Where does the #NeverTrump crowd go now?
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  Where does the #NeverTrump crowd go now?
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Author Topic: Where does the #NeverTrump crowd go now?  (Read 1532 times)
Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« on: May 04, 2016, 12:36:05 PM »

Even though Trump is the only GOP candidate left, and is guaranteed to get the nomination, there's still a month left of primaries and, as polls shown, there's still a handful of potential voters who don't want to vote for him at all.

So does this voting block just not vote at all? Do they give in and vote for Trump? Or do they switch over the Democrat side (a race which is still going and will most likely get the brunt of coverage these next few weeks) and cast a vote for Clinton/Sanders?
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Torie
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« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2016, 12:38:11 PM »

A third party candidate will be considered by the more conservative never Trumpers, who believe beyond ideology that he is just unfit for office. And then some moderate Pubs (like me before I switched parties), will just vote for Hillary. The drain away from Trump of voters who usually vote Pub, will be substantial.
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dax00
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« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2016, 12:40:19 PM »

#NeverTrump was a primary movement, above all else. I suspect a great deal of them will be voting for Trump in the GE.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2016, 12:41:11 PM »

I think the more dangerous option the party as a whole is a third option, they just don't vote.  NeverTrumpers who vote third party or for Clinton may still vote for downballot Republicans.
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2016, 01:00:22 PM »

A majority of them vote for Trump. Enough don't that the man does worse than McCain.

What those voters do downballot will be the decisive question of the election.
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Volrath50
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« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2016, 01:30:00 PM »

Mostly to Trump.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: May 04, 2016, 01:31:18 PM »

Most of them will vote for Trump, showing us what they really are: Partisan cowards.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2016, 01:38:59 PM »

To Hillary, hopefully.
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Cassius
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« Reply #8 on: May 04, 2016, 01:42:38 PM »

Most of them will vote for Trump, showing us what they really are: Partisan cowards.

What, as opposed to voting for someone who clearly has worse policies from their perspective, ie Hillary Clinton.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #9 on: May 04, 2016, 01:48:41 PM »

15% to Hillary

15% to Third Party

70% to Trump
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« Reply #10 on: May 04, 2016, 01:59:44 PM »

I'd say, with my supernatural knack for precisely accurate prediction, that it will be something like:

60% go to Trump
20% stay home
15% go for Hillary
4.99999999% have none (but vote downballot)
and 0.00000001% (Ted Cruz) cries his way aaaallllllll the way back home.
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Torie
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« Reply #11 on: May 04, 2016, 02:07:22 PM »

I'd say, with my supernatural knack for precisely accurate prediction, that it will be something like:

60% go to Trump
20% stay home
15% go for Hillary
4.99999999% have none (but vote downballot)
and 0.00000001% (Ted Cruz) cries his way aaaallllllll the way back home.

The stay home is way too high. If it is that high, we are talking about a 60%-40% Hillary landslide. In the end, given Pub disdain of Hillary, I expert the drop off to be about 15% of the Pubs (not 40%!), half voting third party, or not voting for POTUS, and half for Hillary. Those who just stay home I doubt will be much larger than normal. Oh, and Hillary should get at least two thirds of the true independents.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #12 on: May 04, 2016, 02:08:46 PM »

Most of them will vote for Trump, showing us what they really are: Partisan cowards.

What, as opposed to voting for someone who clearly has worse policies from their perspective, ie Hillary Clinton.
Hillary Clinton represents status quo. Much better than Trump, at least for the establishment crowd.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #13 on: May 04, 2016, 02:10:36 PM »

This is my Facebook

70%-Write In Ted/Carly
25%-Third-Party
5%- Trump
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Figueira
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« Reply #14 on: May 04, 2016, 02:28:37 PM »

In the primary, they'll make a protest vote for Cruz or Kasich, or maybe someone else if they're still on the ballot.

In the general, the "Trump is too liberal" crowd will mostly vote for Trump (with a minority abstaining, voting third party, or writing in Cruz). The "Trump is too conservative/racist" crowd will be more split between Clinton and Trump, with a small minority voting Libertarian or writing in their favorite Moderate Hero.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #15 on: May 04, 2016, 02:29:34 PM »

Gary johnson
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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« Reply #16 on: May 04, 2016, 02:35:56 PM »

Most of them will vote for Trump, showing us what they really are: Partisan cowards.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #17 on: May 04, 2016, 02:37:11 PM »

Well, I, for one, will vote Libertarian unless the massive establishment group of anti-Trumpers comes up with something better soon.
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Ban my account ffs!
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« Reply #18 on: May 04, 2016, 02:56:22 PM »

I'd say, with my supernatural knack for precisely accurate prediction, that it will be something like:

60% go to Trump
20% stay home
15% go for Hillary
4.99999999% have none (but vote downballot)
and 0.00000001% (Ted Cruz) cries his way aaaallllllll the way back home.

The stay home is way too high. If it is that high, we are talking about a 60%-40% Hillary landslide. In the end, given Pub disdain of Hillary, I expert the drop off to be about 15% of the Pubs (not 40%!), half voting third party, or not voting for POTUS, and half for Hillary. Those who just stay home I doubt will be much larger than normal. Oh, and Hillary should get at least two thirds of the true independents.
Keep in mind this is 20% of the NeverTrump people which is like what... 20-25% of Republicans at most?

There are lots of non-Trump primary voters who are not #nevertrump... and probably 95% of them will vote Trump in November.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #19 on: May 04, 2016, 03:52:04 PM »

Personally I'm going third party.

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That's what's coming.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #20 on: May 04, 2016, 03:56:48 PM »

When I said #neverTrump I meant it to just show my forceful support for another candidate and help my chosen candidate: Cruz. I will of course vote for Trump. He is the closest to the issues for myself- greater than any present third party too.
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dspNY
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« Reply #21 on: May 04, 2016, 04:23:08 PM »

Personally I'm going third party.

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That's what's coming.

Wait, in that scenario you actually think she wins TX? Best case scenario for her is a high single digits loss there even with Trump
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Dereich
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« Reply #22 on: May 04, 2016, 04:41:29 PM »

I love how only one person in this thread actually read and answered the question.

My guess is that most of them stay home. Now that the Republican primary is over I doubt we'll see the same kind of turnout for the rest of the primaries. I'm sure there will still be some who still turn out to vote for Cruz or Kasich or whoever but I don't see what gets most of them to show up. And I doubt there will be much crossover support there either; the kind of people who were getting fired up against Trump aren't the ones who would go for Bernie's anti-establishment screeds.
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Figueira
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« Reply #23 on: May 04, 2016, 04:48:25 PM »

I love how only one person in this thread actually read and answered the question.

My guess is that most of them stay home. Now that the Republican primary is over I doubt we'll see the same kind of turnout for the rest of the primaries. I'm sure there will still be some who still turn out to vote for Cruz or Kasich or whoever but I don't see what gets most of them to show up. And I doubt there will be much crossover support there either; the kind of people who were getting fired up against Trump aren't the ones who would go for Bernie's anti-establishment screeds.

There's two of us now!
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #24 on: May 04, 2016, 04:49:04 PM »

Hopefully to hell.
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