Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)
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  Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)  (Read 16885 times)
IceSpear
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« Reply #400 on: May 10, 2016, 09:33:05 PM »

Open primaries in all 50 states is a horrible idea. You'd have Republicans picking our nominee in years without competitive GOP primaries.

That's why I'd prefer semi-closed. Sure, Republicans could all re-register, but that would apply to closed primaries as well.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #401 on: May 10, 2016, 09:34:31 PM »

Open primaries in all 50 states is a horrible idea. You'd have Republicans picking our nominee in years without competitive GOP primaries.

On top of what Gass said, I'd be ok with allowing Independents but not Rs to vote (though any type of closed primary needs party registration to exist there). Wouldn't change much from an open primary.

edit: the county sweep is complete!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #402 on: May 10, 2016, 09:36:01 PM »

De La Fuente is the only "protest candidate" with less than 1% of the vote. Called it. I knew "other" would break double digits as well. Racist WV hicks (this can be my version of angry NH women) are so predictable.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #403 on: May 10, 2016, 09:37:23 PM »

Looks like I'm gonna be right about Bernie sweeping every county
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cinyc
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« Reply #404 on: May 10, 2016, 09:39:18 PM »

Berkeley County flipped to Sanders, giving him a clean sweep of the WV counties reporting so far.
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Vega
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« Reply #405 on: May 10, 2016, 09:43:39 PM »

So are there any primary by primary calculations of what the most sane way of getting Sanders to the nomination is?
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Holmes
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« Reply #406 on: May 10, 2016, 09:46:14 PM »

Looks like Nebraska might end at around 55-45.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #407 on: May 10, 2016, 09:49:35 PM »

So are there any primary by primary calculations of what the most sane way of getting Sanders to the nomination is?

There are no sane ways, unless you think he can win California by 40+ points.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #408 on: May 10, 2016, 09:49:59 PM »

So are there any primary by primary calculations of what the most sane way of getting Sanders to the nomination is?

There is no sane way of getting him the nomination at this point. Hence the reason why Hillary has already pivoted to the general.
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« Reply #409 on: May 10, 2016, 09:53:01 PM »

Looks like Nebraska might end at around 55-45.

I think it'll end closer than that even
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #410 on: May 10, 2016, 09:57:00 PM »

Counties that are different from their Caucus- Primary Result, Caucus Result listed first
Cherry County Clinton 65-35, Sanders 53.9-46.1
Thomas Clinton 100-0, 61.1-38.9
McPherson County Clinton 75-25, Sanders 64.3-35.9
Keith County Clinton 52-48, Sanders 58.5-41.5
Harlan County Clinton 52-48, Sanders 58.4-41.6
Pawnee County Clinton 73-27, Sanders 53.7-46.3
Richardson County Clinton 56-44, Sanders 50.6-49.4
Seward County Sanders 58-42, Clinton 53-47
Cuming County Clinton 57-43, Sanders 55.2-44.8
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #411 on: May 10, 2016, 09:57:16 PM »

For tonight, Sanders is on pace to get 17 delegates to Clinton's 12. That necessitates the following in the remaining states to lead Clinton 2026-2025 in pledged delegates on June 14:

KY: 58% Sanders
OR: 85.1% Sanders (deny Hillary viability)
VI: 64% Clinton
PR: 52% Clinton
CA: 65% Sanders
NJ: 58% Sanders
NM: 56% Sanders
DC: 70% Clinton
ND/SD/MT: 85.1% Sanders (deny Hillary viability)

It's a VERY tough path.
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cinyc
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« Reply #412 on: May 10, 2016, 09:57:38 PM »

Farrell is at 14% in WV-3.  Can he crack 15%?  If so, would he pick up a delegate?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #413 on: May 10, 2016, 09:58:51 PM »

For tonight, Sanders is on pace to get 17 delegates to Clinton's 12. That necessitates the following in the remaining states to lead Clinton 2026-2025 in pledged delegates on June 14:

KY: 58% Sanders
OR: 85.1% Sanders (deny Hillary viability)
VI: 64% Clinton
PR: 52% Clinton
CA: 65% Sanders
NJ: 58% Sanders
NM: 56% Sanders
DC: 70% Clinton
ND/SD/MT: 85.1% Sanders (deny Hillary viability)

It's a VERY tough path.

It's virtually impossible but there's no reason for him to not finish this out when he's come this far.
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Xing
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« Reply #414 on: May 10, 2016, 10:02:31 PM »

Yeah, the idea of Sanders getting 58% in NJ is beyond laughable. But he should finish out the primary season. He's sure to win OR, MT, and ND, likely to win SD, and KY is possible.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #415 on: May 10, 2016, 10:08:13 PM »

Nebraska down to 55-45 Clinton with 70% in.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #416 on: May 10, 2016, 10:08:25 PM »

Thanks to Supers, Clinton and Sanders are eve in terms of delegates unless the other 2 delegates get apportioned to Sanders, he effectively did nothing.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #417 on: May 10, 2016, 10:12:42 PM »

Nebraska down to 55-45 Clinton with 70% in.

Only 38% of precincts are actually fully reported
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IceSpear
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« Reply #418 on: May 10, 2016, 10:13:47 PM »

Were independents allowed to vote in the NE beauty contest?
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« Reply #419 on: May 10, 2016, 10:17:05 PM »

It probably won't happen, but it would be hilarious to see AP actually call a race wrong. There is still a lot of vote out in Lancaster County, which contains the state university's main campus.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #420 on: May 10, 2016, 10:18:07 PM »

It probably won't happen, but it would be hilarious to see AP actually call a race wrong. There is still a lot of vote out in Lancaster County, which contains the state university's main campus.

0% of the election day vote has been counted in Lancaster County.
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #421 on: May 10, 2016, 10:18:56 PM »

So, despite the gloating, the Nebraska primary is likely to be pretty close after all, I guess?
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #422 on: May 10, 2016, 10:20:23 PM »

Farrell is at 14% in WV-3.  Can he crack 15%?  If so, would he pick up a delegate?

He's at 13.508%, which just barely rounds up to 14%. It would be a stretch for him to make up an extra percent and a half with 78% reporting.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #423 on: May 10, 2016, 10:20:42 PM »

So, despite the gloating, the Nebraska primary is likely to be pretty close after all, I guess?

I mean, even if it was a tie that would be a 14 point swing. That would actually be similar to Texas in 2008. The primary and caucus were held on the same day. Hillary won the primary by 4 but lost the caucus by 12.
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Matty
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« Reply #424 on: May 10, 2016, 10:21:26 PM »

If tonight's exit poll data is accurate about general election, will trump break 70% in WV?
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