Congressional Elections: your final prediction
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  Congressional Elections: your final prediction
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Author Topic: Congressional Elections: your final prediction  (Read 724 times)
windjammer
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« on: November 05, 2016, 04:30:22 PM »

Please give us your final prediction for:
-governor
-senate
-house

Thank you Cheesy
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2016, 04:38:04 PM »

For governor:
-Democrats hold MT, MO, NH, VT and pick up NC and IN
- Republicans pick up WV

So D+1 here


For senate:
-Democrats hold NV and pick up: IL, WI, NH, PA and NC
So they regain control of the senate but a slim majority 51-49


For House:
- Republicans pick up FL-02 and FL-18
- Democrats pick up:  FL-10, VA-04, FL-13, NV-04, NH-01,CA-10, CA-25,CA-49, CO-06,FL-07,FL-26,IL-10,IA-01,ME-02,MN-02,NV-03,NJ-05,NY-19,NY-22,PA-08,TX-23,VA-10, MI-08 and KS-03
+22 seats

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2016, 05:04:37 PM »

Senate D's win at least 50 seats with IL, PA, NH, WI and IN and NC and LA are too close to call right now.

Gov: R's pickup VT

House Speaker Ryan enjoys a 225-233 advantage.

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PAK Man
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2016, 06:28:26 PM »

Governor:
Democrats pick up Indiana and North Carolina, while Republicans pick up Vermont. Everyone else holds.

Senate:
Democrats pick up Illinois, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Indiana and North Carolina (narrowly).

I'm still working on my House ratings and will post them tomorrow.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2016, 08:17:11 PM »

Governor: D's pick up NC and IN and lose VT for +1D.  
Senate:. D's pick up IL, WI, PA, and NH for +4D.
House:. D's pick up CO-06, FL-07, FL-10, FL-13, FL-26, IL-10, ME-02, MN-02, NH-01, NJ-05, NY-19, NV-03, NV-04, TX-23, VA-04, and VA-10.  R's pick up FL-02 and FL-18.  This makes D+14.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2016, 09:03:53 PM »

Governor: Republicans pick up VT, Democrats pick up NC and IN for a total of D+1.
Senate: Democrats pick up IL, WI, PA and NH for a total of D+4.
House: Republicans pick up FL-02 while Democrats pick up CO-06, FL-10, FL-13, FL-26, IL-10, MI-01, MN-02, NV-03, NV-04, NH-01, NY-19, NY-22, TX-23, VA-04 for a total of D+13.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2016, 01:10:10 AM »

Governor: D's pick up NC and IN and lose VT for +1D.  
Senate:. D's pick up IL, WI, PA, and NH for +4D.
House:. D's pick up CO-06, FL-07, FL-10, FL-13, FL-26, IL-10, ME-02, MN-02, NH-01, NJ-05, NY-19, NV-03, NV-04, TX-23, VA-04, and VA-10.  R's pick up FL-02 and FL-18.  This makes D+14.

Mine is practically identical. I have doubts about Fl-07 and 26, but otherwise - ......
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2016, 02:11:57 AM »

House dems pick up 7 seats

making House : GOP 239, Dems 196

For senate I believe dems pick up 4 seats: PA, Ill,PA, NH(barely)

making senate a 50-50 tie
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2016, 01:27:22 PM »

GOV: Dems pick up NC, Indiana, lose Vermont

Sen: Dems hold NV, pick up WI, IL, NH, PA, MO, NC, and Indiana in a squeeker

House: D+15
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PAK Man
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« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2016, 08:49:56 PM »

House predictions:

Dem gains:
CA-10, CO-06, FL-07 (based mostly on Mica's lack of seriousness at his campaign), FL-10, FL-13, IA-01 (shaky on this, but I think Vernon will pull off a narrow victory), ME-02 (same situation as IA-01), MI-01, MN-02, NV-03, NV-04, NH-01, NJ-05, NY-19, PA-08, TX-23, VA-04 and VA-10.

GOP gains:
FL-02, FL-18

D+16
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #10 on: November 06, 2016, 09:18:50 PM »

Gains and Losses (All races not mentioned here assumed to be holds by the incumbent party)

Governor:
Democrat Gains:North Carolina, Indiana.
Republican Gains:Vermont


Senate:
Democrat Gains:Illinois, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania.

House:
Democrat Gains:CA-49, CO-6,FL-10, FL-13, FL-26, IN-9, IL-10, ME-2, MI-1, MN-2, NV-3, NV-4, NJ-5, NY-19, NY-22, PA-8, TX-23, VA-4,VA-10.
Republican Gains:FL-2, FL-18, NE-2.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2016, 02:47:28 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2016, 02:52:10 AM by Ralleytand »

Alright:

GOV

Dems: NC
GOP: VT, MO

SEN

Dems: WI, IL, PA, MO/NC/NH (one of these three)
GOP: NV

51-49 R

No idea with the House, besides a slaughter in CA against GOP ('cuz CA is the only state these days where Dems can be counted on to come out think or thick)
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Torie
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2016, 09:50:52 AM »

I have nothing original or brilliant to add to the pile of Senate predictions. The polls are the polls. The Senate is a jump ball. Most likely the Dems pick up 3 to 4 seats. In the House things have gone backwards a bit for the Dems (For example, Comstock in VA-10 is slight favorite now, and MN-08 suddenly appears a a toss-up). My guess is that the Dems pick up 8-12 seats. 15 is a max, and it could be as low as 5.
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2016, 06:26:59 PM »

Senate
Democrats pick up IL, NH, NC (narrowly), PA, and WI, and hold NV
Republicans hold AZ, FL, and MO (narrowly)

Democrats gain control of the Senate, 51-49.

Governor
Democrats pick up IN and NC
Republicans pick up VT and WV

31 R, 18 D, 1 I (no net change)

House
Democrats pick up: CA-10, CA-25, CA-49, CO-06, FL-07, FL-10, FL-13, IL-10, MI-01, MN-02, NV-03, NV-04, NH-01, NJ-05, NY-22, PA-08, TX-23, VA-04, and VA-10
Republicans pick up FL-02
D+18, Republicans maintain control of the House 229-206.
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nolesfan2011
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2016, 01:21:08 PM »

Gov: All holds except Dems pickup NC and IN, GOP gains NH and VT

Senate 51-49 for Dems. Dem pickups in IL, WI, PA, NC and IN. GOP holds FL, NH, and MO. Dem holds in NV and CO.

House 233 GOP 203 Dems

Dems +3 in northeast, +5 in south, +1 in Midwest, +2 west coast, +3 mtn west by region. (no change in plains states).
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