Election betting thread.

[dax00]

The betting summary has been updated. Upon closer inspection, it appears that RR1997 had $1105 in bets and offered bets at the same time. For this reason, I think it's only fair if everyone is allowed to wager up to $105 more than they have.

[Senator Cris]

I bet 400 that Trump wins all of the last primaries (that have voting, not delegate selection).

IIRC, RR1997 said that "easy predictions" are not allowed.

[Sorenroy]

The betting summary has been updated. Upon closer inspection, it appears that RR1997 had $1105 in bets and offered bets at the same time. For this reason, I think it's only fair if everyone is allowed to wager up to $105 more than they have.

I would rather you count it off as an accident and prevent it in the future rather than allowing it to take place.

[Doimper]

The betting summary has been updated. Upon closer inspection, it appears that RR1997 had $1105 in bets and offered bets at the same time. For this reason, I think it's only fair if everyone is allowed to wager up to $105 more than they have.

I would rather you count it off as an accident and prevent it in the future rather than allowing it to take place.

[dax00]

Can do. In the wake of the Cruz campaign suspension, a great deal of difference has been made to the remainder of primary season. I feel there should be a 48 hour grace period, during which one may freely withdraw or change any unaccepted bets made concerning the following primaries on the GOP side only. The affected bets would be bets (3, 5, 6, 11).

[Sorenroy]

The betting summary has been updated. Upon closer inspection, it appears that RR1997 had $1105 in bets and offered bets at the same time. For this reason, I think it's only fair if everyone is allowed to wager up to $105 more than they have.

I would rather you count it off as an accident and prevent it in the future rather than allowing it to take place.

Or it could be so you can bet above your total, but not to a point at which you could lose it all at once. That way you could put down bets for future contests as well.

[Doimper]

I bet $500 that all remaining candidates will take to the convention.

I'll take this one

[dax00]

Since Kasich has just officially dropped out, I feel the need to remove all remaining GOP primary bets concerning victories in certain states.

Four of the offered bets were removed. Accepted bets were unaffected.

To: Et tu, Tuesday?
  Would you like to concede bets (h) and (i) now, seeing how unlikely it is that you'd win them, or would you like to continue in hopes of some incredible turn of events?

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Since Kasich has just officially dropped out, I feel the need to remove all remaining GOP primary bets concerning victories in certain states.

Four of the offered bets were removed. Accepted bets were unaffected.

To: Et tu, Tuesday?
  Would you like to concede bets (h) and (i) now, seeing how unlikely it is that you'd win them, or would you like to continue in hopes of some incredible turn of events?

I made the bets and I'll stick to them (it's easy when it's not real money), but I recognize that they're losing bets at this point.

[Xing]

I'll bet $100 that Sanders drops out some time in June (i.e. before the convention) and endorses Clinton.

[Baki]

500$ that Hillary wins more than 350 electoral votes.
250$ that Hillary wins AZ

I'll take both of these.

I'm quoting this because the OP says these bets were not accepted by anyone.

[Doimper]

Haven't I already won the $500 convention one? News that Kasich is suspending his campaign broke barely twenty minutes after I took it.

[dax00]

Haven't I already won the $500 convention one? News that Kasich is suspending his campaign broke barely twenty minutes after I took it.

I interpret "take to the convention" to mean showing up. Kasich could still show up at the RNC, even if he wouldn't be vying for the nomination.

[Doimper]

Haven't I already won the $500 convention one? News that Kasich is suspending his campaign broke barely twenty minutes after I took it.

I interpret "take to the convention" to mean showing up. Kasich could still show up at the RNC, even if he wouldn't be vying for the nomination.

I took it to mean that they wouldn't drop out of the race until the convention. I'm certain that Kasich is going to be making an appearance, considering he's the governor of the state the RNC's taking place in. And I don't see Sanders not showing up to the DNC, he's the runner-up.

I could definitely be wrong, though - would appreciate some clarification from MikeWells.

[dax00]

I'll bet $50 that more than 4600 people will vote in this year's Guam Democratic caucus.

[Badger]

I'll bet $500 at 3-1 odds the Libertarian candidate doesn't hit 10% in a single state.

[dax00]

I'll bet $500 at 3-1 odds the Libertarian candidate doesn't hit 10% in a single state.

A confident bet placing the odds at 3:1 That's actually quite good. I'm tempted....

[dax00]

I'll bet $100 that exactly 3 delegates from Washington (on the GOP side) will go unbound.

[Sorenroy]

I bet 250 that Bernie Sanders will win West Virginia by double digits.

I bet 150 that Trump wins West Virginia with 80-90% of the vote.

I bet 150 that Trump wins Nebraska with 70-80% of the vote.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

I bet $400 that Trump wins WV by 70%+ in the general.

[Doimper]

I bet 150 that Trump wins Nebraska with 70-80% of the vote.

Done

[Sorenroy]

I bet $400 that Trump wins WV by 70%+ in the general.

I'll take this. I guess with the trend he could, but I doubt it.

[Senator Cris]

I bet $400 that the non Clinton/Sanders vote will get 10% or more of the vote in West Virginia.

[The Other Castro]

I bet 250 that Bernie Sanders will win West Virginia by double digits.

I'll take this one.

[dax00]

I bet $400 that the non Clinton/Sanders vote will get 10% or more of the vote in West Virginia.

I'll take that one, if you mean that in the West Virginia Democratic primary, "Other" receives 10%+.
--------------------------------
Moved up for convenience

PARTICIPANTS
B=in bet, O=offered in bet, A=available, T=total


RR1997 - B=550, O=0, A=1020, T=1570
Doctor Imperialism - B=500, O=0, A=1050, T=1550
Peebs - B=0, O=0, A=1400, T=1400
Cris - B=0, O=0, A=1300, T=1300
xingkerui - B=500, O=200, A=600, T=1300
MikeWells - B=500, O=0, A=575, T=1075
Baki - B=750, O=0, A=315, T=1065
dax00 - B=550, O=100, A=350, T=1000
cxs018 - B=0, O=765, A=235, T=1000
ExtremeRepublican - B=150, O=0, A=850, T=1000
Higgs - B=0, O=1000, A=0, T=1000
Badger - B=100, O=550, A=350, T=1000
iheartpho - B=750, O=250, A=0, T=1000
OC - B=0, O=0, A=980, T=980
Fubart Solman - B=0, O=0, A=935, T=935
Steve - B=0, O=0, A=900, T=900
Sorenroy - B=250, O=0, A=550, T=800
Santander - B=0, O=0, A=575, T=575
Meclazine - B=0, O=0, A=400, T=400
Castro - B=0, O=0, A=250, T=250

BETS

Available:
2. $500 @ 1:1, Castro not Clinton's VP pick, offered by cxs018
3. $1000 @ 1:1, Hillary under 53% pop. vote in GE, offered by Higgs
4. $15 @ 1:1, Trump wins GOP nomination, offered by cxs018
5. $250 @ 1:1, Kasich not Trump's VP pick, offered by cxs018
6. $100 @ 1:1, Sanders wins SD(p), offered by xingkerui
7. $250 @ 1:1, Hillary wins more than 80% of Hispanic vote (GE), offered by iheartpho
8. $50 @ 1:1, Trump wins no 2008 Obama state except IN (GE), offered by badger
9. $100 @ 1:1, Sanders drops out in June & endorses Clinton, offered by xingkerui
10. $500 @ 3:1, no Libertarian hits 10% pop. vote in any state (GE), offered by badger
11. $100 @ 1:1, exactly 3 total delegates unbound from Washington(p) (R), offered by dax00

Taken:
a. $150 @ 1:1, no Romney state votes for Hillary (GE), offered by ExtremeRepublican, taken by RR1997
b. $500 @ 1:1, Hillary wins NV(GE), offered by xingkerui, taken by dax00
c. $400 @ 1:1, Trump wins 207+ electoral votes (GE), offered by IndyRep, taken by RR1997
d. $100 @ 2:1, Trump wins no Obama 2012 state (GE), offered by badger, accepted by dax00
e. $500 @ 1:1, Hillary wins more than 350 electoral votes (GE), offered by iheartpho, taken by Baki
f. $250 @ 1:1, Hillary wins AZ(GE), offered by iheartpho, taken by Baki
g. $500 @ 1:1; Trump, Kasich, Clinton, Sanders at RNC, DNC; offered by MikeWells, taken by Doctor Imperialism

Withdrawn:

Ended:
i. $35 @ 1:1, Sanders wins IN(p), offered by RR1997, taken by Steve
ii. $20 @ 1:1, Cruz wins IN(p), offered by OC, taken by RR1997
iii. $65 @ 1:1, Sanders loses IN(p) by double digits, offered by Steve, taken by Baki
iv. $50 @ 1:1 Clinton wins IN(p), offered by MikeWells, taken by Santander
v. $25 @ 1:1, Trump wins IN(p), offered by MikeWells, taken by Santander
vi. $300 @ 1:1, Trump wins IN(p) with 55%+, offered by Meclazine, taken by dax00
vii. $300 @ 1:1, Hillary wins IN(p) with 55%+, offered by Meclazine, taken by xingkerui
viii. $400 @ 1:1, Trump wins IN(p), offered by Doctor Imperialism, accepted by Santander
ix. $500 @ 1:1, IN(p) within 6% for both parties, offered by Castro, taken by RR1997
x. $150 @ 1:1, Trump wins Nebraska(p) with 70-80% of vote, offered by Sorenroy, accepted by Doctor Imperialism
xi. $400 @ 1:1, Trump wins West Virginia(GE) with 70%+ of the vote, offered by Peebs, taken by Sorenroy
xii. $250 @ 1:1, Sanders wins West Virginia(p) by 10%+, offered by Sorenroy, taken by Castro
xiii. $400 @ 1:1; in West Virginia (Dem, p), "Other" receives 10%+ of the vote; offered by Cris, taken by dax00
xiv. $100 @ 1:1, Sanders wins West Virginia(p) by 20%+, offered by Santander, taken by dax00
xv. $50 @ 1:1, Clinton wins KY(p), offered by MikeWells, taken by Santander
xvi. $50 @ 1:1, Trump wins OR(p), offered by MikeWells, taken by Fubart Solman
xvii. $15 @ 1:1, Trump wins OR(p), offered by RR1997, taken by Fubart Solman