Your reaction to this map? (user search)
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  Your reaction to this map? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Your reaction to this map?  (Read 1595 times)
Fuzzy Bear
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« on: May 08, 2016, 06:21:31 PM »

This map represents what I believe to be the top end of Trump's possibilities.  He's not likely to do this, but this is as good as it CAN get for him. 

For this to happen for Trump, he'll have to tap into the frustrations of the entire white working class in a way unprecedented for any Republican since Nixon or Reagan.  This can happen, as white working class folks generally loathe the kind of SJW stuff that the Democrats are pushing these days, but Trump would have to take this tack up radically, while consolidating the normal base of GOP support to the point where they'll show up and vote for him, if nothing else. 

The difference between 1972 McGovern and 2016 Trump is simply this:  McGovern was positioned so far to the left to where many conservative and moderate Democrats found themselves far closer to Richard Nixon than their own party's nominee.  I'm talking about officeholders and party officials, not just rank-and-file voters.  Lots of Democratic officeholders refused to endorse McGovern, or stated that they would vote for McGovern, but not campaign for him.  (Then-GA Governor Jimmy Carter took that tack AFTER doing everything he could to get McGovern to pick him as his VP choice.)  This is happening with Trump, but the difference is that the dispute is personal; even the #NeverTrump crowd is far closer on issues to Trump than Hillary.  This is why Trump might unify the GOP while McGovern never could unite Democrats. 
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Fuzzy Bear
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Posts: 25,731
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« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2016, 06:37:56 PM »


Recent polls show Trump leading in Utah.  I always considered the polls showing Clinton leading in Utah as outliers.
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