Rank the competitive seats from most likely to least likely to flip (user search)

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Rank the competitive seats from most likely to least likely to flip (search mode)

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Topic: Rank the competitive seats from most likely to least likely to flip (Read 2108 times)

Nyvin
Junior Chimp

Posts: 7,659

Re: Rank the competitive seats from most likely to least likely to flip

« on: May 07, 2016, 08:19:27 PM »

Wisconsin
Illinois
Florida
New Hampshire
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Arizona
Missouri
Nevada
Indiana
North Carolina
Colorado
Iowa

Potentially D+11, although that's extremely unlikely. It helps that the two vulnerable Dem seats are both in Hispanic heavy states and Trump is at the top of the ticket for the GOP.

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Nyvin
Junior Chimp

Posts: 7,659

	Re: Rank the competitive seats from most likely to least likely to flip « Reply #1 on: May 07, 2016, 09:50:32 PM »
	« Edited: May 07, 2016, 09:57:43 PM by Nyvin »

On Daily Kos's ratings the Republican seats match up almost exactly with my list. They have the two Dem seats as more vulnerable though. I think Trump will be too much of a drag on Republicans in CO and NV for them to be competitive though.

http://www.dailykos.com/pages/election-outlook/2016-race-ratings

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