Likely D
Logged
Higgs
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 30, 2016, 06:35:15 PM »
Lean R.

I say the only Democratic pickups are Illinois and Wisconsin, maybe Florida.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,515
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 30, 2016, 06:39:48 PM »
Well,
I think the democrats have the edge: many good recruits, many opportunities, and a *possible* landslide democrat victory for the presidential election.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 30, 2016, 07:13:52 PM »
Lean/Likely D
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 30, 2016, 07:18:16 PM »
"Likely D"? Really? So much wishful thinking going on in this thread.
Logged
This account no longer in use.
cxs018
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,282


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 30, 2016, 07:29:29 PM »
Lean D, thanks to Trump coattails.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 30, 2016, 07:30:08 PM »
It's Leans D at the moment and Maggie Hassan will Olympia Snowe Kelly Ayotte and Murphy will defeat Jolly
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 30, 2016, 07:41:28 PM »
Toss-up/Tilt D. My guess right now is that the Democrats pick up IL/WI/NH/FL.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 30, 2016, 08:12:12 PM »
« Edited: April 30, 2016, 08:14:34 PM by Da-Jon »
After Dems get to 50 McCain and Portman can be washed out in a Trump loss wave.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 17, 2016, 02:56:50 AM »
Two more weeks until the summer poll
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,636
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: July 17, 2016, 03:34:05 AM »
Toss-up, though if Tilt D was an option I'd vote that.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,515
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: July 17, 2016, 06:36:54 AM »
Lean dem

I truly believe democrats wil end up with at least 53 seats.
Logged
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: July 17, 2016, 09:31:29 AM »
Toss up tilt D.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,381
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: July 17, 2016, 09:40:30 AM »
Toss up. Democrats tend to be overoptimistic before election, and ask the question "How that could happen at all???" - after..
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: July 17, 2016, 12:43:48 PM »
Lean D, my guess is that it'll end up as anything from a 52-48 to a 54-46 split in the Democrats' favor. 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.047 seconds with 14 queries.