How does TRUMP possibly win?
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  How does TRUMP possibly win?
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Author Topic: How does TRUMP possibly win?  (Read 2551 times)
Frodo
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« Reply #25 on: May 08, 2016, 03:51:13 PM »


Like he didn't have a chance to win the nomination?

Yes, because the voters deciding the general election are going to be exactly like the GOP primary electorate.   Roll Eyes

Stop comparing apples to oranges.   
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: May 08, 2016, 05:38:05 PM »

What has to happen in order for Trump to become president?

I just don't see Trump winning. His absolute ceiling is a 2% loss. He has completely alienated minorities and educated, upscale whites. If we assume that he gets 10% of blacks and 20% of Hispanics/Asians, he will need 66% of the white vote (the percentage Reagan got in 1984) in order to barely win.

I know people say things like "There is still 6 months until the election. Anything could happen."

The polls were actually pretty accurate 6 months before the 2012 and 2008 elections.http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/obama_vs_romney_compared_to_obama_vs_mccain.html

I just can't see us electing a joke candidate like Trump. Trump has a 0.000001% chance of victory.

"Educated, upscale" whites can be racist too.
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