Republican Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)

[johnbuterbaugh]

Why the support for Cruz in the Fort Wayne area? Does the "City of Churches" moniker have something to do with it?

[Cubby]

Why the support for Cruz in the Fort Wayne area? Does the "City of Churches" moniker have something to do with it?

Bump

I've been wondering about this but haven't found an explanation. Is it the Amish? (I think, though am not sure, that there are a lot in Northeast Indiana.) Did Trump close and scavenge a factory there like Romney did to that town in the 2012 election? There has to be a reason.

Looking at past Indiana general elections the area is more Republican than the state as a whole but not by an unusually high margin. In the 2008 primaries the same counties Cruz won were McCain's lowest percentage in the whole state. In 2012 Santorum did a little better than the state average but not by much.

[RI]

Why the support for Cruz in the Fort Wayne area? Does the "City of Churches" moniker have something to do with it?

Bump

I've been wondering about this but haven't found an explanation. Is it the Amish? (I think, though am not sure, that there are a lot in Northeast Indiana.) Did Trump close and scavenge a factory there like Romney did to that town in the 2012 election? There has to be a reason.

Looking at past Indiana general elections the area is more Republican than the state as a whole but not by an unusually high margin. In the 2008 primaries the same counties Cruz won were McCain's lowest percentage in the whole state. In 2012 Santorum did a little better than the state average but not by much.

Cruz's vote correlates very strongly with the vote in the GOP senate primary. Basically, Cruz overperformed in Marlin Stutzman's district IN-03 because it seems all the hardcore conservatives turned out there to vote for Stutzman and also voted for Cruz but not in the rest of the state.