Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)

[Mr. Morden]

Polls in Indiana are open from 6am to 6pm local time.  Since part of the state is in Eastern Time and part is in Central Time, polls close at 6pm ET in most of the state, but 7pm ET in the rest of it.  The networks won’t release the exit poll toplines or call the state until 7pm ET.

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until all the polls have closed in the state.

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/in/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/indiana

[Chief Justice Keef]

Bernie's last stand?

[Holmes]

Bernie's last stand?

No, he's already lost.

[JRoby]

Bernie's been making his "last stand" ever since Super Tuesday.

[Eraserhead]

He's going to the end because he wants to have as much say over the platform and what happens at the convention as possible.

So a win here would be nice but he'll keep going even if he loses. There are other states that'll be fairly easy wins for him after this.

[Torie]

He's going to the end because he wants to have as much say over the platform and what happens at the convention as possible.

So a win here would be nice but he'll keep going even if he loses. There are other states that'll be fairly easy wins for him after this.

The end.

[Eraserhead]

He's going to the end because he wants to have as much say over the platform and what happens at the convention as possible.

So a win here would be nice but he'll keep going even if he loses. There are other states that'll be fairly easy wins for him after this.

The end.

Yes, Torie. I'm familiar with the song... hilarious...

[Wiz in Wis]

He's going to the end because he wants to have as much say over the platform and what happens at the convention as possible.

So a win here would be nice but he'll keep going even if he loses. There are other states that'll be fairly easy wins for him after this.

The end.

Yes, Torie. I've heard The Doors before...

Well, you've clearly not heard them enough with that attitude.

[Eraserhead]

He's going to the end because he wants to have as much say over the platform and what happens at the convention as possible.

So a win here would be nice but he'll keep going even if he loses. There are other states that'll be fairly easy wins for him after this.

The end.

Yes, Torie. I've heard The Doors before...

Well, you've clearly not heard them enough with that attitude.

Okay.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Apparently youth turnout is pretty high.

[Eraserhead]

Apparently youth turnout is pretty high.

Where'd you hear that?

Voters 17-29 made up 17% of the electorate here in 2008. Let's see what that number ends up being today.

[Xing]

The big question is, will Sanders win yet another Clinton county?

[Gass3268]

From Benchmark Politics:

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[MasterJedi]

Hoping Hillary can pull it out here. Hearing that urban/suburban turnout is high, hoping that benefits Clinton. Would be a nice slap to Bernie and his "Bernie or Bust" bots like jfern.

[Chief Justice Keef]

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That's not good for Sanders at all, considering Lake County should be one of Clinton's largest victories within the state.

I'm thinking Bernie can pull out in Allen County, though. Lots of universities there (IPFW, Ivy Tech, St. Francis, Indiana Tech).

[Xing]

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That's not good for Sanders at all, considering Lake County should be one of Clinton's largest victories within the state.

I'm thinking Bernie can pull out in Allen County, though. Lots of universities there (IPFW, Ivy Tech, St. Francis, Indiana Tech).

I'd call Allen county a must-win for Sanders. He'll need at least one urban county to offset Clinton's wins in Marion and Lake, unless she underperforms in those counties.

[Gass3268]

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[Fusionmunster]

Untill proven otherwise, im thinking high turnout is because of the Republicans. Neither campaign on the dem side heavily campaigned here, unlike the republicans.

[Gass3268]

Untill proven otherwise, im thinking high turnout is because of the Republicans. Neither campaign on the dem side heavily campaigned here, unlike the republicans.

Agreed

The guy from Benchmark Politics is from Indiana, so he's posting a ton of turnout reports, too many for me to keep posting here, but still interesting.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Benchmark Politics:

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[MyRescueKittehRocks]

I'm being told on the ground that turnout in Howard county is high,

[Ebsy]

High turnout in rural areas is almost certainly going to be Republican voters.

[Xing]

High turnout in rural areas is almost certainly going to be Republican voters.

Probably, although high turnout in Lake could be more for Trump than Clinton, since the Republican contest has gotten much more coverage than the Democratic one.

[Gass3268]

Benchmark Politics:

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True, but look at the rest of the Chicagoland counties.

Cook, IL: Clinton 8%
Lake, IL: Clinton 6.5%
DuPage, IL: Sanders 5%
Will, IL: Sanders 5.5%
Kane County, IL: Sanders 13%
Kenosha County, WI: Sanders 14.5%
Kendall, IL: Sanders 16.5%
Grundy, IL: Sanders 20%
McHenry, IL: Sanders 22%
DeKalb, IL: Sanders 33.5%

Am I saying that Sanders will win Lake County, IL? No, however I think it will be closer than many people are projecting. The Chicagoland area has been one of the better spots for Sanders.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Benchmark Politics:

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True, but look at the rest of the Chicagoland counties.

Cook, IL: Clinton 8%
Lake, IL: Clinton 6.5%
DuPage, IL: Sanders 5%
Will, IL: Sanders 5.5%
Kane County, IL: Sanders 13%
Kenosha County, WI: Sanders 14.5%
Kendall, IL: Sanders 16.5%
Grundy, IL: Sanders 20%
McHenry, IL: Sanders 22%
DeKalb, IL: Sanders 33.5%

Am I saying that Sanders will win Lake County, IL? No, however I think it will be closer than many people are projecting. The Chicagoland area has been one of the better spots for Sanders.

Lake County's demographics match up a lot more with Cook County's demographics than some of those other counties (heavy black, latino pop.), so high turnout doesn't bode well in those areas.

However, I do think the turnout reports out now elsewhere definitely benefit Sanders.