Rassy - National: Trump +2
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  Rassy - National: Trump +2
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Author Topic: Rassy - National: Trump +2  (Read 1612 times)
Ronnie
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« on: May 02, 2016, 09:43:50 AM »
« edited: May 02, 2016, 09:47:57 AM by Ronnie »

Conducted April 27-28, MoE +/- 3

Trump 41%
Clinton 39%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/trump_41_clinton_39

Go home, Scott, you're drunk.
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Mallow
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« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2016, 09:51:45 AM »

"Clinton earns 71% of the black vote, 45% support among other minority voters but just 33% of whites. Trump gets only nine percent (9%) of blacks, 33% of other minorities and 48% of white voters."

So 20% of blacks, 22% of other minorities, and 19% of whites are in the "other" category (including undecided), and most of those support another candidate? Who, exactly, are these people supporting?
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2016, 09:56:18 AM »

The general does seem to be getting tighter (see also the most recent Ohio poll). I suspect that it's mostly based upon a 'rally around the (likely) nominee' effect on the GOP side.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: May 02, 2016, 09:59:52 AM »

Clinton is leading
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standwrand
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« Reply #4 on: May 02, 2016, 10:01:55 AM »
« Edited: May 02, 2016, 10:04:54 AM by standwrand »

This is fake, but it does confirm that there is no possible way to have a landslide in 2016 because of the polarizing partisanship in the US. This election could be closer than 2012 by virtue of no popular incumbent and polarization.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #5 on: May 02, 2016, 10:06:50 AM »

If Trump is the nominee, Republicans probably rally around him, and the election winds up being close.  The map may be somewhat different, as Trump should do better than Romney and PVI in the Industrial Midwest (and even make the Northeast slightly closer), but he would do weaker in the Sun Belt (minus the Deep South states) and out West.
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Holmes
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« Reply #6 on: May 02, 2016, 10:09:09 AM »

Rasa is doing daily tracking, right? Trying their best to swing the aggregate in Trump's favor.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #7 on: May 02, 2016, 10:12:11 AM »

Rasa is doing daily tracking, right? Trying their best to swing the aggregate in Trump's favor.

Yeah.  Should we make a "Rasmussen Daily Tracking" thread to aggregate them all?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: May 02, 2016, 10:21:24 AM »

This election is far from over even though Rassy is doing tracking not state by state polls which seems fishy.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #9 on: May 02, 2016, 12:21:08 PM »

BS or not, it still scares me. I will probably be as much of an alarmist as Lief was back in 2012, which is embarrassing but probably warranted.
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Devils30
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« Reply #10 on: May 02, 2016, 12:45:03 PM »

When the media focus becomes about whether Trump is fit for office it's not gonna look pretty for the GOP.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #11 on: May 02, 2016, 12:54:48 PM »

Take his poll and throw it in the trash. The numbers are too low even for Trump.

Check this out, it's a list of polls for the 2012 election. Rassy faired the worse.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=1
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: May 02, 2016, 03:03:39 PM »

I think I'll trust every state poll over Ras and their 20% undecideds. lol
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2016, 09:24:14 AM »

Trump's reaction to this poll on Fox & Friends:

"I'm not surprised to see this poll.  I'll beat Hillary".

Well, there you have it.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2016, 11:54:30 PM »

Ahhhh
The first rays of sunshine of summer 2016 are peeking over the horizon, swimming pools are starting to get packed, and Rasmussen has returned.  It's election time again!  Brings back good memories of four years ago.
What is this German beauty products site that unskewedpolls.com redirects to?
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Ljube
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« Reply #15 on: May 04, 2016, 01:12:55 AM »

I think I'll trust every state poll over Ras and their 20% undecideds. lol

Too early to trust any poll yet.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: May 05, 2016, 06:22:01 PM »

Fox news is still sounding the Indictment drums of Clinton. But the way the GOP are abandoning Trump, its unlikely Trump is leading.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #17 on: May 05, 2016, 06:52:27 PM »

Ahhhh
The first rays of sunshine of summer 2016 are peeking over the horizon, swimming pools are starting to get packed, and Rasmussen has returned.  It's election time again!  Brings back good memories of four years ago.
What is this German beauty products site that unskewedpolls.com redirects to?

They knew too much!
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