Ann Coulter: Trump could crush the EC with slight increase in white vote in MW

[emailking]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/21/donald-trump-will-almost-certainly-never-be-elected-president-heres-why/?tid=a_inl

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All of those hypothetical improvement numbers should be half the values that are quoted. e.g. going from 53 to 62 is an improvement of 9 point, not 18.

I think it's including the Democratic vote going down as one point and the Republican vote going up as another.

I know, but that's at best misleading, and I would say just plain wrong way to describe his improvement. Imagine, for example, that the vote was split between 4 candidates an he pulls equally from all of them.

[Virginiá]

I know, but that's at best misleading, and I would say just plain wrong way to describe his improvement. Imagine, for example, that the vote was split between 4 candidates an he pulls equally from all of them.

Possibly, but then commonly misleading. I see polls discussed that way far more often than not.

[ElectionsGuy]

Those white people in the Midwest hate Trump.

[pbrower2a]

Not IL and ME.

Swing states:
CO, FL, IA, MI, MN, VA, NH, OH, PA, WI?

ME could vote LePage but not Trump?

Three-way split of the vote.