Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)

[Gass3268]

From Benchmark Politics:

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[Gass3268]

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[Gass3268]

Untill proven otherwise, im thinking high turnout is because of the Republicans. Neither campaign on the dem side heavily campaigned here, unlike the republicans.

Agreed

The guy from Benchmark Politics is from Indiana, so he's posting a ton of turnout reports, too many for me to keep posting here, but still interesting.

[Gass3268]

Benchmark Politics:

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True, but look at the rest of the Chicagoland counties.

Cook, IL: Clinton 8%
Lake, IL: Clinton 6.5%
DuPage, IL: Sanders 5%
Will, IL: Sanders 5.5%
Kane County, IL: Sanders 13%
Kenosha County, WI: Sanders 14.5%
Kendall, IL: Sanders 16.5%
Grundy, IL: Sanders 20%
McHenry, IL: Sanders 22%
DeKalb, IL: Sanders 33.5%

Am I saying that Sanders will win Lake County, IL? No, however I think it will be closer than many people are projecting. The Chicagoland area has been one of the better spots for Sanders.

[Gass3268]

Honest and Trustworthy from exits:

Clinton: 54-43%
Sanders 84-12%

Probably the worst numbers for Clinton so far tonight.

[Gass3268]

Dear Atlas,

Twenty minutes to go. Exits are meaningless, as we've seen time and time again.

Thank you,

King

Not all of the polls, just half of the state.

More like 75% of the state, which also includes some probably good Sanders area in the Southwest part of the state.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/727614719587196928

Looks like he's blowing smoke.  Not seeing this anywhere else.

Why would the main numbers guy on MSNBC be making stuff up?

[Gass3268]

it should be noted that these exit polls don't include early voting, which could shake things up.

Only about 1/3 of the early voting were Democrats.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/727614719587196928

Looks like he's blowing smoke.  Not seeing this anywhere else.

Why would the main numbers guy on MSNBC be making stuff up?

I have no idea, but no one else that I can see is going with these numbers.  You can't tell me with a straight face these don't look highly questionable to you.

Obviously those numbers are off, like 99% sure that they are off. Yet if those are the numbers that Edison is currently reporting, Sanders is winning the white women's vote, but by obviously a smaller margin.

[Gass3268]

I imagine this this the early vote, which has always been pro-Clinton.

[Gass3268]

She is up to 55%. Pretty good performance around Fort Wayne.

Allen county looks like it's all early vote though.

Its not.  1 precinct reporting according to NYT.  Counties that are all early vote have 'initial results'.

Different states report the early vote differently.

[Gass3268]

How the heck were the exit polls so wrong (unless Sanders in dominating in Indy). They need to figure out how to do this better in 4-8 years.

[Gass3268]

Indianapolis currently 55-45 Clinton.

Isn't that kind of low?

Its in line with how Chicago and Detroit voted.

The Midwest is a different beast than the Northeast and South.

[Gass3268]

I'm thinking that other than Lake, the Northeast is going to come in strong for Sanders.

[Gass3268]

Democratic state parties must close down their primaries before next time. Let indies start their own party.

Most of those decisions are legal decisions made by the state governments. Also I don't know why Democrats are all of a sudden against expanding the vote. Every state should be open or at least semi closed (allowing for Indies).

[Gass3268]

Democratic state parties must close down their primaries before next time. Let indies start their own party.

Most of those decisions are legal decisions made by the state governments. Also I don't know why Democrats are all of a sudden against expanding the vote. Every state should be open or at least semi closed (allowing for Indies).

Because it doesn't make since that you get to choose the nominee of a party you're not a member of.

I guess it's because I'm from Wisconsin and I believe in the open and transparent values of Fighting Bob.

[Gass3268]

This race is going to be fun!

Lake is probably going to wait until midnight like 2008 to report again.

[Gass3268]

Gary is really, really black though.

It's also not very big.

[Gass3268]

A lot of the rural counties are starting to flip to Sanders.

[Gass3268]

Just so folks know, Gary only has 78,450 people. It's not even the biggest city in Lake County.

[Gass3268]

Why are the southernmost counties not going for Sanders? Aren't they the majority white rural counties that we've seen break for him in the past?

Some of them are Cincinnati and Louisville suburbs.

[Gass3268]

gary lead down to 11% for clinton as election day comes in

White voters in Lake County are very much white working class that Sanders has done well with.

[Gass3268]

Holy crap, Harrison County! That might be a reporting error.

[Gass3268]

Benchmark Politics is saying their numbers are projecting a tie.

[Gass3268]

Where are all these Sanders votes coming from? Most of the remaining vote is in Clinton counties.

Exit polls had Sanders up a lot in the Northwest of the state, expect him to do well in the non-Lake Counties.