Northern New England vs Southern New England
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 07:36:48 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Northern New England vs Southern New England
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Northern New England vs Southern New England  (Read 1896 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 30, 2016, 09:32:18 PM »
« edited: May 01, 2016, 04:41:50 PM by ElectionsGuy »

The vote in both primaries between ME, NH, VT vs CT, MA, RI is pretty big. The lower are much more favorable to Trump and Clinton, the others more favorable to Sanders and other Republicans (Kasich mainly). What is different culturally about these places that makes them so different politically (in intraparty politics)? Particularly upper New England, as lower New England votes as its an extension of the upper Atlantic states.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,852


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2016, 09:36:10 PM »

The difference is the timing of the primary.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2016, 09:37:31 PM »

Lower New England is the more statist part definitely, and the Democrats are definitely more liberal. Sans a few wedge issues, the two parties in UNE are basically androgynous. Quite centrist, love bipartisanship. UNE is also a lot more libertarian that SNE. You'll see a lot more survivalists and tough guys in UNE since it is marginally colder and more wild there, but the overarching culture of the overall region is felt all throughout.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 30, 2016, 09:40:18 PM »
« Edited: April 30, 2016, 09:44:12 PM by ElectionsGuy »

The difference is the timing of the primary.

I don't think so. Trump nearly got 50% in MA while also getting mid-30's in all of upper New England, including 33% in VT on the same day. Maine is a caucus so unfortunately its not representative of the Republican electorate, but in New Hampshire I'm confident most of that Rubio and Bush vote would've gone to Kasich as a second choice. MA went to Clinton by one point just a few weeks after losing NH by 22 points.

Lower New England is the more statist part definitely, and the Democrats are definitely more liberal. Sans a few wedge issues, the two parties in UNE are basically androgynous. Quite centrist, love bipartisanship. UNE is also a lot more libertarian that SNE. You'll see a lot more survivalists and tough guys in UNE since it is marginally colder and more wild there, but the overarching culture of the overall region is felt all throughout.

If upper New England is centrist, why did it go for the democratic socialist?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 30, 2016, 09:47:57 PM »

The difference is the timing of the primary.

I don't think so. Drumpf nearly got 50% in MA while also getting mid-30's in all of upper New England, including 33% in VT on the same day. Maine is a caucus so unfortunately its not representative of the Republican electorate, but in New Hampshire I'm confident most of that Rubio and Bush vote would've gone to Kasich as a second choice. MA went to Clinton by one point just a few weeks after losing NH by 22 points.

Lower New England is the more statist part definitely, and the Democrats are definitely more liberal. Sans a few wedge issues, the two parties in UNE are basically androgynous. Quite centrist, love bipartisanship. UNE is also a lot more libertarian that SNE. You'll see a lot more survivalists and tough guys in UNE since it is marginally colder and more wild there, but the overarching culture of the overall region is felt all throughout.

If upper New England is centrist, why did it go for the democratic socialist?

By centrist I should have put "sensible." We can smell BS a mile away
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 30, 2016, 10:00:04 PM »

I think another part of it is the urban/rural divide, as well as income. LNE is much more urban/suburban, which definitely explains why Clinton did much better there, and Trump tends to do quite well in the suburbs. LNE Democrats are more affluent, which is another reason why Clinton was able to win MA/CT.
Logged
RaphaelDLG
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,687
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 30, 2016, 10:18:53 PM »

I don't buy the "more liberal" angle but I do buy the statist-libertarian angle
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 30, 2016, 11:02:09 PM »

Upper vs. Lower is probably not the best way to think about New England.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2016, 12:13:23 AM »

Lower New England is the more statist part definitely, and the Democrats are definitely more liberal. Sans a few wedge issues, the two parties in UNE are basically androgynous. Quite centrist, love bipartisanship. UNE is also a lot more libertarian that SNE. You'll see a lot more survivalists and tough guys in UNE since it is marginally colder and more wild there, but the overarching culture of the overall region is felt all throughout.
If upper New England is centrist, why did it go for the democratic socialist?
Sanders has a lot of appeal to foreign policy paleoconservatives(those for fair trade and non-interventionism). He's also quite "libertarian" on guns, the Fed, and a few minor economic/social "liberty" issues.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2016, 12:15:29 AM »

I think another part of it is the urban/rural divide, as well as income. LNE is much more urban/suburban, which definitely explains why Clinton did much better there, and Trump tends to do quite well in the suburbs. LNE Democrats are more affluent, which is another reason why Clinton was able to win MA/CT.

Yep, it's urban vs. rural. Hillary only won MA because of Boston, and only won CT because of the NYC metro area.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,726


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2016, 12:21:57 AM »

Connecticut is the only New England state with a closed primary, and it was both Bernie's worst New England state and best closed primary.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,746


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 01, 2016, 12:25:50 AM »

Also Upper New England Was Dominated by the republicans from 1932-1992 while lower new england was solidly democrat since 1932
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,726


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 01, 2016, 12:32:02 AM »

Also Upper New England Was Dominated by the republicans from 1932-1992 while lower new england was solidly democrat since 1932

Vermont was never Democratic until recently. NH and Maine would sometimes vote Democratic. Connecticut wasn't solidly Democratic until recently.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,746


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 01, 2016, 12:42:27 AM »

Also Upper New England Was Dominated by the republicans from 1932-1992 while lower new england was solidly democrat since 1932

Vermont was never Democratic until recently. NH and Maine would sometimes vote Democratic. Connecticut wasn't solidly Democratic until recently.

Thats upper North East which is what I said was GOP till 1992
Logged
Blue3
Starwatcher
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,055
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 01, 2016, 01:39:50 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2016, 09:41:27 PM by Blue3 »

Just so people know... we call it Southern New England.

Have never heard anyone call us "Lower New England" before this thread.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 01, 2016, 04:41:38 PM »

Just so people know... we called is Southern New England.

Have never heard anyone call us "Lower New England" before this thread.

Sorry, didn't mean to offend you, lol. I'll change the thread title if that makes you feel better.
Logged
TheDeadFlagBlues
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,990
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 01, 2016, 05:10:57 PM »

Massachusetts and Connecticut are two of the most unequal states in the country. To my knowledge, along with New York, they blow the former Confederacy out of the water. The financial sector looms large in Connecticut and the academic-industrial complex looms large in Massachusetts; both states once contained a very light manufacturing sector. As a result, both states are sharply polarized along class-lines; there's a tremendous cultural divide between Boston and the rest of Massachusetts and another tremendous cultural divide between the New York metro area in CT and the rest of the state. Contrary to stereotypes involving "WASPs" or "Yankee culture", neither state is particularly defined by the elites but, regardless, the elites of the Boston metro area and Fairfield County punch above their weight.

For whatever reason, these stereotypes about WASPs have been applied to Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont, even though the three above states are, if anything, dominated by the scruffy remnants of long-dead industrial communities, logging towns and small-farming. Yes, there are resort towns in Maine/New Hampshire, some wealthy migrants to all three states but, ultimately, they are incredibly poor in comparison to their counterparts in MA and NH.

Hopefully, if the primary process has imparted any knowledge, it is that New England is not some sort of highly-affluent, highly-educated, enlightened liberal utopia. Sure, the median voter in this region is unusually secular but it's still a hotbed of chauvinistic nationalism and a large degree of racist sentiment, as evidenced by the triumph of LePage in 2014. Further, it would be a mistake to see any of these states as a citadel for Obama-style technocratic, education-focused liberalism.

edit: I ignored Rhode Island because it might as well be on a different planet imo.
Logged
Oak Hills
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,076
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: May 01, 2016, 05:38:12 PM »

Don't Massachusetts and Rhode Island have more ancestry Italians and Irish, whereas Vermont and Maine have more ancestry from Britain and France? Does that change anything, or have any impact?

Yes, and especially Rhode Island is far more Catholic. Indeed, Rhode Island is the most Catholic state in the Union iirc.
Logged
Blue3
Starwatcher
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,055
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: May 01, 2016, 09:49:59 PM »

Don't Massachusetts and Rhode Island have more ancestry Italians and Irish, whereas Vermont and Maine have more ancestry from Britain and France? Does that change anything, or have any impact?
Lots of Irish and Italians but I don't think they're a majority. We still have lots of British descendants, some French, some Portuguese, and now a lot of Hispanics. Or at least RI does.

Don't Massachusetts and Rhode Island have more ancestry Italians and Irish, whereas Vermont and Maine have more ancestry from Britain and France? Does that change anything, or have any impact?

Yes, and especially Rhode Island is far more Catholic. Indeed, Rhode Island is the most Catholic state in the Union iirc.
Catholic in name not in practice for the most part, though we do have lots and lots of churches.

Massachusetts and Connecticut are two of the most unequal states in the country. To my knowledge, along with New York, they blow the former Confederacy out of the water. The financial sector looms large in Connecticut and the academic-industrial complex looms large in Massachusetts; both states once contained a very light manufacturing sector. As a result, both states are sharply polarized along class-lines; there's a tremendous cultural divide between Boston and the rest of Massachusetts and another tremendous cultural divide between the New York metro area in CT and the rest of the state. Contrary to stereotypes involving "WASPs" or "Yankee culture", neither state is particularly defined by the elites but, regardless, the elites of the Boston metro area and Fairfield County punch above their weight.

For whatever reason, these stereotypes about WASPs have been applied to Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont, even though the three above states are, if anything, dominated by the scruffy remnants of long-dead industrial communities, logging towns and small-farming. Yes, there are resort towns in Maine/New Hampshire, some wealthy migrants to all three states but, ultimately, they are incredibly poor in comparison to their counterparts in MA and NH.

Hopefully, if the primary process has imparted any knowledge, it is that New England is not some sort of highly-affluent, highly-educated, enlightened liberal utopia. Sure, the median voter in this region is unusually secular but it's still a hotbed of chauvinistic nationalism and a large degree of racist sentiment, as evidenced by the triumph of LePage in 2014. Further, it would be a mistake to see any of these states as a citadel for Obama-style technocratic, education-focused liberalism.




edit: I ignored Rhode Island because it might as well be on a different planet imo.
Now I'm curious for your take on Rhode Island Tongue


We are based off the mills of the Providence, Pawtucket, Central Falls, and Woonsocket. The American Industrial Revolution began here, at Slater Mill along the Blackstone River. But once those mill jobs left, the state never truly recovered. And now we have nearly a Hispanic majority in the cities mentioned above (probably do have a majority in Central Falls), which most people don't think of states so far north of the border.

Just so people know... we called is Southern New England.

Have never heard anyone call us "Lower New England" before this thread.

Sorry, didn't mean to offend you, lol. I'll change the thread title if that makes you feel better.
Thanks but you didn't need to lol, it wasn't offensive I just never ever heard of those terms before.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: May 01, 2016, 10:46:37 PM »

Also Upper New England Was Dominated by the republicans from 1932-1992 while lower new england was solidly democrat since 1932

Vermont was never Democratic until recently. NH and Maine would sometimes vote Democratic. Connecticut wasn't solidly Democratic until recently.

The fact that the Republican vote in Vermont went from 72% in 1956 to 34% in 1964 while the Republican vote in Mississippi went from 24% to 87% over the same period is perhaps the most mind-boggling election stat I can think of.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 13 queries.