What % of white women will Clinton get against Trump?

[Gallium]

Previous Democratic performances:

Gore: 48%
Kerry 44%
Obama 2008: 46%
Obama 2016: 42%

[Ljube]

Below 42% for sure.

[RR1997]

48% or so.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

At least 80% of the angry white women demographic.

TN made me believe it so it must be true.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

55%-58%

[ElectionsGuy]

It'll be close, but Clinton will lose them something like 47-51 (meaning she'll get the 47%), Trump should get 62+ among white men.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Probably 57%.

Trump will get a lot of bad advertising on his comments about women between now and November.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Between 53% and 70%. Trump is gonna get demolished in every demographic except white males.

[Minnesota Mike]

50.0001%

[IceSpear]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

[pho]

Over 50% is a certainty. Close to 60% if Hillary starts running away with it.

[Ljube]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

Hillary will do worse than Obama among all demographics.

[IceSpear]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

Hillary will do worse than Obama among all demographics.

In your dreams.

[Ljube]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

Hillary will do worse than Obama among all demographics.

In your dreams.

Mark my words, IceSpear. We'll come back to this in six months.

[The Other Castro]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

Hillary will do worse than Obama among all demographics.

Even Mormons?

[Nyvin]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

Hillary will do worse than Obama among all demographics.

Even Mormons?

Or Mexicans

[IceSpear]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

Hillary will do worse than Obama among all demographics.

In your dreams.

Mark my words, IceSpear. We'll come back to this in six months.

Bookmarked. Quite a bad bet. Even if Trump wins overall, I still win the bet even if she improves by a single point among Hispanics or Asians.

I bet I'll be adding another point to the scoreboard.

I don't expect him to win any.

You think he'll lose Texas? Bold.

Yes. I think he will collapse after his poor showing in South Carolina. I may be wrong, though. It wouldn't be the first time.

Sorry Beet, but I'm gonna have to bump this once Hillary becomes the nominee. It'll be bittersweet for you though, right?

IceSpear, it's over. Your Snow Queen melted.
Just face the facts and deal with it!

Yes, it's over for her because she lost in her opponent's backyard, and her opponent's 2nd most demographically favorable state.

See you on Super Tuesday.

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

I'd say upwards of 60%.

[hopper]

I say 53%.

[Badger]

Below 42% for sure.

Oh, please share your "analysis" with us.

[Badger]

I think she'll do better than Obama '12 among white women and worse among white men, which will roughly equal out overall. 45% I guess.

Hillary will do worse than Obama among all demographics.

Even Mormons?

Or Mexicans

Seriously. Ljube, I'll bet you $100 Hillary will do better among Hispanics than Obama did in 12.

[RaphaelDLG]

Recent polls had hrc.winning WW by several points.  I'd say it cools down but she still relentlessly runs ads targeting WW and she pulls an amazing 50-50

[Ljube]

Below 42% for sure.

Oh, please share your "analysis" with us.

Badger, you never change. I thought you could be open to supporting Trump, given your line of work.

Anyway, the only white women who didn't support Obama and could possibly support Hillary are older white women (65+). I think Trump will bring these women back once he shows what kind of b.tch Hillary truly is.

[Ljube]

Recent polls had hrc.winning WW by several points.  I'd say it cools down but she still relentlessly runs ads targeting WW and she pulls an amazing 50-50

Recent polls should be discarded. We have to wait for the Republican Party to unite and also for the Democratic Party to unite before we can trust any poll.
Past election results and comparison of candidates' strengths and weaknesses are far better instruments for drawing conclusions than recent polls.

[Virginiá]

Recent polls had hrc.winning WW by several points.  I'd say it cools down but she still relentlessly runs ads targeting WW and she pulls an amazing 50-50

Recent polls should be discarded. We have to wait for the Republican Party to unite and also for the Democratic Party to unite before we can trust any poll.
Past election results and comparison of candidates' strengths and weaknesses are far better instruments for drawing conclusions than recent polls.

When exactly do you determine that they have united? Hopefully it's not after/during the convention, because if that is your metric, then it is not a given that Trump will begin doing better. Romney didn't do any better, McCain got a 1-week boost then collapsed again and Bush had already begun pulling away from Kerry in 2004 before the convention started.

Other than that, one could conceivably just wait until any time when the polls begin to look favorable towards their candidate, then declare the party united. Also, there is no guarantee that the party will even unite behind Trump at all. Going by polls and reactions right now, it would suggest they won't fully unite behind him. After all, as Trump supporters like to say, he's broken all the rules so far, so what makes you think he won't break the rule of the party uniting behind the nominee?