Pulse Atlasia Polling (DFW retains 1 point lead)
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Author Topic: Pulse Atlasia Polling (DFW retains 1 point lead)  (Read 2976 times)
Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #25 on: April 29, 2017, 11:09:55 PM »
« edited: April 29, 2017, 11:14:10 PM by Lincoln AM RGN (Fed-NY) »





40 participants Smiley
Margin of error = +/- 5%
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

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« Reply #26 on: April 29, 2017, 11:33:28 PM »
YES!!! DFW IN THE LEAD!!!
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fhtagn
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« Reply #27 on: April 29, 2017, 11:41:54 PM »
wehhhh, stupid imgur. I can't see the results.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

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« Reply #28 on: April 29, 2017, 11:42:44 PM »
Quote from: Speaker fhtagn on April 29, 2017, 11:41:54 PM
wehhhh, stupid imgur. I can't see the results.

DFW is up 49-48
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #29 on: April 29, 2017, 11:44:14 PM »
Quote from: Speaker fhtagn on April 29, 2017, 11:41:54 PM
wehhhh, stupid imgur. I can't see the results.
Direct links:
http://m.imgur.com/Azsw7ld?r
http://m.imgur.com/NQlNOjs?r
http://m.imgur.com/5SatR2v?r
http://m.imgur.com/0pAQOml?r
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #30 on: April 30, 2017, 12:01:38 AM »
ERROR: Party Weighted result - Presidential race
Other ticket - 1%
None of the candidates - 1%

Clyde & DFW not affected
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #31 on: April 30, 2017, 12:05:36 AM »
The polls this time are so much tighter but then iirc these 2 pollsters so far did not poll last time
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Representative simossad
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« Reply #32 on: April 30, 2017, 03:01:27 AM »
This is going to be interesting
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diptheriadan
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« Reply #33 on: April 30, 2017, 05:14:33 AM »
Wow. Lincoln's going orange. Damn.
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Representative simossad
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« Reply #34 on: April 30, 2017, 05:26:51 AM »

I think I remember DFW winning all three regions in January, but it's possible that I'm wrong.
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diptheriadan
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« Reply #35 on: April 30, 2017, 05:32:08 AM »
Quote from: Representative simossad on April 30, 2017, 05:26:51 AM

I think I remember DFW winning all three regions in January, but it's possible that I'm wrong.

He came really, really close but the Midnight Labor Blitzkrieg pushed Nev over the edge up North.
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #36 on: May 10, 2017, 09:21:49 PM »
NEW POLL above!
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #37 on: May 11, 2017, 04:48:19 PM »
Participate in our new poll. Until 5/13
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #38 on: May 12, 2017, 10:18:00 PM »
Participate in the poll, only roughly a day left!
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #39 on: May 14, 2017, 04:21:45 AM »





28 participants Smiley (but since the poll is weighted, still shows high accuracy)
Margin of error = +/- 7.5% (due to the low sample size)


Next survey: May 25 - 27, 2017
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #40 on: May 14, 2017, 04:23:22 AM »
I will be publishing a comparison of the last last poll to the latest poll

And starting in the next poll, the second senator will be also polled Smiley
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #41 on: May 14, 2017, 08:26:06 AM »
I will be posting the "Net Keep Rating"

The formula is (Keep rating - Replace Rating)

Here is the legend (predictions are predictions)

Negative Rating - Not favorable for re-election (Unfavorable rating)
0.00 - 24.99 - Average chances for re-election (Satisfactory Approval Rating)
25.00 - 49.99 - Leaning chances for re-election (Moderate Approval Rating)
50.00 - 74.99 - Likely Chances for re-election (Very Good Approval Rating)
75.00 - up - Solid chances for re-election (Excellent Approval Rating)
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windjammer
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« Reply #42 on: May 14, 2017, 05:40:52 PM »
Btw, polls have always been bulsh**t and will always be.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #43 on: May 14, 2017, 05:43:49 PM »
Highest unknowns go figure
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Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN
RGN08
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Posts: 1,194
Philippines


Political Matrix
E: 2.31, S: 4.47

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« Reply #44 on: May 14, 2017, 07:44:56 PM »
Quote from: Chief Justice windjammer on May 14, 2017, 05:40:52 PM
Btw, polls have always been bulsh**t and will always be.

After looking from the Feb. 2017 polls, I've sought a method on how to minimize the high discrepancy of the surveys versus the real results. The 50-50 be also a test to see if the methods worked.
What do you mean by that?
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cxs018
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #45 on: May 14, 2017, 07:57:14 PM »
Glad to see none of the Lincoln officeholders have a plurality in favor of replacement Smiley
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Clyde1998
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« Reply #46 on: May 15, 2017, 03:18:08 AM »
« Edited: May 15, 2017, 03:27:34 AM by Clyde1998 »
I think he's referring to his "keep" rating - which has the highest number of people saying "N/A" out of all the Representatives.
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