Ann Coulter: Trump could crush the EC with slight increase in white vote in MW

[Nyvin]

Not IL and ME.

Swing states:
CO, FL, IA, MI, MN, VA, NH, OH, PA, WI?

ME could vote LePage but not Trump?

Trump won't be in a three way race like LePage was.

Also - Trump is not winning Illinois, Colorado, or Minnesota.

[Nyvin]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/21/donald-trump-will-almost-certainly-never-be-elected-president-heres-why/?tid=a_inl

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[Nyvin]

Trump won't be in a three way race like LePage was.

Uh, LePage would have won reelection in 2014 even without Cutler in the race.

He didn't get a majority so that's literally impossible to know, polling suggest Michaud had a lead against LePage by himself, so I would argue LePage would've lost.    

Also it was a midterm election in a good Republican year,  so not exactly apples to apples.

[Nyvin]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/21/donald-trump-will-almost-certainly-never-be-elected-president-heres-why/?tid=a_inl

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All of those hypothetical improvement numbers should be half the values that are quoted. e.g. going from 53 to 62 is an improvement of 9 point, not 18.

I think it's including the Democratic vote going down as one point and the Republican vote going up as another.

In other words...you not only have to convince someone to "not" vote for Hillary, you also need to convince them to vote for Trump.

...or at least something like that...I don't know :-S