Is SC a tossup?
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  Is SC a tossup?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: You know the deal
#1
No, Strong R		  
#2
No, Likely R		  
#3
No, Lean R		  
#4
Yes!		  
#5
No, Lean (or more) D		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 94

Author Topic: Is SC a tossup?  (Read 3191 times)
LLR
LongLiveRock
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« on: May 05, 2016, 06:27:25 AM »
« edited: August 24, 2016, 07:40:23 AM by LLR »
Aside from my personal belief that it's a true tossup in a Clinton-Trump general (because of demographics and polls), I want to see what other people believe.
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Mallow
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2016, 09:41:39 AM »
I always thought of the term "swing state" as being PVI-related (so it could go either way in a close election). The term "tossup" for this particular election may be more viable, though I suspect it's still lean R even this election.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2016, 03:28:20 PM »
To clarify, I meant in this election.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2016, 03:29:45 PM »
It's safe R, even if Trump goes down badly.
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2016, 05:00:31 PM »
Safe R normally, probably still Safe R in 2016, though it's the least safe of the safe Rs
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2016, 05:05:48 PM »
Tilt R, IMO. It and WV are very, very elastic.
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Figueira
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« Reply #6 on: May 06, 2016, 05:26:06 AM »
It's fairly inelastic normally, but it's close enough that it could vote for the Democrats if enough Republicans stay home.
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Blair
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« Reply #7 on: May 06, 2016, 09:32:13 AM »
last time a democrat carried it was 1976
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: May 06, 2016, 11:30:03 AM »
This year, it's probably still Safe or Likely R. Trump probably isn't losing SC unless he gets less than 100 EV.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #9 on: May 06, 2016, 12:02:30 PM »
Since when?  It's Safe R at the presidential level.

I could see Hillary or Bernie taking it if black turnout is VERY high, but I suspect Trump will get it otherwise.
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Badger
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« Reply #10 on: May 08, 2016, 01:55:54 AM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on May 05, 2016, 03:29:45 PM
It's safe R, even if Trump goes down badly.

Quite probably. It's a very inelastic state.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #11 on: May 09, 2016, 11:04:08 AM »
If it's a tossup, Trump has already lost.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #12 on: May 14, 2016, 10:52:40 PM »
The only way SC will be in play is if there is a significant conservative third-party option, which is highly unlikely at this late date.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #13 on: May 15, 2016, 04:31:28 AM »
« Edited: May 15, 2016, 04:33:24 AM by TimTurner »

SC isn't a swing state. It's solid D.  Tongue
Ok, not really. West Wing is not real life: thus, SC obviously is pretty R.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #14 on: May 18, 2016, 08:54:21 AM »
Just as MD is one.
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #15 on: May 19, 2016, 01:57:20 AM »
Quote from: TimTurner on May 15, 2016, 04:31:28 AM

SC isn't a swing state. It's solid D.  Tongue
Ok, not really. West Wing is not real life: thus, SC obviously is pretty R.

How the HELL did Matt Santos win SC?!?

...or Vinick win VT?!?
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #16 on: May 19, 2016, 07:51:13 AM »
Likely R.  Trump will win in November.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #17 on: May 19, 2016, 09:49:57 AM »
Quote from: RaphaelDLG on May 19, 2016, 01:57:20 AM
Quote from: TimTurner on May 15, 2016, 04:31:28 AM

SC isn't a swing state. It's solid D.  Tongue
Ok, not really. West Wing is not real life: thus, SC obviously is pretty R.
How the HELL did Matt Santos win SC?!?
...or Vinick win VT?!?
For Santos, "He couldn't have made more trips to the state if he lived there."
For Vinick, I remember they were saying something about low turnout.
Although 2006 was a very weird election.
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LLR
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« Reply #18 on: August 24, 2016, 07:40:14 AM »
« Edited: August 24, 2016, 07:53:16 AM by LLR »
bump- let's see how you all did!
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #19 on: August 24, 2016, 07:45:40 AM »
Quote from: Committeeman Kingpoleon on May 05, 2016, 05:05:48 PM
Tilt R, IMO. It and WV are very, very elastic.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #20 on: August 24, 2016, 11:02:01 PM »
I would only change from Strong R to Likely R.
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: August 24, 2016, 11:42:18 PM »
Rating it a Toss-Up is still a stretch, but since Trump is doing badly, it's closer than I thought it would be.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #22 on: August 25, 2016, 12:15:46 PM »
It'll be a toss-up if the race extends to a Clinton +8-10 lead again, but not at the moment.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #23 on: August 25, 2016, 05:00:26 PM »
Lean R.  Down from Likely R.

It's possible Clinton could win.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #24 on: August 25, 2016, 05:09:49 PM »
Still 100% Safe Trump
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