What counties will flip in a Clinton vs. Trump matchup?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Will ANY counties at all flip to the Republicans?

How many counties will flip to the Democrats?

In Kentucky, a few counties will probably flip: Marion, Woodford, Rowan, Carroll, Henderson, Hancock. A lot of more urbanized counties in other states that went GOP in 2012 will almost certainly flip.

[ag]

I will go on a limb: even if Clinton does badly, she may gain THE Orange County.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Clinton could probably compete in Woodford County, IL, and other similar suburban counties and would likely do very well (for a Dem) in IL-18.

[pho]

Trump will likely flip Harris County (D+0.08)

Clinton will definitely flip Kennedy (R+1.20)

[they don't love you like i love you]

Trump will likely flip Harris County (D+0.08)

"As of the 2010 Census, the population of the county was 4,092,459, White Americans made up 56.6% of Harris County's population; non-Hispanic whites represented 33.0% of the population. Black Americans made up 18.9% of the population. Native Americans made up 0.7% of Harris County's population. Asian Americans made up 6.2% of the population (2.0% Vietnamese, 1.2% Indian, 1.1% Chinese, 0.6% Filipino, 0.3% Korean, 0.1% Japanese, 1.0% Other). Pacific Islander Americans made up just 0.1% of the population. Individuals from other races made up 14.3% of the population; people from two or more races made up 3.2% of the county's population. Hispanics and Latinos (of any race) made up 40.8% of Harris County's population. "

[cwt]

To the Democrats:

Washington: Kittitas, Okanogan, Pend Oreille, Spokane

Oregon: Deschutes, Polk

Idaho: Shoshone

Montana: Mineral, Park

[Ronnie]

Navajo county, AZ; Possibly Maricopa county as well, but that's a longshot
Marion, Wasco, Linn, Deschutes, Polk, Yamhill counties, OR
Salt Lake, Summit, Carbon, Grand, San Juan counties, UT  (Obviously quite a few more if Trump actually loses the state)
Lake, Cascade, Lewis and Clark, Sheridan, Park, Gallatin, Rosebud counties, MT
Trinity, Nevada, Butte, Del Norte (unsure about this one), Orange counties, CA
Spokane, Whitman, Klickitat, Skamania counties, WA (Okanogan, Chelan, Wahkiakum, Kittitas, and Yakima might also be in play)
Shoshone, Valley, Ada, Teton counties, ID (maybe even Bannock and Power counties as well, if things go badly enough for Trump)
Chafee, Garfield, Grand, Mineral, Rio Grande, Weld, Otero, Bent, CO
Albany county, WY
Harding, Luna counties, NM  (possibly Torrance and Sierra as well)
Douglas, Dakota, Saline, Lancaster counties, NE (perhaps a few more random rural counties like Gage, Boxe-Butte and Dodge as well)
Johnson, Shawnee counties, KS (and again, perhaps a few more random rural counties, like Riley, Geary, and Lyon.  Hillary might flip Sedgwick, but that's a pretty big longshot)
Ramsey, Walsh, Barnes, Mountrail, Towner, Eddy, Nelson, Grand Forks, Traill, Cass counties, ND
Deuel, Jerauld, Yankton, Spink, Brown, Bookings, Moody, Lake, Miner, Minnehaha counties, SD
Carson City, NV

Well, that's the west + the Great Plains.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Idaho: Shoshone

I have a feeling Ada County might flip.

[Devils30]

Trump flips Elliott in KY, becomes first R to ever win. Hillary flips Berks, Chester in PA, Chesterfield in VA and Duval in FL.

[Kingpoleon]

Yes, those urbanized areas will flip, and as we all know, whoever wins the arbitrary number decided by Bandit of the big cities in the state deserve the state's electoral votes.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Elliott is unflippable.

[Crumpets]

Here's a guess at how Washington's counties might break down in terms of lean/likely/safe

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Elliott is unflippable.

It seems like a perfect county to flip to Trump.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hillary picks up Summit, UT.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It seems like a perfect county to flip to Trump.

It won't.

[Devils30]

Hillary will win Sarasota in Florida

[Orser67]

In PA, Obama won Berks and Chester County in 2008, the only time either county voted for the Democrat since 1964. I think Clinton has a good chance of winning them in 2016. Mercer could also flip.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Hillary will win Sarasota in Florida

Another Florida flip is Volusia.

Also, one of the big counties in Illinois across from St. Louis that unexpectedly went GOP in 2012 is a likely flip.

[Intell]

What counties will flip to TRUMP though?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

In West Virginia, the counties of Jefferson, Kanawha, Monongalia, and Cabell are likely flips.

[Wiz in Wis]

Wisconsin

To Clinton:
Brown
Outagamie
Chippewa
Monroe
Pierce
Iron
Kewaunee
Oneida
Washburn
Barron
Rusk
Wood
Marathon
Marinette

To Trump
None

Would also not be surprised to see Clinton > 40% in Waukesha, Washington, and Ozaukee... those guys HATE Trump. Turnout there could go down as well compared to 2012. Milwaukee will be >70% for Clinton.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Would also not be surprised to see Clinton > 40% in Waukesha, Washington, and Ozaukee...

I'm afraid those counties are a lost cause. I did notice Ted Cruz won them in the primary, but that was a primary.

Ted Cruz won the northern portion of Kentucky in the primary, but I still expect Trump to win Boone and Kenton counties. But Campbell County is looking very iffy, from what I see on the ground.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

In Ohio, I think the counties of Ross, Pike, Scioto, Hocking, and Clark are flips. Probably Marion, Jefferson, Belmont, and Monroe too. Probably others too.

[Crumpets]

What counties will flip to TRUMP though?

Staten Island?

[RINO Tom]

Will ANY counties at all flip to the Republicans?

How many counties will flip to the Democrats?

In Kentucky, a few counties will probably flip: Marion, Woodford, Rowan, Carroll, Henderson, Hancock. A lot of more urbanized counties in other states that went GOP in 2012 will almost certainly flip.

No urbanized counties vote GOP.  The GOP is strictly a rural romp party.  Strictly.

You told me.