If Jolly Wins the Florida Primary?
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  If Jolly Wins the Florida Primary?
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Poll
Question: If Jolly Wins the Florida Primary Where Would You Rate the Florida Senate Race (against Murphy)?
#1
Safe D Pickup
 
#2
Likely D Pickup
 
#3
Lean D Pickup
 
#4
Tossup
 
#5
Lean R Hold
 
#6
Likely R Hold
 
#7
Safe R Hold
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: If Jolly Wins the Florida Primary?  (Read 918 times)
mds32
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« on: May 01, 2016, 10:45:05 AM »

I would be almost inclined to say Likely Republican. He is not only pro-SSM (and probably with the LGBT Community on other issues) but he also believes in Global Warming as well. Another factor that makes him more electable I would say.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/david-jolly-60-minutes-fundraiser-222661
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2016, 10:52:43 AM »

Jolly's moderate stands don't make up for being pretty inept at other basic things that candidates need to be good at when they run for Senate. Ron DeSantis is running a very capable operation though he is also running the most conservative one.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2016, 11:07:55 AM »

Lean R Hold.  I think he will do better with swing voters, and swing areas.  His generally fiscally conservative views, along with other unique stances can build a strong coalition.  I think Murphy is overrated as a candidate.  Even DeSantis, while more conservative than Jolly, is a strong campaigner and can keep this race competitive against either Murphy or Grayson.  I wish the GOP could just rally around one candidate, but we'll see.  I hope they can hold this seat.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2016, 11:23:01 AM »

Toss-up with Murphy, Safe R with Grayson.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2016, 11:26:48 AM »

Grayson isn't our Nomiee he supported Sanders. Lean D takevers in NH, IL, WI, and FL. And Pa will tilt Dems direction
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2016, 04:23:35 PM »

Toss-up with Murphy, Safe R with Grayson.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2016, 07:04:17 PM »

It would still be a toss-up. I think we should reserve judgment of Jolly (and Murphy) until the primaries are over. They're both relatively untested when it comes to statewide elections.
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syntaxerror
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« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2016, 11:24:35 PM »

If its Murphy, Lean D. Likely R is Grayson. Lets hope the Dem establishment grabs another win.
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Frodo
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« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2016, 11:39:05 PM »

Toss-up to a lean pick-up for the Democrats. 
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #9 on: May 02, 2016, 12:28:51 AM »

Jolly has good positions, but has shown he's simply not that strong of a candidate. Bad fundraiser, former lobbyist, strong ties to Scientology, ect.

It'd be a Toss-Up against Murphy, especially with Trump at the top of the ticket. Likely R with Grayson.
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JMT
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« Reply #10 on: May 02, 2016, 01:09:20 AM »

Tossup/Tilt D with Murphy as the nominee

Likely R if Grayson is the nominee.

However, I think the race will end up being DeSantis vs. Murphy, with Murphy winning by a slim margin
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #11 on: May 02, 2016, 12:37:57 PM »

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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #12 on: May 02, 2016, 01:28:17 PM »

I'd say it is lean R with DeSantis against Murphy, which is why he is the stronger choice.

Jolly's moderate stands don't make up for being pretty inept at other basic things that candidates need to be good at when they run for Senate. Ron DeSantis is running a very capable operation though he is also running the most conservative one.
I know some of his folks very well. Capable operation is an understatement.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #13 on: May 02, 2016, 02:47:46 PM »

I'd say it is lean R with DeSantis against Murphy, which is why he is the stronger choice.

Jolly's moderate stands don't make up for being pretty inept at other basic things that candidates need to be good at when they run for Senate. Ron DeSantis is running a very capable operation though he is also running the most conservative one.
I know some of his folks very well. Capable operation is an understatement.
I actually think DeSantis is a very strong candidate, even more so than Jolly.  He seems to be running a great campaign, and is accumulating a big war chest.  At first I thought he would be way too conservative for Florida, but on second thought I don't really think so.  Never underestimate DeSantis.  I think the Florida GOP should just rally around him.  The NRCC is battling against Jolly for his 60 Minutes appearance.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #14 on: May 02, 2016, 05:36:04 PM »

I'd say it is lean R with DeSantis against Murphy, which is why he is the stronger choice.

Jolly's moderate stands don't make up for being pretty inept at other basic things that candidates need to be good at when they run for Senate. Ron DeSantis is running a very capable operation though he is also running the most conservative one.
I know some of his folks very well. Capable operation is an understatement.
I actually think DeSantis is a very strong candidate, even more so than Jolly.  He seems to be running a great campaign, and is accumulating a big war chest.  At first I thought he would be way too conservative for Florida, but on second thought I don't really think so.  Never underestimate DeSantis.  I think the Florida GOP should just rally around him.  The NRCC is battling against Jolly for his 60 Minutes appearance.
Again, word on the street is that they are really lobbying Jolly hard to drop out and seek reelection against Crist. He'll probably endorse CLC in a final parting shot if he does, but it won't dent DeSantis's momentum.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #15 on: May 03, 2016, 12:36:41 AM »

Desalts has raised way more money. He;s winning the primary
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