Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)  (Read 16953 times)
Matty
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« Reply #275 on: May 10, 2016, 07:54:11 PM »
Why does hillary do so well in early voting in every state?
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BundouYMB
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« Reply #276 on: May 10, 2016, 07:55:42 PM »
Quote from: marty on May 10, 2016, 07:54:11 PM
Why does hillary do so well in early voting in every state?

Because she has a better campaign organization that's able to identify and help more of her potential voters who can't vote on election day than Sanders' org has been able to.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #277 on: May 10, 2016, 07:55:50 PM »
64% of votes cast/counted thus far have been cast in the Democratic primary; that's higher than the two-way percentage between the parties in registration (60 D/40 R).
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #278 on: May 10, 2016, 07:56:08 PM »
Kanawha margin tightening, now 51-42.
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RI
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« Reply #279 on: May 10, 2016, 07:56:12 PM »
Clinton lead in Kanawha shrinks from 15% to 9%
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
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« Reply #280 on: May 10, 2016, 07:57:59 PM »
Quote from: marty on May 10, 2016, 07:54:11 PM
Why does hillary do so well in early voting in every state?

Olds and minorities.  In West Virginia's case: olds.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #281 on: May 10, 2016, 07:58:47 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 10, 2016, 07:56:50 PM
Quote from: New Canadaland on May 10, 2016, 07:53:19 PM
It's quite possible that Bernie wins every county. I'd give it even odds at this point.

Jefferson = DC exurb, voted Obama in 2008 general.
Counties across the border in VA were 50-50, and I expect Clinton to underperform previous performances in other nearby states.
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shua
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« Reply #282 on: May 10, 2016, 07:59:37 PM »
« Edited: May 10, 2016, 08:04:06 PM by shua »
Quote from: yourelection on May 10, 2016, 07:50:18 PM
How important is Charlseton for the final outcome of the Dem Primary?

Moderately so. It's about 3x as large as the next largest county in terms of the Dem vote, but it's not like Cook Co is to IL or anything.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #283 on: May 10, 2016, 07:59:39 PM »
Quote from: BundouYMB on May 10, 2016, 07:55:42 PM
Quote from: marty on May 10, 2016, 07:54:11 PM
Why does hillary do so well in early voting in every state?

Because she has a better campaign organization that's able to identify and help more of her potential voters who can't vote on election day than Sanders' org has been able to.

Actually, I would say that in this Democratic primary specifically, older and more reliable voters are more likely (than in general elections, at the very least) to vote early because they're aware of how things work. Younger voters are more likely to vote on Election Day because of a combination of procrastination and less overall awareness of voting procedures...which leads to Clinton banking more voters early on and Sanders banking more voters on Election Day.

I don't think there's a case to be made that Sanders' campaign is less adept at identifying and engaging with likely supporters.
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Frodo
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« Reply #284 on: May 10, 2016, 08:00:40 PM »
Sanders lead in the state now approaching double digits.

So there is a god....   
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #285 on: May 10, 2016, 08:02:32 PM »
I realize that Nebraska is a beauty contest, but are there any Dem. exit poll #s there?  CNN doesn't have them on their website?
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yourelection
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« Reply #286 on: May 10, 2016, 08:02:51 PM »
Quote from: Frodo on May 10, 2016, 08:00:40 PM
Sanders lead in the state now approaching double digits.

So there is a god....   

Are we finally moving towards the exit polls?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #287 on: May 10, 2016, 08:03:08 PM »
Clinton is in 3rd in Lincoln County.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #288 on: May 10, 2016, 08:03:45 PM »
Paul Farrell, currently in third:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_T._Farrell_Jr.
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ag
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« Reply #289 on: May 10, 2016, 08:04:18 PM »
Quote from: Castro on May 10, 2016, 08:03:08 PM
Clinton is in 3rd in Lincoln County.

Where do you get that? Both CNN and NYTimes show her leading there.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #290 on: May 10, 2016, 08:04:38 PM »
Quote from: ag on May 10, 2016, 08:04:18 PM
Quote from: Castro on May 10, 2016, 08:03:08 PM
Clinton is in 3rd in Lincoln County.

Where do you get that. Both CNN and NYTimes show her leading there.

Politico also shows a Clinton lead.
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RI
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« Reply #291 on: May 10, 2016, 08:04:45 PM »
Clinton over 60% in Nebraska early.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #292 on: May 10, 2016, 08:05:18 PM »
Quote from: ag on May 10, 2016, 08:04:18 PM
Quote from: Castro on May 10, 2016, 08:03:08 PM
Clinton is in 3rd in Lincoln County.

Where do you get that? Both CNN and NYTimes show her leading there.

Sorry, I meant 3rd as in behind Other, not a specific other candidate.
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shua
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« Reply #293 on: May 10, 2016, 08:05:58 PM »
where are you seeing this?
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ag
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« Reply #294 on: May 10, 2016, 08:06:23 PM »
Quote from: Castro on May 10, 2016, 08:05:18 PM
Quote from: ag on May 10, 2016, 08:04:18 PM
Quote from: Castro on May 10, 2016, 08:03:08 PM
Clinton is in 3rd in Lincoln County.

Where do you get that? Both CNN and NYTimes show her leading there.

Sorry, I meant 3rd as in behind Other, not a specific other candidate.

What does that mean?
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LLR
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« Reply #295 on: May 10, 2016, 08:06:38 PM »
Farrell at ~17% throughout Charleston area.
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Xing
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« Reply #296 on: May 10, 2016, 08:07:02 PM »

It shows up on Google. Of course, that's with a grand total of 26 votes cast so far.
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RI
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« Reply #297 on: May 10, 2016, 08:08:12 PM »
Nebraska:

Clinton 10835 (61.26%)
Sanders 6851 (38.74%)

All early vote, I think?
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jaichind
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« Reply #298 on: May 10, 2016, 08:08:38 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on May 10, 2016, 08:08:12 PM
Nebraska:

Clinton 10835 (61.26%)
Sanders 6851 (38.74%)

All early vote, I think?

I think that is the caucus result for a couple of months ago
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #299 on: May 10, 2016, 08:08:50 PM »
Quote from: ag on May 10, 2016, 08:06:23 PM
Quote from: Castro on May 10, 2016, 08:05:18 PM
Quote from: ag on May 10, 2016, 08:04:18 PM
Quote from: Castro on May 10, 2016, 08:03:08 PM
Clinton is in 3rd in Lincoln County.

Where do you get that? Both CNN and NYTimes show her leading there.

Sorry, I meant 3rd as in behind Other, not a specific other candidate.

What does that mean?

Non-Clinton or Sanders candidates combined, and it shows up as Other. As in the county goes Sanders>The protest vote>Clinton.
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